Golden State Warriors
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Dallas Mavericks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Mavericks

The Golden State Warriors meet the Dallas Mavericks in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Let’s Take a Chance on Mavs

We’re confident that the underdogs can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes the Mavericks at +4.5 the best wager when they go up against the Warriors and odds of -114 are available.

Feeling good about our spread pick? Don’t miss the exclusive BetMGM promo code and our detailed site review as you get ready to make your move.

Teams’ Last H2H Saw 126-116 Warriors Win

Golden State Warriors lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Toronto Raptors 145-127 at Chase Center. Buddy Hield poured in 25 points, with Jonathan Kuminga contributing 20 and Stephen Curry adding 16.

Dallas Mavericks have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where New York Knicks were beaten 114-97 at Madison Square Garden. Max Christie scored 26 points, while Naji Marshall finished with 19 and Cooper Flagg 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors have beaten the Mavs in their last two meetings, winning by 126-102 and 126-116 scorelines. Both matchups were played at Chase Center. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Warriors logo Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Mavericks logo Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Warriors are averaging 123.6 points, 41.0 rebounds, 31.7 assists, 9.1 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 49.8% from the field and 79.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 114.0 points and 41.9 rebounds per contest.

Stephen Curry is averaging 23.0 points, 7.0 assists and 3.7 (36.6%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 4.7 rebounds.

Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

The Mavs have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 115.7 points, 45.3 rebounds, 26.3 assists, 7.6 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.8% from the field and 71.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 112.8 points and 44.6 rebounds.

Naji Marshall is averaging 16.8 points, Daniel Gafford 5.0 rebounds and Ryan Nembhard 5.1 assists, while Klay Thompson has an average of 3.7 (45.7%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re really sweet on Mavericks putting up a fight in this NBA contest and that compels us to bet the underdogs against the spread. You can get -114 when it comes to the +4.5 that is available.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date NBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Warriors vs Mavericks stats:

  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The +4.5 line has been covered by Mavs in 8 of their last 10 games against Warriors.

Mavs +4.5 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take the Mavs to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction
Mavericks +4.5 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:55, 22 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:55, 22 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stephen Curry Under 27.5 Points -104 BetMGM logo

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has an average of 16.6 points in the past 5 games. We can use this stat to our advantage and back him to fall short of the Player Points line at -104.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

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Naji Marshall Over 14.5 Points -125 BetMGM logo

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has scored an average of 20.6 points in the past 5 games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -125 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Mavericks +4.5
Totals Over 232.5
Player Points Stephen Curry Under 27.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Mavs to cover the +4.5 spread along with Over 232.5. Add in Stephen Curry (Warriors) to score Under 27.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

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Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 118 - 119 Mavericks logo Mavericks

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Mavericks to win by a 119-118 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Warriors Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

The Golden State Warriors odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -185 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 65% chance of winning. At +156, Dallas Mavericks are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 232.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 232.5 at -106.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Stephen Curry Favorite to Get Most Points

Stephen Curry is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -106 that he goes Over 28.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 28.5
-106
Under 28.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 19.5
-102
Under 19.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Naji Marshall (Mavericks)
Over 16.5
+103
Under 16.5
-133
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 14.5
-123
Under 14.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-115
Under 5.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-127
Under 5.5
-102
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 4.5
+117
Under 4.5
-152
BetMGM Logo
Naji Marshall (Mavericks)
Over 3.5
-114
Under 3.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)
Over 7.5
+103
Under 7.5
-133
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
+109
Under 6.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-103
Under 6.5
-125
BetMGM Logo
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 6.5
+115
Under 6.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Best Betting Offers
American Airlines Center
American Airlines Center
Mavs Lead Recent Head-to-Head Results at American Airlines Center

The Mavs have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 121.00 points per matchup and conceding 115.60.

The Warriors have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 112.60 points on average and giving up 110.50.

The last time the Mavs faced the Warriors at American Airlines Center, they won 111-107. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings at American Airlines Center, the Mavs have come out on top eight times, with the Warriors having two wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O232.5 U232.5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Home Stats 8-2 236.60 121.00 115.60 3 7
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 4-6 223.10 112.60 110.50 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O232.5 = Games Over 232.5 Points
  • U232.5 = Games Under 232.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 35 31.61 947 177 27.1 5.1 4.5 3.7 0.5 1.1
Jimmy Butler 38 31.1 760 185 20.0 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Draymond Green 37 26.76 325 194 8.8 5.2 1.5 5.8 0.7 0.8

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cooper Flagg 40 33.93 754 166 18.9 4.2 1.0 6.4 0.8 1.3
PJ Washington 31 31.37 454 58 14.6 1.9 1.3 7.4 1.4 1.1
Anthony Davis 20 31.28 407 56 20.4 2.8 0.5 11.1 1.7 1.1

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

20 Jan NBA
Raptors 145-127 Warriors
19 Jan NBA
Heat 112-135 Warriors
17 Jan NBA
Hornets 116-136 Warriors
15 Jan NBA
Knicks 113-126 Warriors
13 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 97-119 Warriors
11 Jan NBA
Hawks 124-111 Warriors
09 Jan NBA
Kings 103-137 Warriors
07 Jan NBA
Bucks 113-120 Warriors
05 Jan NBA
Warriors 102-103 Clippers
03 Jan NBA
Jazz 114-123 Warriors

