Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Buffalo vs Toledo

The Buffalo Bulls square off against the Toledo Rockets, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, March 6.

Our prediction is for Toledo to cover the attractive -7.5 line when they face Buffalo. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -110 is available on the spread.

Buffalo Bulls won their previous game, beating Eastern Michigan Eagles at home. It was a 72-67 win.

Toledo Rockets were beaten last game and this was on the road. Miami-Ohio RedHawks claimed a 74-72 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Buffalo claim a 87-74 win over Toledo. Toledo have won eight of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Buffalo	17-13	2349	2266	83	8-8	9-5	1W
Toledo	16-14	2426	2303	123	10-4	6-10	1L

View Full Standings

Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction & Picks

Approach Buffalo vs Toledo fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

Toledo really stand out in this college contest. Back them at -7.5 on the spread with the confidence that the betting favorites cover the line at -110.

We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Buffalo vs Toledo stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 7 of their last 10 games against Buffalo.

Toledo -7.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction

Toledo -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Buffalo 67 - 79 Toledo

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Rockets to achieve a 79-67 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

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Buffalo vs Toledo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Toledo are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -286 about them triumphing means a 74% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Buffalo are trading at +230.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 152.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 152.5, then the odds are -110.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Buffalo

+230

Toledo

-286

Point Spread

Buffalo +7.5

-110

Toledo -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Stats

Toledo Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 77.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	30-0	2708	2214	494	17-0	13-0	27W
Akron	25-5	2683	2230	453	15-2	10-3	6W
Kent State	21-8	2457	2332	125	14-3	7-5	1W
Bowling Green	17-13	2449	2144	305	12-7	5-6	1W
Buffalo	17-13	2349	2266	83	8-8	9-5	1W
Toledo	16-14	2426	2303	123	10-4	6-10	1L
UMass	16-15	2494	2402	92	11-6	5-9	1W
Ohio	15-15	2309	2319	-10	11-7	4-8	2L
Ball State	11-19	2008	2085	-77	7-7	4-12	3W
Central Michigan	10-20	2206	2299	-93	8-5	2-15	1L
Western Michigan	10-20	2240	2378	-138	7-8	3-12	2L
Eastern Michigan	9-20	2036	2154	-118	6-6	3-14	3L
Northern Illinois	9-20	2031	2240	-209	6-7	3-13	4L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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