Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Warriors

The Dallas Mavericks face the Golden State Warriors in this NBA Christmas Day clash. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Go Over the Total and Cheer on Points

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Mavericks play the Warriors. Our prediction is that there will be Over 227.5 points and that is on offer at -114.

Warriors Overcame Mavs in Previous Matchup

Dallas Mavericks have lost their previous four road games. Their latest appearance was a 131-130 home triumph at American Airlines Center against Denver Nuggets. Cooper Flagg tallied 33 points, while Anthony Davis put up 31 and Naji Marshall 15.

Golden State Warriors last game was a 120-97 home win. This victory over Orlando Magic at Chase Center made it back-to-back wins. Stephen Curry scored 26 points, with Jimmy Butler putting up 21 and Moses Moody contributing 20.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors beat the Mavs when the teams last met. It was a 126-102 scoreline at Chase Center. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Warriors logo Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Mavericks logo Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Take on Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals for this NBA game. Our pick is for Over 227.5 points to be scored at odds of -114 which makes lots of appeal.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each NBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Mavericks vs Warriors stats:

  • The 227.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Mavs games.
  • The 227.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mavs games.
  • The 227.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Mavs games.
  • The 227.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Warriors games.

Over 227.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction
Over 227.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 24, 21:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:55, 24 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Naji Marshall Over 13.5 Points -115 BetMGM logo

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has had Over 13.5 points in 9 straight games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -115 available that it’s covered.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds


Brandin Podziemski Over 3.5 Assists +140 BetMGM logo

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) has covered the 3.5 assists total in 5 straight games at home. You can secure betting odds of +140 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal.

Latest Brandin Podziemski Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 227.5
Spread Warriors -7.5
Player Points Naji Marshall Over 13.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Over 227.5. We’ve also gone for Warriors -7.5 and Naji Marshall (Mavs) to score Over 13.5 points.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks Mavericks logo 111 - 123 Warriors logo Warriors

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Warriors to achieve a winning scoreline of 123-111 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Make Warriors Likelier Winners

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Golden State Warriors are -204 favorites to win and that means a 67% chance of landing a victory. Dallas Mavericks are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +170.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 226.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. The Over 226.5 selection is available to back at -110.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Stephen Curry Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Stephen Curry is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -110 that he goes Over 29.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 29.5
-110
Under 29.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 24.5
-105
Under 24.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 21.5
-115
Under 21.5
-115
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 20.5
-104
Under 20.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+108
Under 5.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-133
Under 4.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-137
Under 4.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 3.5
-141
Under 3.5
+106
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 12.5
+105
Under 12.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 6.5
-103
Under 6.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-103
Under 6.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-141
Under 6.5
+106
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Chase Center
Chase Center
Warriors Hold Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

The Warriors are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, averaging 116.40 points scored and 109.80 points allowed.

The Mavericks have taken four straight defeats on the road. They have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 114.40 points per contest and conceding 120.30.

The Warriors defeated the Mavs 126-102 when the teams last met at Chase Center. Looking back at the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Chase Center, the Warriors have posted seven victories, while the Mavs have logged three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O227.5 U227.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 6-4 226.20 116.40 109.80 5 5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Away Stats 3-7 234.70 114.40 120.30 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O227.5 = Games Over 227.5 Points
  • U227.5 = Games Under 227.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cooper Flagg 29 34.54 559 110 19.3 3.8 0.9 6.7 0.9 1.2
PJ Washington 25 31.91 392 51 15.7 2.0 1.5 7.9 1.4 1.1
Anthony Davis 15 31.2 325 45 21.7 3.0 0.7 11.4 1.5 1.3

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 21 31.6 602 90 28.7 4.3 4.9 4.2 0.5 1.3
Jimmy Butler 26 31.37 517 123 19.9 4.7 0.9 5.5 0.3 1.5
Brandin Podziemski 30 27.79 372 99 12.4 3.3 1.9 4.5 0.2 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
4 Moses Moody
10 Jimmy Butler
21 Quinten Post
23 Draymond Green
30 Stephen Curry
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup
3 Anthony Davis
9 Ryan Nembhard
13 Naji Marshall
25 PJ Washington
32 Cooper Flagg

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

23 Dec NBA
Nuggets 130-131 Mavericks
22 Dec NBA
Mavericks 113-119 Pelicans
20 Dec NBA
Mavericks 114-121 76ers
18 Dec NBA
Pistons 114-116 Mavericks
15 Dec NBA
Mavericks 133-140 Jazz
12 Dec NBA
Nets 111-119 Mavericks
06 Dec NBA
Rockets 109-122 Mavericks
05 Dec NBA
Mavericks 111-132 Thunder
03 Dec NBA
Heat 108-118 Mavericks
01 Dec NBA
Mavericks 131-121 Nuggets

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

22 Dec NBA
Magic 97-120 Warriors
20 Dec NBA
Suns 116-119 Warriors
18 Dec NBA
Warriors 98-99 Suns
14 Dec NBA
Warriors 131-136 Trail Blazers
12 Dec NBA
Timberwolves 127-120 Warriors
07 Dec NBA
Warriors 123-91 Bulls
06 Dec NBA
Warriors 99-94 Cavaliers
04 Dec NBA
Warriors 98-99 76ers
02 Dec NBA
Thunder 124-112 Warriors
29 Nov NBA
Pelicans 96-104 Warriors

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak