Chicago Sky
Basketball WNBA PHX Arena Thu 28 Aug 22:00
Phoenix Mercury
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Sky vs Mercury

The Chicago Sky face off against the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Few Points Expected

The Unders looks the way to go when the Sky meet the Mercury. The line looks too high at 164 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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7 Triumphs for Mercury in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Chicago Sky were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Las Vegas Aces by a 79-74 scoreline at Wintrust Arena.

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 92-84 at Crypto.com Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 83-67 triumph when facing the Sky at Wintrust Arena. The Mercury have racked up six straight victories over the Sky. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
View Full Standings

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 164 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this WNBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the WNBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Sky vs Mercury stats:

  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sky games.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Sky games.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games at home.
  • The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mercury games.

Under 164 Probability

According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Best Bet

Under 164 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:52, 28 August 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Angel Reese Over 3.5 Assists -114 BetMGM logo

Angel Reese (Sky) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 assists at -114. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds

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Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists +112 BetMGM logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Under 9.5 assists at +112. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on her failing to cover the Player Assists total here.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 164
Spread Mercury -12
Player Assists Angel Reese Over 3.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 164. We’ve also gone for Mercury -12 and Angel Reese (Sky) to get Over 3.5 assists.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Sky Sky logo 73 - 87 Mercury logo Mercury

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 87-73 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -769 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 88% chance of winning this WNBA game. Chicago Sky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +490.

The current spread is 12 and total points is 164.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 164.5, then the odds are -108.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -120 can be found for her scoring Over 16.5 points and there is -108 for her to go Under.

Player Points
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Over 16.5
-120
Under 16.5
-108
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 16.5
-114
Under 16.5
-114
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 14.5
-109
Under 14.5
-119
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Player Assists
Player Rebounds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
-120
Under 9.5
-108
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Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)
Over 9.5
+120
Under 9.5
-156
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 5.5
+112
Under 5.5
-145
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Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Sky logo Chicago Sky Stats
Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W