Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Sky vs Mercury

The Sky face off against the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 28, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Few Points Expected

The Unders looks the way to go when the Sky meet the Mercury. The line looks too high at 164 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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7 Triumphs for Mercury in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Chicago Sky were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Las Vegas Aces by a 79-74 scoreline at Wintrust Arena.

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 92-84 at Crypto.com Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 83-67 triumph when facing the Sky at Wintrust Arena. The Mercury have racked up six straight victories over the Sky. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	23	14	3077	2963	114	12-6	11-8	2W
12  Sky	9	28	2809	3191	-382	5-15	4-13	2L

View Full Standings

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 164 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this WNBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the WNBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Sky vs Mercury stats:

• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sky games.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Sky games.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games at home.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mercury games.

Under 164 Probability

According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

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Best Bet

Under 164 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Angel Reese Over 3.5 Assists -114

Angel Reese (Sky) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 assists at -114. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-119

Assists

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 12.5

+106

Under 12.5

-137

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Alyssa Thomas Under 9.5 Assists +112

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Under 9.5 assists at +112. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on her failing to cover the Player Assists total here.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Assists

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+114

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-101

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Correct Score Prediction

Sky 73 - 87 Mercury

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 87-73 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -833 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 89% chance of winning this WNBA game. Chicago Sky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +520.

The current spread is 12 and total points is 164. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 164, then the odds are -106.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Sky

+520

Mercury

-833

Point Spread

Sky +12

-108

Mercury -12

-112

Total Points

Under 164

-106

Over 164

-114

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -120 can be found for her scoring Over 16.5 points and there is -108 for her to go Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-120

Under 16.5

-108

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-123

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-130

Ariel Atkins (Sky)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-100

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-119

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 12.5

-116

Under 12.5

-111

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-120

Rachel Banham (Sky)

Over 9.5

+130

Under 9.5

-169

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+139

Under 9.5

-182

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+114

Ariel Atkins (Sky)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 12.5

+106

Under 12.5

-137

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-101

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-156

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-139

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-167

Ariel Atkins (Sky)

Over 3.5

-145

Under 3.5

+112

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Sky Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +12 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -12 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.80 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 86.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	7	3209	2834	375	18-1	12-6	2W
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	23	14	3077	2963	114	12-6	11-8	2W
5  Liberty	23	15	3253	3097	156	15-5	8-10	1W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
8  Storm	20	19	3207	3128	79	8-10	12-9	1L
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	22	2991	3076	-85	10-10	6-12	4L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	28	2809	3191	-382	5-15	4-13	2L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L