Boston Celtics
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Celtics vs Heat

The Boston Celtics take the floor against the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Celtics Look Value for This Contest

There’s a case for backing the Celtics against the spread in their clash against the Heat. The line looks attractive considering you can get odds of -108 when it comes to the favorites at -5.5.

Celtics Have 9 Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Boston Celtics were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at State Farm Arena. Atlanta Hawks claimed a 112-102 win. Jaylen Brown tallied 29 points, while Luka Garza put up 20 and Payton Pritchard 16.

Miami Heat were winners last time out. It was a 119-109 home victory against Philadelphia 76ers at Kaseya Center. Tyler Herro had 30 points, Bam Adebayo racked up 23 points and 16 rebounds, while Pelle Larsson recorded 20 points and 10 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Celtics claim a 98-96 win over the Heat at TD Garden. The Celtics have beaten the Heat in the past three matchups. They’ve also claimed 9 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics logo Celtics 50 25 0.667 114 106.9 7.1 26-11 24-14 9-5 31-15 7-3 1L
Heat logo Heat 40 36 0.526 120.2 117.8 2.4 24-14 16-22 7-7 24-22 3-7 1W
View Full Standings
Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Celtics are averaging 110.6 points, 47.8 rebounds, 23.0 assists, 6.5 steals and 3.4 blocks while shooting 44.6% from the field and 85.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 105.1 points and 39.4 rebounds per matchup.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 24.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Jayson Tatum averages 8.0 rebounds and Payton Pritchard 3.1 (41.9%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 117.9 points, 43.2 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 6.9 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 45.8% from the field and 81.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 125.1 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 18.8 points and 10.3 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.2 assists and Tyler Herro 2.4 (34.3%) 3-pointers.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Our expert Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Bank on Celtics to cover the -5.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -108 for this NBA showdown.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NBA stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Celtics vs Heat stats:

  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games against Celtics.

Celtics -5.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Game Prediction
Celtics -5.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:02, 01 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 27.5 Points -110 BetMGM logo

Jaylen Brown (Celtics) has scored Over 27.5 points in 6 straight games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -110 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Jaylen Brown Player Prop Odds


Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds -106 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has covered the 10.5 rebounds total in 3 straight games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with odds of -106 now available.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Celtics -5.5
Totals Under 229.5
Player Points Jaylen Brown Over 27.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Celtics to cover the -5.5 spread along with Under 229.5. Add in Jaylen Brown (Celtics) to score Over 27.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Celtics Celtics logo 117 - 107 Heat logo Heat

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Celtics to enjoy a 117-107 winning scoreline.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Celtics Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Boston Celtics as -208 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 68% likely to win. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +176.

5.5 is the spread and 229.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 229.5 can get -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best NBA sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jaylen Brown Favorite to Get Most Points

Jaylen Brown is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -123 that he gets Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -104.

Player Points
Player Assists
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-132
Under 5.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
Over 4.5
-141
Under 4.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Derrick White (Celtics)
Over 4.5
-156
Under 4.5
+121
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Neemias Queta (Celtics)
Over 9.5
+107
Under 9.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
Over 8.5
+109
Under 8.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 6.5
-141
Under 6.5
+109
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Celtics Have Won Last Nine Head-to-Head Meetings at Kaseya Center

The Heat have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 122.10 points scored and 115.70 points allowed.

The Celtics own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 106.00 points per contest and conceding 100.40.

The Celtics beat the Heat 119-114 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. Over the previous 10 head-to-head clashes at Kaseya Center, the Celtics have collected nine victories, while the Heat have one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O229.5 U229.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 7-3 237.80 122.10 115.70 6 4
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Away Stats 6-4 206.40 106.00 100.40 1 9
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O229.5 = Games Over 229.5 Points
  • U229.5 = Games Under 229.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Boston Celtics Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaylen Brown 66 34.36 1885 346 28.6 5.2 1.9 7.1 0.4 1.0
Derrick White 71 34.28 1205 390 17.0 5.5 2.7 4.5 1.4 1.2
Payton Pritchard 73 32.51 1242 376 17.0 5.2 2.6 4.0 0.1 0.7

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 67 32.25 1349 201 20.1 3.0 1.7 10.0 0.7 1.1
Tyler Herro 29 31.44 625 111 21.6 3.8 2.6 4.7 0.4 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 62 30.67 967 167 15.6 2.7 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Boston Celtics Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Boston Celtics Lineups

30 Mar NBA
Celtics 102-112 Hawks
29 Mar NBA
Celtics 114-99 Hornets
27 Mar NBA
Hawks 102-109 Celtics
25 Mar NBA
Thunder 109-119 Celtics
22 Mar NBA
Timberwolves 102-92 Celtics
20 Mar NBA
Celtics 117-112 Grizzlies
18 Mar NBA
Warriors 99-120 Celtics
16 Mar NBA
Suns 112-120 Celtics
14 Mar NBA
Wizards 100-111 Celtics
12 Mar NBA
Celtics 102-104 Thunder

