Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Warriors

The Denver Nuggets go up against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA matchup at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, October 23. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

A Low-Scoring Game Set to Happen?

Under 232.5 points looks like an attractive total bet. The Nuggets and the Warriors might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at -106.

Think our Totals pick looks strong? Read our in-depth BetMGM review before you dive in, and don’t forget to grab the latest bonus promo code.

Nuggets Have 9 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

The Denver Nuggets ended their 2024–25 campaign with a 4–3 series loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference Semifinals. In Game 7, they suffered a 125–93 road defeat at Paycom Center. Nikola Jokic scored 20 points, with Christian Braun putting up 19 and Jamal Murray 13.

The Golden State Warriors opened their season on Tuesday night with a 119–109 road win over the LA Lakers at Crypto.com Arena. Offensively, Jimmy Butler poured in 31 points, with Stephen Curry contributing 23 and Buddy Hield 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors beat the Nuggets when the teams last met. It was a 118-104 scoreline at Chase Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in nine Nuggets victories.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 110.0 points, 47.0 rebounds, 22.2 assists, 7.6 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 113.5 points and 43.2 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.3 points, 12.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.5 (34.7%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 106.3 points, 38.9 rebounds, 22.8 assists, 8.3 steals and 3.8 blocks per game while shooting 43.6% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 109.5 points and 39.9 rebounds.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 20.0 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists, while Buddy Hield has an average of 3.2 (45.1%) 3-pointers made.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Our Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this NBA contest on the totals. Our pick is Under 232.5 points which is currently available at odds of -106.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Nuggets vs Warriors stats:

• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Nuggets games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nuggets games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Nuggets games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Warriors games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Warriors games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Warriors games.
• The 232.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 232.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Best Bet

Under 232.5 Points @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stephen Curry Under 25.5 Points -120

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has an average of 19.5 points in the past 6 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -120.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-108

Under 25.5

-120

Assists

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+123

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Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 Assists -145

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has had Under 9.5 assists in 9 of the past 10 games. We’re happy to wager him to fall short of the Player Assists line and this option can be backed at odds of -145.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

-115

Under 28.5

-112

Assists

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-132

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 109 - 116 Warriors

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Warriors can be backed speculatively to achieve a 116-109 victory.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Struggling to Separate Teams

Golden State Warriors are -139 to win against Denver Nuggets who are priced at betting odds of +118. The probability of the home team winning this NBA game is 58% according to the sportsbooks.

2.5 is the spread and 232.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 232.5 can find odds of -106 available.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Nuggets

+118

Warriors

-139

Point Spread

Nuggets +2.5

-112

Warriors -2.5

-108

Total Points

Under 232.5

-106

Over 232.5

-114

Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -115 to score Over 28.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -112.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

-115

Under 28.5

-112

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 25.5

-108

Under 25.5

-120

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 21.5

-106

Under 21.5

-122

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 15.5

-119

Under 15.5

-109

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-108

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-108

Under 14.5

-120

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-106

Under 13.5

-122

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-108

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+103

Under 5.5

-133

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-135

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+109

Under 5.5

-141

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-132

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+116

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

+102

Under 11.5

-132

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-118

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-132

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-145

Under 5.5

+112

Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-139

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-127

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+123

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

Warriors Run Includes Three Consecutive Home Losses

The Warriors are riding a skid of three straight defeats at Chase Center. They are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, posting 109.20 points per contest while yielding 109.70.

The Nuggets have dropped three consecutive away games. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 106.80 points on average and giving up 117.70.

The Warriors defeated the Nuggets 118-104 the last time they played at Chase Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Chase Center, the Nuggets have won six while the Warriors have taken four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O232.5	U232.5
Golden State Warriors Home Stats		4-6	218.90	109.20	109.70	2	8
Denver Nuggets Away Stats		4-6	224.50	106.80	117.70	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O232.5 = Games Over 232.5 Points
• U232.5 = Games Under 232.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 224.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.00 pts and allowed 113.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 106.80 pts and allowed 117.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 215.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 218.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.30 pts and allowed 109.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.20 pts and allowed 109.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.37%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 22.20
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 14.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (79.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 12.80, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 23.40
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 15.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (78.8%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.9, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 26.70
• Assists: 22.80
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.30
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.00 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.20 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (81.94%)
• Rebounds: Total 38.6, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 27.00
• Assists: 26.00
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 21.30

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak