Duke vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Duke vs North Carolina

The Duke Blue Devils square off against the North Carolina Tar Heels, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Saturday, February 7.

We’re making North Carolina against the spread our prediction when they face Duke. The line is favorably set at +5.5 and you can secure -110 that this happens.

Backing our spread pick? Don’t forget to check out our exclusive BetMGM promo code and full site review before locking in your selection.

Duke Blue Devils previous game saw them claim a 67-49 home win over Boston College Eagles.

North Carolina Tar Heels were winners last time out. It was a 87-77 home victory against Syracuse Orange.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 74-71 triumph when facing North Carolina. Duke have enjoyed three consecutive wins against North Carolina. They’ve landed 6 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	21-1	1851	1399	452	13-0	8-1	10W
North Carolina	18-4	1829	1553	276	14-0	4-4	4W

View Full Standings

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

Our Duke vs North Carolina betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

North Carolina look easy to back at -110 considering the underdogs have been given a spread of +5.5. This looks a very good number when squaring off in this college contest.

Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.

Key Duke vs North Carolina stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by UNC in 15 consecutive games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by UNC in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by UNC in 6 of their last 10 games against Duke.

UNC +5.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college basketball wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine UNC to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Game Prediction

North Carolina +5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (17:56, 07 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Henri Veesaar Under 9.5 Rebounds -169

Henri Veesaar (North Carolina) is available at -169 to record Under 9.5 rebounds. It stands to reason that he will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Henri Veesaar Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+130

Under 9.5

-169

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Caleb Wilson Over 19.5 Points +103

Caleb Wilson (North Carolina) can be wagered to rack up Over 19.5 points at +103. There’s a fairly strong case that he will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points.

Latest Caleb Wilson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Assists

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-106

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Duke 80 - 78 North Carolina

There are massive odds on offer when it comes to Duke landing a 80-78 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Duke vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Duke have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -313 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +245 about North Carolina.

There is a spread of 6.5 and total points has a line of 151.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. The Over 151.5 selection is available to back at -105.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Duke

-313

UNC

+245

Point Spread

Duke -6.5

-110

UNC +6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 151.5

-115

Over 151.5

-105

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Cameron Boozer is available at -120 to rack up Over 24.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -108 is available.

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 24.5

-120

Under 24.5

-108

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-108

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 12.5

-106

Under 12.5

-122

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-119

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

+103

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 4.5

+152

Under 4.5

-200

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-137

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 2.5

+182

Under 2.5

-244

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 2.5

+186

Under 2.5

-250

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 2.5

+126

Under 2.5

-164

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 9.5

-152

Under 9.5

+116

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 9.5

+130

Under 9.5

-169

Caleb Wilson (UNC)

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-106

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 6.5

+128

Under 6.5

-167

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-104

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+108

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-104

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Duke Stats

North Carolina Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 151.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 64.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.10 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.00 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 65.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	21-1	1851	1399	452	13-0	8-1	10W
Virginia	20-3	1904	1561	343	13-1	7-2	4W
Clemson	19-4	1748	1484	264	13-1	6-3	3W
North Carolina	18-4	1829	1553	276	14-0	4-4	4W
Miami	18-5	1937	1610	327	12-3	6-2	1W
NC State	18-6	2056	1739	317	11-4	7-2	6W
Louisville	17-6	1972	1625	347	12-2	5-4	3W
California	17-6	1812	1638	174	15-2	2-4	2W
SMU	16-7	1988	1779	209	13-2	3-5	1W
Virginia Tech	16-8	1913	1785	128	13-2	3-6	2L
Stanford	14-9	1733	1682	51	9-6	5-3	5L
Syracuse	13-11	1803	1698	105	10-4	3-7	2L
Florida State	11-12	1859	1830	29	9-6	2-6	3W
Wake Forest	11-12	1841	1795	46	8-6	3-6	5L
Georgia Tech	11-12	1724	1717	7	10-6	1-6	4L
Notre Dame	11-13	1771	1746	25	9-5	2-8	4L
Boston College	9-14	1547	1577	-30	8-8	1-6	4L
Pittsburgh	9-15	1699	1717	-18	7-8	2-7	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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