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

30 Mar NBA
76ers 109-119 Heat
29 Mar NBA
Heat 118-135 Pacers
27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 50 25 0.667 114 106.9 7.1 26-11 24-14 9-5 31-15 7-3 1L
Knicks 48 28 0.632 116.5 110.5 6 27-9 21-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 3L
Raptors 42 33 0.56 114.3 112.2 2.1 21-16 21-17 4-10 30-17 6-4 1L
76ers 41 34 0.547 116.1 116.5 -0.4 21-17 20-17 9-7 24-24 6-4 1L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 28 0.627 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 23-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 2W
Bucks 30 45 0.4 110.6 116.6 -6 17-21 13-24 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 29 46 0.387 116.3 121.1 -4.8 18-20 11-26 4-11 17-29 2-8 4L
Pacers 17 58 0.227 112.2 120.6 -8.4 11-27 6-31 3-10 13-33 2-8 1W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 43 33 0.566 118.2 116.2 2 23-16 20-17 8-6 24-22 8-2 2W
Magic 40 35 0.533 115.3 115.1 0.2 24-15 16-20 9-7 24-24 3-7 1W
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Heat 40 36 0.526 120.2 117.8 2.4 24-14 16-22 7-7 24-22 3-7 1W
Wizards 17 58 0.227 112.5 123.9 -11.4 11-26 6-32 2-12 11-34 1-9 3L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Nuggets 48 28 0.632 121.3 116.6 4.7 24-13 24-15 8-5 30-16 8-2 6W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 38 38 0.5 115.3 116.1 -0.8 21-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 7-3 1W
Jazz 21 55 0.276 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-26 8-29 1-13 11-35 1-9 6L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 49 26 0.653 116.7 114.7 2 25-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 3W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 36 0.52 114 112.5 1.5 21-15 18-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 5W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Kings 19 57 0.25 110.7 121.1 -10.4 13-25 6-32 3-10 12-35 3-7 4L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Rockets 46 29 0.613 114.4 109.9 4.5 26-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 3W
Grizzlies 25 50 0.333 115 119.3 -4.3 14-24 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 1L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 50 25 0.667 114 106.9 7.1 26-11 24-14 9-5 31-15 7-3 1L
Knicks 48 28 0.632 116.5 110.5 6 27-9 21-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 3L
Cavaliers 47 28 0.627 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 23-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 2W
Hawks 43 33 0.566 118.2 116.2 2 23-16 20-17 8-6 24-22 8-2 2W
Raptors 42 33 0.56 114.3 112.2 2.1 21-16 21-17 4-10 30-17 6-4 1L
76ers 41 34 0.547 116.1 116.5 -0.4 21-17 20-17 9-7 24-24 6-4 1L
Magic 40 35 0.533 115.3 115.1 0.2 24-15 16-20 9-7 24-24 3-7 1W
Heat 40 36 0.526 120.2 117.8 2.4 24-14 16-22 7-7 24-22 3-7 1W
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Bucks 30 45 0.4 110.6 116.6 -6 17-21 13-24 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 29 46 0.387 116.3 121.1 -4.8 18-20 11-26 4-11 17-29 2-8 4L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Wizards 17 58 0.227 112.5 123.9 -11.4 11-26 6-32 2-12 11-34 1-9 3L
Pacers 17 58 0.227 112.2 120.6 -8.4 11-27 6-31 3-10 13-33 2-8 1W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Lakers 49 26 0.653 116.7 114.7 2 25-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 3W
Nuggets 48 28 0.632 121.3 116.6 4.7 24-13 24-15 8-5 30-16 8-2 6W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Rockets 46 29 0.613 114.4 109.9 4.5 26-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 3W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 36 0.52 114 112.5 1.5 21-15 18-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 5W
Trail Blazers 38 38 0.5 115.3 116.1 -0.8 21-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 7-3 1W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 25 50 0.333 115 119.3 -4.3 14-24 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 1L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 55 0.276 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-26 8-29 1-13 11-35 1-9 6L
Kings 19 57 0.25 110.7 121.1 -10.4 13-25 6-32 3-10 12-35 3-7 4L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 50 25 0.667 114 106.9 7.1 26-11 24-14 9-5 31-15 7-3 1L
Lakers 49 26 0.653 116.7 114.7 2 25-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 3W
Nuggets 48 28 0.632 121.3 116.6 4.7 24-13 24-15 8-5 30-16 8-2 6W
Knicks 48 28 0.632 116.5 110.5 6 27-9 21-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 3L
Cavaliers 47 28 0.627 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 23-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 2W
Rockets 46 29 0.613 114.4 109.9 4.5 26-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 3W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Hawks 43 33 0.566 118.2 116.2 2 23-16 20-17 8-6 24-22 8-2 2W
Raptors 42 33 0.56 114.3 112.2 2.1 21-16 21-17 4-10 30-17 6-4 1L
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
76ers 41 34 0.547 116.1 116.5 -0.4 21-17 20-17 9-7 24-24 6-4 1L
Magic 40 35 0.533 115.3 115.1 0.2 24-15 16-20 9-7 24-24 3-7 1W
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Heat 40 36 0.526 120.2 117.8 2.4 24-14 16-22 7-7 24-22 3-7 1W
Clippers 39 36 0.52 114 112.5 1.5 21-15 18-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 5W
Trail Blazers 38 38 0.5 115.3 116.1 -0.8 21-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 7-3 1W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Bucks 30 45 0.4 110.6 116.6 -6 17-21 13-24 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 29 46 0.387 116.3 121.1 -4.8 18-20 11-26 4-11 17-29 2-8 4L
Grizzlies 25 50 0.333 115 119.3 -4.3 14-24 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 1L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 55 0.276 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-26 8-29 1-13 11-35 1-9 6L
Kings 19 57 0.25 110.7 121.1 -10.4 13-25 6-32 3-10 12-35 3-7 4L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Pacers 17 58 0.227 112.2 120.6 -8.4 11-27 6-31 3-10 13-33 2-8 1W
Wizards 17 58 0.227 112.5 123.9 -11.4 11-26 6-32 2-12 11-34 1-9 3L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak