Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Cal Poly vs UC San Diego

The Cal Poly Mustangs go up against the UC San Diego Tritons, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, March 11.

We’re going for a modest total when Cal Poly and UCSD take to the court. Under 159.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -105.

Cal Poly Mustangs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 108-76 triumph against Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs were beaten last game and this was on the road. High Point Panthers claimed a 75-71 win.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC San Diego	22-10	2431	2241	190	13-5	9-5	1W
Cal Poly	14-18	2641	2733	-92	8-7	6-11	1W

View Full Standings

Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction & Picks

Step into Cal Poly vs UC San Diego with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 159.5, so we’re prepared to take the -105 that the pair go under the line in this college contest.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Cal Poly vs UC San Diego stats:

• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 14 UCSD games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 UCSD games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 159.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

Bigger odds are always a good thing and bettors can regularly move the line when it comes to wagering Under on the Totals. Choose the option which suits you best.

Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.

Our Game Prediction

Under 159.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 14:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Cal Poly 71 - 81 UC San Diego

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Tritons on the correct score lines. For example, a 81-71 victory in their favor is available at massive odds.

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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 70% chance of securing victory, UC San Diego are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -233. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +190 about Cal Poly.

The spread currently stands at 5.5 and the total points line is 160.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 160.5 can get -105.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Cal Poly

+190

UCSD

-233

Point Spread

Cal Poly +5.5

-110

UCSD -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 160.5

-105

Over 160.5

-115

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cal Poly Stats

UC San Diego Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.10 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.80 pts and allowed 68.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 69.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	22-8	2399	2104	295	16-3	6-5	1L
UC Irvine	22-10	2473	2178	295	13-5	9-5	4W
UC San Diego	22-10	2431	2241	190	13-5	9-5	1W
Cal State Northridge	19-13	2609	2550	59	12-3	7-10	1L
UCSB	18-13	2410	2249	161	12-4	6-9	2L
UC Davis	18-13	2413	2323	90	12-4	6-9	1L
Cal State Fullerton	17-15	2677	2630	47	11-5	6-10	2W
Cal Poly	14-18	2641	2733	-92	8-7	6-11	1W
Long Beach State	10-22	2396	2489	-93	7-9	3-13	1W
UC Riverside	10-22	2332	2492	-160	7-7	3-15	1L
CSU Bakersfield	8-24	2339	2627	-288	6-11	2-13	15L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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