Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Aug 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury
The Chicago Sky face off against the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
The Unders looks the way to go when the Sky meet the Mercury. The line looks too high at 164 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.
Chicago Sky were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Las Vegas Aces by a 79-74 scoreline at Wintrust Arena.
Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Los Angeles Sparks were beaten 92-84 at Crypto.com Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 83-67 triumph when facing the Sky at Wintrust Arena. The Mercury have racked up six straight victories over the Sky. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10
Sky
|
15 | 23 | 3320 | 3415 | -95 | 10-10 | 5-13 | 1L |
11
Mercury
|
13 | 24 | 3109 | 3247 | -138 | 5-12 | 8-12 | 2L |
Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Let’s go Under the 164 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this WNBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.
Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the WNBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.
Key Sky vs Mercury stats:
Under 164 Probability
According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Angel Reese (Sky) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 assists at -114. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.
Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Under 9.5 assists at +112. There’s no reason to oppose our instinct, so we’ll bet on her failing to cover the Player Assists total here.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 164. We’ve also gone for Mercury -12 and Angel Reese (Sky) to get Over 3.5 assists.
A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
73
-
87
Mercury
If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 87-73 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.
Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -769 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 88% chance of winning this WNBA game. Chicago Sky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +490.
The current spread is 12 and total points is 164.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 164.5, then the odds are -108.
There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -120 can be found for her scoring Over 16.5 points and there is -108 for her to go Under.
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.
- WNBA: 16/05 2026 Sky 83 Mercury 91
- WNBA: 29/08 2025 Sky 79 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 04/08 2025 Mercury 83 Sky 67
- WNBA: 21/06 2025 Mercury 107 Sky 86
- WNBA: 28/05 2025 Sky 89 Mercury 94
- WNBA: 16/09 2024 Mercury 93 Sky 88
- WNBA: 19/08 2024 Sky 68 Mercury 86
- WNBA: 16/08 2024 Mercury 85 Sky 65
- WNBA: 30/07 2023 Mercury 85 Sky 104
- WNBA: 21/07 2023 Sky 62 Mercury 80
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Chicago Sky Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 185.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 174.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 174.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.30 pts and allowed 93.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 88.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 172.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 178.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 174.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 174.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 91.10 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
31 | 8 | 3571 | 3248 | 323 | 14-6 | 17-2 | 1L |
2
Valkyries
|
26 | 11 | 3051 | 2824 | 227 | 15-5 | 11-6 | 1W |
3
Aces
|
26 | 13 | 3531 | 3388 | 143 | 12-7 | 14-6 | 2W |
4
Dream
|
25 | 13 | 3460 | 3246 | 214 | 12-6 | 13-7 | 4W |
5
Fever
|
25 | 14 | 3769 | 3547 | 222 | 13-6 | 12-8 | 1W |
6
Liberty
|
23 | 15 | 3448 | 3329 | 119 | 13-5 | 10-10 | 1W |
7
Mystics
|
22 | 15 | 3057 | 3076 | -19 | 13-7 | 9-8 | 1W |
8
Wings
|
22 | 16 | 3367 | 3265 | 102 | 12-6 | 10-10 | 2W |
9
Fire
|
15 | 22 | 3215 | 3377 | -162 | 8-11 | 7-11 | 2L |
|
10
Sky
|
15 | 23 | 3320 | 3415 | -95 | 10-10 | 5-13 | 1L |
|
11
Mercury
|
13 | 24 | 3109 | 3247 | -138 | 5-12 | 8-12 | 2L |
12
Sparks
|
13 | 25 | 3316 | 3516 | -200 | 6-13 | 7-12 | 1L |
13
Tempo
|
11 | 26 | 3229 | 3467 | -238 | 7-13 | 4-13 | 1L |
14
Sun
|
9 | 27 | 2845 | 3133 | -288 | 6-12 | 3-15 | 2L |
15
Storm
|
7 | 31 | 3150 | 3360 | -210 | 5-13 | 2-18 | 3L |
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