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

19 Jan NBA
Mavericks 114-97 Knicks
17 Jan NBA
Jazz 120-138 Mavericks
15 Jan NBA
Jazz 122-144 Mavericks
14 Jan NBA
Nuggets 118-109 Mavericks
12 Jan NBA
Nets 105-113 Mavericks
10 Jan NBA
Mavericks 107-125 Bulls
08 Jan NBA
Mavericks 114-116 Jazz
06 Jan NBA
Mavericks 100-98 Kings
03 Jan NBA
Rockets 104-110 Mavericks
01 Jan NBA
76ers 123-108 Mavericks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 27 16 0.628 116.8 109.8 7 13-7 14-9 6-4 20-10 6-4 1W
Knicks 26 18 0.591 117.9 113.8 4.1 17-6 9-12 6-3 19-11 3-7 1W
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Nets 12 30 0.286 107.9 114.5 -6.6 6-16 6-14 3-8 9-18 2-8 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 32 10 0.762 117.2 109.9 7.3 18-4 14-6 8-3 22-6 8-2 4W
Cavaliers 25 20 0.556 119.1 117.1 2 14-11 11-9 7-3 17-13 6-4 1W
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Pacers 10 35 0.222 109.9 118.3 -8.4 8-16 2-19 2-8 7-23 4-6 3L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Hornets 16 28 0.364 115.8 115.9 -0.1 7-13 9-15 4-4 11-19 5-5 1L
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Pelicans 10 36 0.217 114.7 122 -7.3 7-19 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 32 10 0.762 117.2 109.9 7.3 18-4 14-6 8-3 22-6 8-2 4W
Celtics 27 16 0.628 116.8 109.8 7 13-7 14-9 6-4 20-10 6-4 1W
Knicks 26 18 0.591 117.9 113.8 4.1 17-6 9-12 6-3 19-11 3-7 1W
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 25 20 0.556 119.1 117.1 2 14-11 11-9 7-3 17-13 6-4 1W
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Hornets 16 28 0.364 115.8 115.9 -0.1 7-13 9-15 4-4 11-19 5-5 1L
Nets 12 30 0.286 107.9 114.5 -6.6 6-16 6-14 3-8 9-18 2-8 3L
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
Pacers 10 35 0.222 109.9 118.3 -8.4 8-16 2-19 2-8 7-23 4-6 3L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
Pelicans 10 36 0.217 114.7 122 -7.3 7-19 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 3L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 36 8 0.818 121.4 108 13.4 20-3 16-5 7-2 28-6 7-3 1W
Pistons 32 10 0.762 117.2 109.9 7.3 18-4 14-6 8-3 22-6 8-2 4W
Spurs 30 14 0.682 117.7 112.6 5.1 16-5 14-9 7-2 17-12 5-5 1L
Nuggets 29 15 0.659 121.4 117 4.4 12-8 17-7 4-1 18-8 6-4 2L
Rockets 26 15 0.634 117 110.5 6.5 15-3 11-12 4-4 15-14 5-5 3W
Celtics 27 16 0.628 116.8 109.8 7 13-7 14-9 6-4 20-10 6-4 1W
Lakers 26 16 0.619 116.3 116.5 -0.2 12-8 14-8 4-5 19-11 5-5 2W
Timberwolves 27 17 0.614 120.1 115 5.1 15-6 12-11 4-5 14-13 6-4 3L
Suns 27 17 0.614 114.7 111.8 2.9 14-5 13-12 8-4 20-13 7-3 3W
Knicks 26 18 0.591 117.9 113.8 4.1 17-6 9-12 6-3 19-11 3-7 1W
Raptors 26 19 0.578 114.2 112.6 1.6 13-10 13-9 4-8 22-12 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 25 20 0.556 119.1 117.1 2 14-11 11-9 7-3 17-13 6-4 1W
Warriors 25 20 0.556 116.9 114 2.9 17-7 8-13 5-3 15-12 7-3 1L
Magic 23 19 0.548 116.1 115.2 0.9 14-7 9-12 5-4 15-14 5-5 1L
76ers 23 19 0.548 116.5 115.4 1.1 11-12 12-7 8-4 18-15 5-5 1L
Heat 23 21 0.523 119.5 118.3 1.2 15-7 8-14 3-3 12-12 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 22 22 0.5 116.3 118.2 -1.9 12-10 10-12 4-4 18-14 8-2 3W
Bulls 21 22 0.488 117.9 120 -2.1 14-9 7-13 3-7 14-15 5-5 2W
Hawks 20 25 0.444 117.5 119 -1.5 7-13 13-12 4-3 10-17 4-6 4L
Clippers 19 24 0.442 112.3 113.8 -1.5 11-9 8-15 4-4 10-14 7-3 1L
Grizzlies 18 23 0.439 115.1 116 -0.9 10-11 8-12 5-3 14-13 3-7 1W
Bucks 18 24 0.429 112.4 115.6 -3.2 9-10 9-14 5-4 14-14 5-5 1W
Mavericks 18 26 0.409 114.2 116.6 -2.4 13-11 5-15 3-6 10-18 6-4 3W
Hornets 16 28 0.364 115.8 115.9 -0.1 7-13 9-15 4-4 11-19 5-5 1L
Jazz 15 29 0.341 119.3 127.4 -8.1 10-12 5-17 1-8 9-21 3-7 1W
Nets 12 30 0.286 107.9 114.5 -6.6 6-16 6-14 3-8 9-18 2-8 3L
Kings 12 32 0.273 110.8 120.7 -9.9 9-15 3-17 2-7 8-25 4-6 2L
Wizards 10 32 0.238 112.5 123.6 -11.1 6-14 4-18 2-4 7-18 2-8 7L
Pacers 10 35 0.222 109.9 118.3 -8.4 8-16 2-19 2-8 7-23 4-6 3L
Pelicans 10 36 0.217 114.7 122 -7.3 7-19 3-17 3-7 4-25 2-8 3L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak