Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Heat

The Denver Nuggets face the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Nuggets and Heat to Cancel Each Other Out

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 245.5, so we’re prepared to take the -112 that the Nuggets and the Heat go under the line.

Nuggets Have Claimed 9 Wins in 10 on H2H

Denver Nuggets have been defeated in back-to-back road games. They recently suffered a 127-126 loss against Orlando Magic at Kia Center. Nikola Jokic was able to drop 34 points, 21 rebounds, and 12 assists as part of a magical triple-double.

Miami Heat won their last game 142-116, making it successive victories. This was a home win at Kaseya Center against Indiana Pacers. Offensively, Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the charge with 28, while Andrew Wiggins contributed 28 and Norman Powell 23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 122-112 victory was registered against the Heat at Ball Arena. The Nuggets have triumphed in their previous eight meetings against the Heat. On the head-to-head front, it has been 9 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 127.3 points, 41.9 rebounds, 30.2 assists, 7.9 steals and 3.3 blocks while shooting 51.4% from the field and 81.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 120.7 points and 43.4 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 32.4 points, 12.0 rebounds and 10.9 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 4.0 (46.5%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.6 points, 45.3 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 9.2 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 45.7% from the field and 76.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 115.1 points and 44.7 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 21.6 points and 2.1 (30.0%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 10.7 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 4.9 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat betting preview covers it all.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 245.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -112 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this NBA contest.

Our expert basketball predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NBA stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Nuggets vs Heat stats:

  • The 245.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Nuggets games on the road.
  • The 245.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Nuggets games on the road.
  • The 245.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games.
  • The 245.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Heat games.

Under 245.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, we have this figure between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.

Our Game Prediction
Under 245.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 28, 23:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:55, 28 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Assists +117 BetMGM logo

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded Over 11.5 assists in 4 straight games. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get +117 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds


Bam Adebayo Under 18.5 Points -115 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has scored an average of 14.88 points in the past 8 games. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -115 available.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 245.5
Spread Nuggets -2
Player Assists Nikola Jokic Over 11.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Under 245.5, Nuggets -2 and Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) to have Over 11.5 assists.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 122 - 118 Heat logo Heat

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Nuggets enjoying a 122-118 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Think the Game Could Go Either Way

The Moneyline odds about Miami Heat triumphing is priced at +112 and you can get Denver Nuggets at -132. This means the leading NBA sportsbooks give the visiting team a 57% chance of success.

There is a spread of 2 and total points has a line of 244.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those expecting a low total can back Under 244.5 at -114.

The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most NBA contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -110 to rack up Over 30.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -120 is available.

Player Points
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 10.5
-143
Under 10.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-154
Under 6.5
+115
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-125
Under 6.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 3.5
-175
Under 3.5
+130
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Nuggets Have Won the Previous Eight Head-to-Head Matchups at Kaseya Center

The Heat have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 115.20 points per contest and giving up 113.60.

The Nuggets own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 road games, putting up 126.80 points on average and giving up 117.60.

The Nuggets earned a 133-113 win over the Heat the last time they played at Kaseya Center. Looking back at the past 9 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Nuggets have posted eight victories, with the Heat earning one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O245.5 U245.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 228.80 115.20 113.60 3 7
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 8-2 244.40 126.80 117.60 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O245.5 = Games Over 245.5 Points
  • U245.5 = Games Under 245.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 30 35.12 762 205 25.4 6.8 3.5 4.4 0.3 1.0
Nikola Jokic 31 35.05 927 343 29.9 11.1 2.1 12.4 0.8 1.4
Cameron Johnson 28 30.61 327 66 11.7 2.4 1.9 3.5 0.3 0.6

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 28 32.48 458 80 16.4 2.9 1.8 4.9 1.1 1.1
Tyler Herro 6 31.83 139 14 23.2 2.3 2.5 5.0 0.5 1.0
Bam Adebayo 24 31.36 431 58 18.0 2.4 1.4 9.5 0.9 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
8 Peyton Watson
10 Tim Hardaway Jr.
15 Nikola Jokic
21 Spencer Jones
27 Jamal Murray

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Dec NBA
Nuggets 126-127 Magic
25 Dec NBA
Timberwolves 138-142 Nuggets
23 Dec NBA
Nuggets 130-131 Mavericks
22 Dec NBA
Jazz 112-135 Nuggets
20 Dec NBA
Rockets 115-101 Nuggets
18 Dec NBA
Magic 115-126 Nuggets
15 Dec NBA
Rockets 125-128 Nuggets
11 Dec NBA
Nuggets 136-105 Kings
07 Dec NBA
Nuggets 115-106 Hornets
05 Dec NBA
Nuggets 134-133 Hawks

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

27 Dec NBA
Pacers 116-142 Heat
26 Dec NBA
Heat 126-111 Hawks
23 Dec NBA
Raptors 112-91 Heat
21 Dec NBA
Heat 125-132 Knicks
19 Dec NBA
Heat 116-129 Celtics
18 Dec NBA
Heat 106-95 Nets
15 Dec NBA
Raptors 106-96 Heat
09 Dec NBA
Heat 108-117 Magic
06 Dec NBA
Kings 127-111 Heat
05 Dec NBA
Heat 105-106 Magic

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak