Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Bucks vs Heat

The Milwaukee Bucks take the court against the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat to Overpower Bucks

There’s a strong case for backing the Heat on the spread when they play the Bucks. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -110 when it comes to the favorites at -6.

Bucks Have Claimed 7 Wins in 10 on H2H

Milwaukee Bucks suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 129-114 in their previous game. This was at home to Phoenix Suns at Fiserv Forum. Kyle Kuzma dropped 33 points, as Myles Turner finished with 22 and Giannis Antetokounmpo 22.

Miami Heat last game was a 150-129 home win. This victory over Washington Wizards at Kaseya Center was their sixth successive victory. Offensively, Bam Adebayo led the way, scoring 83, while Simone Fontecchio added 18 and Davion Mitchell 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Bucks who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At Fiserv Forum, a 128-117 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Bucks land seven wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks logo Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
View Full Standings
Milwaukee Bucks – Last 10 Games

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Bucks are averaging 104.7 points, 41.2 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 7.3 steals and 2.9 blocks while shooting 45.5% from the field and 70.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 119.9 points and 46.9 rebounds per matchup.

Ryan Rollins is averaging 14.4 points and 5.6 assists, while Jericho Sims averages 7.2 rebounds and Kyle Kuzma 2.2 (51.2%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 126.2 points, 49.0 rebounds, 29.6 assists, 9.3 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 48.7% from the field and 80.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 114.1 points and 43.2 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 27.6 points and 9.4 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 4.6 assists and Tyler Herro 2.7 (45.0%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks lineup: Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Kyle Kuzma, Ousmane Dieng, Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Step into Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Heat are going to cover the -6 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBA showdown.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Bucks vs Heat stats:

  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 6 consecutive games.
  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The -6 line has been covered by Heat in 12 of their last 20 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Bucks in 2 consecutive games.

Heat -6 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want to back the Heat to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different selections can be combined to good effect.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -6 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 11 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 22.5 Points -105 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 35 points in the past 5 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -105.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Ryan Rollins Under 15.5 Points -105 BetMGM logo

Ryan Rollins (Bucks) has scored an average of 12 points in the past 5 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -105.

Latest Ryan Rollins Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -6.5
Totals Over 234.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 22.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Heat to cover the -6.5 spread, Over 234.5 on the total and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 22.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bucks Bucks logo 113 - 122 Heat logo Heat

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Heat on the correct score lines. For example, a 122-113 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Think Heat Likeliest to Win

The sportsbooks have Miami Heat at -222 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 69% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +184, Milwaukee Bucks are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 233.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. The Over 233.5 selection is available to back at -108.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds
Giannis Antetokounmpo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Giannis Antetokounmpo is available at -122 to rack up Over 26.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -112 is available.

Player Points
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 26.5
-122
Under 26.5
-112
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Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 17.5
-106
Under 17.5
-128
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Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+108
Under 6.5
-147
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Kevin Porter Jr. (Bucks)
Over 5.5
-118
Under 5.5
-115
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Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 4.5
-135
Under 4.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
Over 9.5
-127
Under 9.5
-106
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Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 5.5
+118
Under 5.5
-159
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Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Racking Up the Home Wins

The Heat have strung together six in a row at Kaseya Center. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 125.00 points per contest while yielding 113.00.

The Bucks have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 107.40 points scored and 114.10 points allowed.

In their most recent matchup at Kaseya Center, the Heat got the better of the Bucks 106-103. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have come away with six wins, while the Bucks have four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 7-3 238.00 125.00 113.00 6 4
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Away Stats 4-6 221.50 107.40 114.10 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Milwaukee Bucks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kevin Porter Jr. 35 33.45 612 258 17.5 7.4 1.3 5.2 0.5 2.2
Ryan Rollins 62 32.27 1031 340 16.6 5.5 2.4 4.7 0.4 1.5
A.J. Green 60 29.45 589 115 9.8 1.9 2.8 2.5 0.1 0.5

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 58 31.68 1161 169 20.0 2.9 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.1
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 20 30.62 441 74 22.1 3.7 2.6 4.6 0.4 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
25 Kasparas Jakucionis
45 Davion Mitchell
Milwaukee Bucks logo Milwaukee Bucks Confirmed Lineup
3 Myles Turner
7 Kevin Porter Jr.
18 Kyle Kuzma
21 Ousmane Dieng
34 Giannis Antetokounmpo

Previous Milwaukee Bucks Lineups

10 Mar NBA
Suns 129-114 Bucks
08 Mar NBA
Magic 130-91 Bucks
07 Mar NBA
Jazz 99-113 Bucks
04 Mar NBA
Hawks 131-113 Bucks
02 Mar NBA
Celtics 108-81 Bucks
01 Mar NBA
Bucks 97-120 Bulls
27 Feb NBA
Knicks 127-98 Bucks
25 Feb NBA
Cavaliers 116-118 Bucks
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
22 Feb NBA
Raptors 122-94 Bucks

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat
26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak