Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Warriors

A Low-Scoring Game Set to Happen?

Under 232.5 points looks like an attractive total bet. The Nuggets and the Warriors might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at -106.

Think our Totals pick looks strong? Read our in-depth BetMGM review before you dive in, and don’t forget to grab the latest bonus promo code.

Nuggets Have 9 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

The Denver Nuggets ended their 2024–25 campaign with a 4–3 series loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference Semifinals. In Game 7, they suffered a 125–93 road defeat at Paycom Center. Nikola Jokic scored 20 points, with Christian Braun putting up 19 and Jamal Murray 13.

The Golden State Warriors opened their season on Tuesday night with a 119–109 road win over the LA Lakers at Crypto.com Arena. Offensively, Jimmy Butler poured in 31 points, with Stephen Curry contributing 23 and Buddy Hield 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors beat the Nuggets when the teams last met. It was a 118-104 scoreline at Chase Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in nine Nuggets victories.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Warriors logo Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
View Full Standings
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 110.0 points, 47.0 rebounds, 22.2 assists, 7.6 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 113.5 points and 43.2 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.3 points, 12.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.5 (34.7%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 106.3 points, 38.9 rebounds, 22.8 assists, 8.3 steals and 3.8 blocks per game while shooting 43.6% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 109.5 points and 39.9 rebounds.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.0 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists, while Buddy Hield has an average of 3.2 (45.1%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Our Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this NBA contest on the totals. Our pick is Under 232.5 points which is currently available at odds of -106.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Nuggets vs Warriors stats:

  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Nuggets games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nuggets games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Nuggets games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Warriors games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Warriors games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Warriors games.
  • The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 232.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction
Under 232.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:06, 23 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Under 8.5 Assists +105 BetMGM logo

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has totaled Under 8.5 assists in 9 of the past 10 games. There is a strong case for siding with him to fall short of the Player Assists line, with odds of +105 available.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

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Stephen Curry Under 24.5 Points -109 BetMGM logo

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has an average of 19.5 points in the past 6 games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -109.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 233.5
Spread Warriors -1.5
Player Assists Nikola Jokic Under 8.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 233.5 on the total, Warriors to cover the -1.5 spread and Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) to get Under 8.5 assists.

The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 109 - 116 Warriors logo Warriors

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Warriors can be backed speculatively to achieve a 116-109 victory.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Struggling to Separate Teams

Golden State Warriors are -110 to win against Denver Nuggets who are priced at betting odds of -106. The probability of the home team winning this NBA game is 52% according to the sportsbooks.

1.5 is the spread and 233.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 233.5 can find odds of -110 available.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -114 to score Over 27.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 27.5
-114
Under 27.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 24.5
-122
Under 24.5
-109
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 20.5
-120
Under 20.5
-112
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 18.5
-122
Under 18.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 8.5
-139
Under 8.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-100
Under 5.5
-133
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
-104
Under 5.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-114
Under 5.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 12.5
-110
Under 12.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-112
Under 5.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
-109
Under 5.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers
Chase Center
Chase Center
Warriors Run Includes Three Consecutive Home Losses

The Warriors are riding a skid of three straight defeats at Chase Center. They are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, posting 109.20 points per contest while yielding 109.70.

The Nuggets have dropped three consecutive away games. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 106.80 points on average and giving up 117.70.

The Warriors defeated the Nuggets 118-104 the last time they played at Chase Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Chase Center, the Nuggets have won six while the Warriors have taken four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O232.5 U232.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 4-6 218.90 109.20 109.70 2 8
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 4-6 224.50 106.80 117.70 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O232.5 = Games Over 232.5 Points
  • U232.5 = Games Under 232.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jimmy Butler 1 34.7 31 4 31.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 - 1.0
Jonathan Kuminga 1 32.9 17 6 17.0 6.0 4.0 9.0 - 1.0
Brandin Podziemski 1 32.5 7 2 7.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 - 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
De'Anthony Melton
Injured
Alex Toohey
Injured

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
1 Jonathan Kuminga
2 Brandin Podziemski
10 Jimmy Butler
23 Draymond Green
30 Stephen Curry
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

18 May NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 93-125 Thunder
15 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 107-119 Nuggets
13 May NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 105-112 Thunder
11 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 92-87 Nuggets
09 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 104-113 Nuggets
07 May NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 106-149 Thunder
05 May NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 121-119 Thunder
03 May NBA Playoffs
Clippers 101-120 Nuggets
01 May NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 105-111 Clippers
29 Apr NBA Playoffs
Clippers 115-131 Nuggets

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

21 Oct NBA
Warriors 119-109 Lakers
14 May NBA Playoffs
Warriors 110-121 Timberwolves
12 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 117-110 Warriors
10 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 102-97 Warriors
08 May NBA Playoffs
Warriors 93-117 Timberwolves
06 May NBA Playoffs
Warriors 99-88 Timberwolves
04 May NBA Playoffs
Warriors 103-89 Rockets
02 May NBA Playoffs
Rockets 115-107 Warriors
30 Apr NBA Playoffs
Warriors 116-131 Rockets
28 Apr NBA Playoffs
Rockets 106-109 Warriors

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 1 0.96 123.6 106.2 17.4 12-0 12-1 5-1 20-1 10-0 16W
Pistons 19 5 0.792 118.7 113.3 5.4 11-2 8-3 5-3 14-5 7-3 2W
Nuggets 17 6 0.739 125 116.3 8.7 6-4 11-2 2-1 12-5 7-3 3W
Rockets 15 6 0.714 120.9 110.3 10.6 7-2 8-4 2-2 8-5 7-3 1L
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Knicks 17 7 0.708 120.5 111.9 8.6 13-1 4-6 5-1 13-7 8-2 4W
Spurs 17 7 0.708 120.1 115.4 4.7 9-2 8-5 7-0 11-6 7-3 2W
Celtics 15 9 0.625 117.3 110.6 6.7 8-4 7-5 4-4 11-6 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 15 9 0.625 119.6 114.8 4.8 8-4 7-5 3-3 10-8 6-4 1L
Magic 15 10 0.6 117.8 113.4 4.4 10-4 5-6 5-2 12-8 7-3 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
76ers 13 10 0.565 116.9 116.1 0.8 7-7 6-3 5-2 11-9 5-5 1L
Hawks 14 11 0.56 118 116.5 1.5 4-6 10-5 4-1 8-7 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 14 11 0.56 118.6 115.4 3.2 9-6 5-5 6-0 11-8 4-6 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 12 0.52 113.5 111.7 1.8 7-3 6-9 3-1 10-7 4-6 2W
Grizzlies 11 13 0.458 113.6 115.3 -1.7 6-6 5-7 4-3 10-7 7-3 2W
Bucks 10 15 0.4 115.1 118 -2.9 7-7 3-8 3-4 8-11 2-8 2L
Bulls 9 14 0.391 117.3 122.6 -5.3 6-5 3-9 1-5 6-10 2-8 7L
Trail Blazers 9 15 0.375 117.4 120.6 -3.2 3-6 6-9 3-3 7-10 3-7 2L
Mavericks 9 16 0.36 111.8 116.1 -4.3 6-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 5-5 1W
Jazz 8 15 0.348 117.6 125.8 -8.2 6-7 2-8 0-5 4-11 3-7 2L
Hornets 7 17 0.292 114.2 118.3 -4.1 5-7 2-10 1-4 6-11 3-7 1L
Nets 6 17 0.261 109.4 117.2 -7.8 2-10 4-7 1-7 5-13 4-6 1W
Pacers 6 18 0.25 111.3 118.8 -7.5 5-8 1-10 2-5 4-9 5-5 2W
Clippers 6 18 0.25 111.6 116.8 -5.2 3-7 3-11 1-4 4-11 2-8 2L
Kings 6 18 0.25 111.4 122 -10.6 3-7 3-11 1-3 4-15 3-7 1L
Wizards 3 19 0.136 112.4 128.3 -15.9 2-8 1-11 1-3 2-15 2-8 3L
Pelicans 3 22 0.12 113 123.7 -10.7 2-12 1-10 1-6 1-19 1-9 7L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak