Florida State vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Florida State vs Miami

The Florida State Seminoles square off against the Miami Hurricanes, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, January 20.

We have decided to go for Miami against the spread in order to get the best value. They should be able to cover an appealing -11.5 line at -112 when they take on Florida State.

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Florida State Seminoles lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Wake Forest Demon Deacons 69-68.

Miami Hurricanes lost on the road in their last game. Clemson Tigers won 69-59.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was FSU who came out on top when they last played Miami. A 74-66 win was recorded. FSU have enjoyed five consecutive wins against Miami. They’ve landed 9 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	15-3	1551	1245	306	11-1	4-2	1L
Florida State	7-11	1481	1464	17	7-6	0-5	5L

View Full Standings

Florida State vs Miami Prediction & Picks

This Florida State vs Miami betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Miami should enjoy a substantial win in this college showdown and that’s why we’re taking the -11.5 about them on the spread. We expect our pick to cover the line at -112.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball picks.

Key Florida State vs Miami stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by Miami in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11.5 line has been covered by Miami in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by FSU in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Miami -11.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the betting line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Miami -11.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Florida State 74 - 88 Miami

There are lots of different ways to back Miami on the correct score betting and something like 88-74 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

Florida State vs Miami Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Miami are strong -833 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 89% chance of claiming victory. At +550, Florida State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

11.5 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 166.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

FSU

+550

Miami

-833

Point Spread

FSU +11.5

-108

Miami -11.5

-112

Total Points

Under 166.5

-110

Over 166.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida State Stats

Miami Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.00 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.50 pts and allowed 82.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.80 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.20 pts and allowed 68.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	17-1	1539	1171	368	10-0	7-1	6W
Virginia	16-2	1512	1207	305	11-0	5-2	5W
Clemson	16-3	1466	1225	241	12-0	4-3	9W
Miami	15-3	1551	1245	306	11-1	4-2	1L
North Carolina	14-4	1475	1252	223	12-0	2-4	2L
Virginia Tech	14-5	1564	1407	157	12-1	2-4	1W
Stanford	14-5	1453	1371	82	9-4	5-1	1L
California	14-5	1497	1339	158	14-2	0-3	1W
Louisville	13-5	1583	1252	331	9-2	4-3	1W
SMU	13-5	1571	1381	190	12-1	1-4	1L
NC State	12-6	1545	1289	256	9-4	3-2	1L
Syracuse	12-6	1363	1218	145	9-2	3-4	1L
Wake Forest	11-7	1459	1350	109	8-3	3-4	1W
Georgia Tech	11-8	1436	1388	48	10-4	1-4	1W
Notre Dame	10-8	1321	1247	74	8-3	2-5	4L
Pittsburgh	8-10	1319	1279	40	6-6	2-4	1L
Boston College	8-10	1235	1233	2	7-6	1-4	1W
Florida State	7-11	1481	1464	17	7-6	0-5	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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