Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Pistons vs Heat

The Detroit Pistons face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat Look Set for Victory

We are having a wager on the Heat to beat the Pistons. You can back our prediction at +106 on the Moneyline and we think this offers great value.

118-112 Win for Heat in Pair’s Previous Clash

Detroit Pistons have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Little Caesars Arena, they were turned over 107-105 by Brooklyn Nets. Tobias Harris tallied 18 points, while Jalen Duren put up 17 and Duncan Robinson 15.

Miami Heat won last time out by a 128-120 scoreline. On the road against Charlotte Hornets at Spectrum Center, they made it four wins on the spin. Tyler Herro registered 33 points, Bam Adebayo managed 24 points and 12 rebounds, with Jaime Jaquez Jr. scoring 21 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat triumphed 118-112 when they last played the Pistons. This head-to-head was played at Little Caesars Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Heat wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons logo Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Detroit Pistons – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Pistons are averaging 114.0 points, 48.5 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 10.2 steals and 7.1 blocks while shooting 46.1% from the field and 75.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.8 points and 41.5 rebounds per contest.

Cade Cunningham is averaging 22.3 points and 9.8 assists, while Jalen Duren averages 10.3 rebounds and Duncan Robinson 2.5 (37.3%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.5 points, 49.2 rebounds, 28.3 assists, 8.2 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 77.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.8 points and 46.2 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.9 points, Kel'el Ware 10.2 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 4.7 assists, while Tyler Herro has an average of 2.3 (44.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Detroit Pistons lineup: Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Duncan Robinson.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Myron Gardner, Davion Mitchell.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Get set for Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

For this NBA matchup, our pick is Heat to win against inferior opposition and we think that the +106 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Pistons vs Heat stats:

  • Heat have won 4 consecutive games.
  • Heat have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • Heat have won 12 of their last 20 games.
  • Pistons have lost their last 3 games.
  • Heat have won 6 of their last 10 games against Pistons.

Heat Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick carries a 48.5% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The Heat are available at a range of odds on the spread. If you are looking for more juice, then check out the latest betting lines and choose from the available spreads.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Heat Moneyline @ +106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 8, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:02, 08 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 Points -116 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has covered the 18.5 points total in 5 straight games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -116 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Under 23.5 Points -110 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has totaled an average of 19.75 points in the past 4 games at home. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -110 available.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Heat
Totals Over 230.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 20.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Heat on the moneyline combined with Over 230.5. Add in Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pistons Pistons logo 114 - 119 Heat logo Heat

The Heat to win by a 119-114 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Contest

There are betting odds of -102 about Miami Heat winning, with Detroit Pistons currently available at -116. According to the top NBA sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 51%.

The spread currently stands at 1 and the total points line is 230.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to wager Over 230.5, there are odds of -112.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Cade Cunningham Favorite to Score the Most Points

Cade Cunningham is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -123 to score Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -110.

Player Points
Player Assists
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)
Over 10.5
+112
Under 10.5
-152
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 3.5
-141
Under 3.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jalen Duren (Pistons)
Over 11.5
+106
Under 11.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)
Over 6.5
+117
Under 6.5
-161
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Keep Cashing In at Home

The Heat have rattled off four straight wins at Kaseya Center. They have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 122.50 points per contest and conceding 114.40.

The Pistons have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 113.20 points on offense and surrendering 109.10 on defense.

The Pistons defeated the Heat 138-135 the last time they played at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Heat have won six while the Pistons have taken four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 236.90 122.50 114.40 6 4
Detroit Pistons logo Detroit Pistons Away Stats 7-3 222.30 113.20 109.10 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Pistons logo Detroit Pistons Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Detroit Pistons Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cade Cunningham 55 35.16 1386 541 25.2 9.8 2.0 5.8 0.9 1.5
Tobias Harris 46 28.56 616 102 13.4 2.2 1.3 5.3 0.3 1.0
Duncan Robinson 60 28.02 722 117 12.0 2.0 2.8 2.6 0.3 0.6

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 56 31.45 1054 160 18.8 2.9 1.6 9.8 0.7 1.1
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 19 30.64 416 71 21.9 3.7 2.5 4.5 0.4 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Detroit Pistons Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
15 Myron Gardner
45 Davion Mitchell
Detroit Pistons logo Detroit Pistons Confirmed Lineup
0 Jalen Duren
2 Cade Cunningham
12 Tobias Harris
25 Marcus Sasser
55 Duncan Robinson

Previous Detroit Pistons Lineups

07 Mar NBA
Nets 107-105 Pistons
05 Mar NBA
Pistons 106-121 Spurs
03 Mar NBA
Pistons 109-113 Cavaliers
01 Mar NBA
Pistons 106-92 Magic
27 Feb NBA
Cavaliers 119-122 Pistons
25 Feb NBA
Thunder 116-124 Pistons
23 Feb NBA
Spurs 114-103 Pistons
21 Feb NBA
Pistons 126-110 Bulls
19 Feb NBA
Pistons 126-111 Knicks
11 Feb NBA
Pistons 113-95 Raptors

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat
26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks
11 Feb NBA
Heat 123-111 Pelicans
09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak