Belmont vs Murray State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Belmont vs Murray State
The Belmont Bruins go up against the Murray State Racers, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Sunday, February 15.
When Belmont clash with Murray State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 170.5 and this looks worth taking.
Belmont Bruins won their previous game, beating Northern Iowa Panthers at home. It was a 91-86 win.
Murray State Racers won their last game 74-72. This was a road victory against Indiana State Sycamores.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between Belmont and Murray State saw the former win. It was a 103-86 scoreline. It’s been five wins on the bounce for Belmont when playing Murray State. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belmont
|
26-6 | 2684 | 2347 | 337 | 15-3 | 11-3 | 2L |
Murray State
|
20-12 | 2667 | 2558 | 109 | 14-4 | 6-8 | 2L |
Belmont vs Murray State Prediction & Picks
Our Belmont vs Murray State tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Game Prediction
Under 170.5 points could be on the money for this college game. Our pick is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.
Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Key Belmont vs Murray State stats:
Under 170.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
The top sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under wager. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.
Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 170.5. We’ve also gone for Belmont +1.5, and at least one team not to score 80 points and Belmont to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
83
-
80
Murray State
There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Belmont enjoying a 83-80 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.
Belmont vs Murray State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The betting odds about Murray State winning is -115, with Belmont priced up at -104 to achieve victory. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this college game is 51%.
There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 165.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 165.5 at -110.
The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.
There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.
- NCAAB: 01/02 2026 Murray State 86 Belmont 103
- NCAAB: 02/03 2025 Murray State 60 Belmont 70
- NCAAB: 25/01 2025 Belmont 95 Murray State 77
- NCAAB: 29/02 2024 Belmont 83 Murray State 61
- NCAAB: 08/02 2024 Murray State 64 Belmont 69
- NCAAB: 02/02 2023 Belmont 82 Murray State 83
- NCAAB: 18/01 2023 Murray State 65 Belmont 80
- NCAAB: 25/02 2022 Belmont 43 Murray State 76
- NCAAB: 15/01 2022 Murray State 82 Belmont 60
- NCAAB: 31/01 2021 Belmont 72 Murray State 71
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Belmont Stats
Murray State Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 161.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 170.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 170.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 163.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 170.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 170.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.00 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Missouri Valley | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Belmont
|
26-6 | 2684 | 2347 | 337 | 15-3 | 11-3 | 2L |
Northern Iowa
|
23-12 | 2447 | 2144 | 303 | 13-5 | 10-7 | 5W |
Bradley
|
21-12 | 2560 | 2422 | 138 | 17-4 | 4-8 | 1L |
Illinois State
|
20-12 | 2404 | 2190 | 214 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 1L |
|
Murray State
|
20-12 | 2667 | 2558 | 109 | 14-4 | 6-8 | 2L |
UIC
|
19-15 | 2567 | 2379 | 188 | 11-7 | 8-8 | 1L |
Valparaiso
|
17-15 | 2278 | 2300 | -22 | 13-4 | 4-11 | 1L |
Southern Illinois
|
16-16 | 2336 | 2226 | 110 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 1L |
Drake
|
14-20 | 2552 | 2544 | 8 | 7-12 | 7-8 | 1L |
Indiana State
|
11-21 | 2354 | 2383 | -29 | 8-7 | 3-14 | 1L |
Evansville
|
7-25 | 2143 | 2447 | -304 | 5-12 | 2-13 | 2L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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