Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Sunday

NBA Betting Preview: Pistons vs Heat

The Detroit Pistons face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We are having a wager on the Heat to beat the Pistons. You can back our prediction at +106 on the Moneyline and we think this offers great value.

Detroit Pistons have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Little Caesars Arena, they were turned over 107-105 by Brooklyn Nets. Tobias Harris tallied 18 points, while Jalen Duren put up 17 and Duncan Robinson 15.

Miami Heat won last time out by a 128-120 scoreline. On the road against Charlotte Hornets at Spectrum Center, they made it four wins on the spin. Tyler Herro registered 33 points, Bam Adebayo managed 24 points and 12 rebounds, with Jaime Jaquez Jr. scoring 21 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat triumphed 118-112 when they last played the Pistons. This head-to-head was played at Little Caesars Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Heat wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	45	17	0.726	116.8	109.6	7.2	24-8	21-9	10-4	30-9	6-4	3L
Heat	35	29	0.547	120.1	116.6	3.5	20-11	15-18	6-5	19-18	7-3	4W

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Pistons are averaging 114.0 points, 48.5 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 10.2 steals and 7.1 blocks while shooting 46.1% from the field and 75.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.8 points and 41.5 rebounds per contest.

Cade Cunningham is averaging 22.3 points and 9.8 assists, while Jalen Duren averages 10.3 rebounds and Duncan Robinson 2.5 (37.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.5 points, 49.2 rebounds, 28.3 assists, 8.2 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 77.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.8 points and 46.2 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.9 points, Kel'el Ware 10.2 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 4.7 assists, while Tyler Herro has an average of 2.3 (44.2%) 3-pointers made.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Our Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

For this NBA matchup, our pick is Heat to win against inferior opposition and we think that the +106 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Pistons vs Heat stats:

• Heat have won 4 consecutive games.
• Heat have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Heat have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• Pistons have lost their last 3 games.
• Heat have won 6 of their last 10 games against Pistons.

Heat Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick carries a 48.5% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

The Heat are available at a range of odds on the spread. If you are looking for more juice, then check out the latest betting lines and choose from the available spreads.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Heat Moneyline @ +106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 8, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pistons 114 - 119 Heat

The Heat to win by a 119-114 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

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Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of +108 about Miami Heat winning, with Detroit Pistons currently available at -127. According to the top NBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 48%.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 228.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to wager Over 228.5, there are odds of -114.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Pistons

-127

Heat

+108

Point Spread

Pistons -1.5

-108

Heat +1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 228.5

-106

Over 228.5

-114

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

The Heat have rattled off four straight wins at Kaseya Center. They have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 122.50 points per contest and conceding 114.40.

The Pistons have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 113.20 points on offense and surrendering 109.10 on defense.

The Pistons defeated the Heat 138-135 the last time they played at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Heat have won six while the Pistons have taken four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O228.5	U228.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		6-4	236.90	122.50	114.40	6	4
Detroit Pistons Away Stats		7-3	222.30	113.20	109.10	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
• U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Pistons Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 228.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.00 pts and allowed 109.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.20 pts and allowed 109.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 236.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.50 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 122.50 pts and allowed 114.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.70 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.10 (75.79%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.5, Offensive 14.70, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 25.80
• Blocks: 7.10
• Steals: 10.20
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 33.20 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.20 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.05%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.7, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 32.70
• Assists: 26.20
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 10.10
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.00 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (77.04%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.2, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 36.10
• Assists: 28.30
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.00 (77.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.1, Offensive 13.30, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 29.10
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	42	21	0.667	114.5	107	7.5	21-10	21-11	9-5	27-14	8-2	1W
Knicks	41	23	0.641	117.2	110.6	6.6	23-9	18-14	11-3	27-15	7-3	1W
Raptors	35	27	0.565	113.5	112	1.5	16-16	19-11	4-10	27-16	5-5	2L
76ers	34	29	0.54	115.8	116.1	-0.3	17-16	17-13	8-7	21-21	4-6	1L
Nets	16	47	0.254	106.9	115.6	-8.7	8-22	8-25	3-10	12-28	1-9	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	45	17	0.726	116.8	109.6	7.2	24-8	21-9	10-4	30-9	6-4	3L
Cavaliers	39	24	0.619	119.1	114.9	4.2	21-11	18-13	8-5	25-15	7-3	2W
Bucks	26	35	0.426	111.4	115.8	-4.4	14-16	12-19	8-5	19-23	5-5	4L
Bulls	26	37	0.413	115.5	119.7	-4.2	16-18	10-19	4-10	17-26	2-8	1W
Pacers	15	48	0.238	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-26	3-9	11-30	2-8	8L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	34	28	0.548	114.8	114	0.8	20-12	14-16	7-5	20-19	6-4	3W
Heat	35	29	0.547	120.1	116.6	3.5	20-11	15-18	6-5	19-18	7-3	4W
Hawks	33	31	0.516	117.7	117.3	0.4	15-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	7-3	6W
Hornets	32	32	0.5	116.2	112.5	3.7	14-17	18-15	9-5	20-22	7-3	1L
Wizards	16	46	0.258	112.2	123	-10.8	11-22	5-24	2-10	11-28	2-8	7L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	49	15	0.766	118.9	107.8	11.1	25-7	24-8	9-3	34-9	8-2	4W
Timberwolves	40	24	0.625	118.6	114.5	4.1	22-12	18-12	8-5	24-17	8-2	1L
Nuggets	39	25	0.609	120.2	116.5	3.7	17-13	22-12	6-4	23-13	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	30	34	0.469	115.1	118.1	-3	16-15	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Jazz	19	44	0.302	117.7	125.2	-7.5	11-21	8-23	1-10	10-30	3-7	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	38	25	0.603	116	115.3	0.7	19-12	19-13	8-7	26-16	6-4	1W
Suns	36	27	0.571	112.1	111.2	0.9	21-13	15-14	10-6	25-18	5-5	1W
Warriors	32	30	0.516	115.3	114.1	1.2	19-13	13-17	6-6	22-19	4-6	1W
Clippers	30	32	0.484	112.4	112.1	0.3	16-13	14-19	8-5	19-19	5-5	1L
Kings	14	50	0.219	110.4	121.3	-10.9	9-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	46	17	0.73	118.2	111.4	6.8	23-6	23-11	10-3	27-13	9-1	3W
Rockets	39	23	0.629	114.5	109.3	5.2	21-8	18-15	6-5	22-17	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	23	38	0.377	115.6	117.7	-2.1	12-18	11-20	6-6	18-25	3-7	2L
Mavericks	21	42	0.333	113.3	117.7	-4.4	14-19	7-23	3-10	11-29	2-8	6L
Pelicans	20	45	0.308	115.2	120.2	-5	11-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	5-5	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	45	17	0.726	116.8	109.6	7.2	24-8	21-9	10-4	30-9	6-4	3L
Celtics	42	21	0.667	114.5	107	7.5	21-10	21-11	9-5	27-14	8-2	1W
Knicks	41	23	0.641	117.2	110.6	6.6	23-9	18-14	11-3	27-15	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	39	24	0.619	119.1	114.9	4.2	21-11	18-13	8-5	25-15	7-3	2W
Raptors	35	27	0.565	113.5	112	1.5	16-16	19-11	4-10	27-16	5-5	2L
Magic	34	28	0.548	114.8	114	0.8	20-12	14-16	7-5	20-19	6-4	3W
Heat	35	29	0.547	120.1	116.6	3.5	20-11	15-18	6-5	19-18	7-3	4W
76ers	34	29	0.54	115.8	116.1	-0.3	17-16	17-13	8-7	21-21	4-6	1L
Hawks	33	31	0.516	117.7	117.3	0.4	15-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	7-3	6W
Hornets	32	32	0.5	116.2	112.5	3.7	14-17	18-15	9-5	20-22	7-3	1L
Bucks	26	35	0.426	111.4	115.8	-4.4	14-16	12-19	8-5	19-23	5-5	4L
Bulls	26	37	0.413	115.5	119.7	-4.2	16-18	10-19	4-10	17-26	2-8	1W
Wizards	16	46	0.258	112.2	123	-10.8	11-22	5-24	2-10	11-28	2-8	7L
Nets	16	47	0.254	106.9	115.6	-8.7	8-22	8-25	3-10	12-28	1-9	1W
Pacers	15	48	0.238	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-26	3-9	11-30	2-8	8L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	49	15	0.766	118.9	107.8	11.1	25-7	24-8	9-3	34-9	8-2	4W
Spurs	46	17	0.73	118.2	111.4	6.8	23-6	23-11	10-3	27-13	9-1	3W
Rockets	39	23	0.629	114.5	109.3	5.2	21-8	18-15	6-5	22-17	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	40	24	0.625	118.6	114.5	4.1	22-12	18-12	8-5	24-17	8-2	1L
Nuggets	39	25	0.609	120.2	116.5	3.7	17-13	22-12	6-4	23-13	5-5	1L
Lakers	38	25	0.603	116	115.3	0.7	19-12	19-13	8-7	26-16	6-4	1W
Suns	36	27	0.571	112.1	111.2	0.9	21-13	15-14	10-6	25-18	5-5	1W
Warriors	32	30	0.516	115.3	114.1	1.2	19-13	13-17	6-6	22-19	4-6	1W
Clippers	30	32	0.484	112.4	112.1	0.3	16-13	14-19	8-5	19-19	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	30	34	0.469	115.1	118.1	-3	16-15	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	23	38	0.377	115.6	117.7	-2.1	12-18	11-20	6-6	18-25	3-7	2L
Mavericks	21	42	0.333	113.3	117.7	-4.4	14-19	7-23	3-10	11-29	2-8	6L
Pelicans	20	45	0.308	115.2	120.2	-5	11-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	5-5	1L
Jazz	19	44	0.302	117.7	125.2	-7.5	11-21	8-23	1-10	10-30	3-7	1W
Kings	14	50	0.219	110.4	121.3	-10.9	9-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	2-8	3L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	49	15	0.766	118.9	107.8	11.1	25-7	24-8	9-3	34-9	8-2	4W
Spurs	46	17	0.73	118.2	111.4	6.8	23-6	23-11	10-3	27-13	9-1	3W
Pistons	45	17	0.726	116.8	109.6	7.2	24-8	21-9	10-4	30-9	6-4	3L
Celtics	42	21	0.667	114.5	107	7.5	21-10	21-11	9-5	27-14	8-2	1W
Knicks	41	23	0.641	117.2	110.6	6.6	23-9	18-14	11-3	27-15	7-3	1W
Rockets	39	23	0.629	114.5	109.3	5.2	21-8	18-15	6-5	22-17	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	40	24	0.625	118.6	114.5	4.1	22-12	18-12	8-5	24-17	8-2	1L
Cavaliers	39	24	0.619	119.1	114.9	4.2	21-11	18-13	8-5	25-15	7-3	2W
Nuggets	39	25	0.609	120.2	116.5	3.7	17-13	22-12	6-4	23-13	5-5	1L
Lakers	38	25	0.603	116	115.3	0.7	19-12	19-13	8-7	26-16	6-4	1W
Suns	36	27	0.571	112.1	111.2	0.9	21-13	15-14	10-6	25-18	5-5	1W
Raptors	35	27	0.565	113.5	112	1.5	16-16	19-11	4-10	27-16	5-5	2L
Magic	34	28	0.548	114.8	114	0.8	20-12	14-16	7-5	20-19	6-4	3W
Heat	35	29	0.547	120.1	116.6	3.5	20-11	15-18	6-5	19-18	7-3	4W
76ers	34	29	0.54	115.8	116.1	-0.3	17-16	17-13	8-7	21-21	4-6	1L
Hawks	33	31	0.516	117.7	117.3	0.4	15-16	18-15	7-6	19-21	7-3	6W
Warriors	32	30	0.516	115.3	114.1	1.2	19-13	13-17	6-6	22-19	4-6	1W
Hornets	32	32	0.5	116.2	112.5	3.7	14-17	18-15	9-5	20-22	7-3	1L
Clippers	30	32	0.484	112.4	112.1	0.3	16-13	14-19	8-5	19-19	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	30	34	0.469	115.1	118.1	-3	16-15	14-19	5-7	23-19	4-6	1L
Bucks	26	35	0.426	111.4	115.8	-4.4	14-16	12-19	8-5	19-23	5-5	4L
Bulls	26	37	0.413	115.5	119.7	-4.2	16-18	10-19	4-10	17-26	2-8	1W
Grizzlies	23	38	0.377	115.6	117.7	-2.1	12-18	11-20	6-6	18-25	3-7	2L
Mavericks	21	42	0.333	113.3	117.7	-4.4	14-19	7-23	3-10	11-29	2-8	6L
Pelicans	20	45	0.308	115.2	120.2	-5	11-21	9-24	6-7	13-29	5-5	1L
Jazz	19	44	0.302	117.7	125.2	-7.5	11-21	8-23	1-10	10-30	3-7	1W
Wizards	16	46	0.258	112.2	123	-10.8	11-22	5-24	2-10	11-28	2-8	7L
Nets	16	47	0.254	106.9	115.6	-8.7	8-22	8-25	3-10	12-28	1-9	1W
Pacers	15	48	0.238	111.4	119.9	-8.5	10-22	5-26	3-9	11-30	2-8	8L
Kings	14	50	0.219	110.4	121.3	-10.9	9-22	5-28	2-10	10-34	2-8	3L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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