Duke vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Duke vs North Carolina
The Duke Blue Devils square off against the North Carolina Tar Heels, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Saturday, February 7.
We’re making North Carolina against the spread our prediction when they face Duke. The line is favorably set at +5.5 and you can secure -110 that this happens.
Duke Blue Devils previous game saw them claim a 67-49 home win over Boston College Eagles.
North Carolina Tar Heels were winners last time out. It was a 87-77 home victory against Syracuse Orange.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Duke won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 74-71 triumph when facing North Carolina. Duke have enjoyed three consecutive wins against North Carolina. They’ve landed 6 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Duke vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks
Our Duke vs North Carolina betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
North Carolina look easy to back at -110 considering the underdogs have been given a spread of +5.5. This looks a very good number when squaring off in this college contest.
Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.
Key Duke vs North Carolina stats:
UNC +5.5 Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college basketball wager.
If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine UNC to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.
Player Prop Picks
Henri Veesaar (North Carolina) is available at -169 to record Under 9.5 rebounds. It stands to reason that he will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.
Latest Henri Veesaar Player Prop Odds
Caleb Wilson (North Carolina) can be wagered to rack up Over 19.5 points at +103. There’s a fairly strong case that he will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points.
Latest Caleb Wilson Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: North Carolina +5.5, Over 151.5 and Henri Veesaar (North Carolina) to get Under 9.5 rebounds.
The same game parlay option is awesome for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same basketball game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
80
-
78
North Carolina
There are massive odds on offer when it comes to Duke landing a 80-78 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.
Duke vs North Carolina Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Duke have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -313 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +245 about North Carolina.
There is a spread of 6.5 and total points has a line of 151.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. The Over 151.5 selection is available to back at -105.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Cameron Boozer is available at -120 to rack up Over 24.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -108 is available.
- NCAAB: 15/03 2025 North Carolina 71 Duke 74
- NCAAB: 09/03 2025 Duke 82 North Carolina 69
- NCAAB: 02/02 2025 North Carolina 70 Duke 87
- NCAAB: 10/03 2024 North Carolina 84 Duke 79
- NCAAB: 04/02 2024 Duke 84 North Carolina 93
- NCAAB: 05/03 2023 Duke 62 North Carolina 57
- NCAAB: 05/02 2023 North Carolina 57 Duke 63
- NCAAB: 03/04 2022 North Carolina 81 Duke 77
- NCAAB: 06/03 2022 North Carolina 94 Duke 81
- NCAAB: 06/02 2022 Duke 87 North Carolina 67
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Duke Stats
North Carolina Stats
- 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 145.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 151.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 64.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.10 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 164.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.00 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 65.90 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
|
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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