Florida State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Florida State vs SMU

The Florida State Seminoles battle the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, January 24.

SMU should enjoy a substantial win and that’s why we’re taking the -11.5 about them on the spread. We expect our selection to cover the line at -120 against Florida State.

Florida State Seminoles won their previous game by a 65-63 scoreline. It was on the road against Miami Hurricanes.

SMU Mustangs got the win in their last game. A 91-79 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Head-to-Head Statistics

FSU had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 76-69 win over SMU.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L

View Full Standings

Florida State vs SMU Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Florida State vs SMU betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

We’re really sweet on the big favorites who are -11.5 on the spread. SMU should enjoy a huge victory in this college matchup and cover the line at -120.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our college hoops analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Florida State vs SMU stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by SMU in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11.5 line has been covered by SMU in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by FSU in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

SMU -11.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.

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Our Game Prediction

SMU -11.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Florida State 71 - 87 SMU

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Mustangs. Backing them to win 87-71 means you can land a potential monster return.

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Florida State vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, SMU are red-hot -833 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 89% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Florida State are least likely to win at +570.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 164.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. Those expecting a low total can back Under 164.5 at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

FSU

+570

SMU

-833

Point Spread

FSU +11.5

-102

SMU -11.5

-120

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida State Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.40 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 92.60 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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