Boston Celtics
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Celtics vs Heat

The Boston Celtics take the floor against the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Celtics Look Value for This Contest

There’s a case for backing the Celtics against the spread in their clash against the Heat. The line looks attractive considering you can get odds of -108 when it comes to the favorites at -5.5.

Celtics Have 9 Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Boston Celtics were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at State Farm Arena. Atlanta Hawks claimed a 112-102 win. Jaylen Brown tallied 29 points, while Luka Garza put up 20 and Payton Pritchard 16.

Miami Heat were winners last time out. It was a 119-109 home victory against Philadelphia 76ers at Kaseya Center. Tyler Herro had 30 points, Bam Adebayo racked up 23 points and 16 rebounds, while Pelle Larsson recorded 20 points and 10 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Celtics claim a 98-96 win over the Heat at TD Garden. The Celtics have beaten the Heat in the past three matchups. They’ve also claimed 9 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics logo Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Celtics are averaging 110.6 points, 47.8 rebounds, 23.0 assists, 6.5 steals and 3.4 blocks while shooting 44.6% from the field and 85.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 105.1 points and 39.4 rebounds per matchup.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 24.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Jayson Tatum averages 8.0 rebounds and Payton Pritchard 3.1 (41.9%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 117.9 points, 43.2 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 6.9 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 45.8% from the field and 81.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 125.1 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 18.8 points and 10.3 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.2 assists and Tyler Herro 2.4 (34.3%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics lineup: Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Our expert Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Bank on Celtics to cover the -5.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -108 for this NBA showdown.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NBA stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Celtics vs Heat stats:

  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games against Celtics.

Celtics -5.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Game Prediction
Celtics -5.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:02, 01 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 27.5 Points -106 BetMGM logo

Jaylen Brown (Celtics) has scored Over 27.5 points in 6 straight games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -106 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Jaylen Brown Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Under 23.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has averaged 19.75 points in the past 4 games at home. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can wager on Player Points at betting odds of -120.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Celtics -5.5
Totals Under 229.5
Player Points Jaylen Brown Over 27.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Celtics to cover the -5.5 spread along with Under 229.5. Add in Jaylen Brown (Celtics) to score Over 27.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Celtics Celtics logo 117 - 107 Heat logo Heat

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Celtics to enjoy a 117-107 winning scoreline.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Celtics Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Boston Celtics as -189 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +158.

4.5 is the spread and 229.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 229.5 can get -106.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best NBA sportsbooks offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jaylen Brown Favorite to Get Most Points

Jaylen Brown is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -123 that he gets Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -110.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+114
Under 6.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-164
BetMGM Logo
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
Over 4.5
-164
Under 4.5
+120
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
Over 8.5
-106
Under 8.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Neemias Queta (Celtics)
Over 8.5
-143
Under 8.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 6.5
-137
Under 6.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Celtics Have Won Last Nine Head-to-Head Meetings at Kaseya Center

The Heat have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 122.10 points scored and 115.70 points allowed.

The Celtics own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 106.00 points per contest and conceding 100.40.

The Celtics beat the Heat 119-114 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. Over the previous 10 head-to-head clashes at Kaseya Center, the Celtics have collected nine victories, while the Heat have one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O229.5 U229.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 7-3 237.80 122.10 115.70 6 4
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Away Stats 6-4 206.40 106.00 100.40 1 9
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O229.5 = Games Over 229.5 Points
  • U229.5 = Games Under 229.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Boston Celtics Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaylen Brown 66 34.36 1885 346 28.6 5.2 1.9 7.1 0.4 1.0
Derrick White 71 34.28 1205 390 17.0 5.5 2.7 4.5 1.4 1.2
Payton Pritchard 73 32.51 1242 376 17.0 5.2 2.6 4.0 0.1 0.7

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 67 32.25 1349 201 20.1 3.0 1.7 10.0 0.7 1.1
Tyler Herro 29 31.44 625 111 21.6 3.8 2.6 4.7 0.4 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 62 30.67 967 167 15.6 2.7 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Boston Celtics Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
45 Davion Mitchell
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup
0 Jayson Tatum
7 Jaylen Brown
9 Derrick White
30 Sam Hauser
88 Neemias Queta

Previous Boston Celtics Lineups

30 Mar NBA
Celtics 102-112 Hawks
29 Mar NBA
Celtics 114-99 Hornets
27 Mar NBA
Hawks 102-109 Celtics
25 Mar NBA
Thunder 109-119 Celtics
22 Mar NBA
Timberwolves 102-92 Celtics
20 Mar NBA
Celtics 117-112 Grizzlies
18 Mar NBA
Warriors 99-120 Celtics
16 Mar NBA
Suns 112-120 Celtics
14 Mar NBA
Wizards 100-111 Celtics
12 Mar NBA
Celtics 102-104 Thunder

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

30 Mar NBA
76ers 109-119 Heat
29 Mar NBA
Heat 118-135 Pacers
27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak