Golden State Warriors
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Dallas Mavericks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Mavericks

The Golden State Warriors take the floor against the Dallas Mavericks in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re Backing Warriors To Win

We’re looking to get with the Warriors at the latest odds of -127. The road team have a great chance of winning against the Mavericks and that is our betting prediction.

Mavs Won Last H2H Matchup

Golden State Warriors have been defeated in their previous three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 126-110 loss against Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. De'Anthony Melton dropped 20 points, as Jeenathan Williams finished with 19 and Patrick Spencer 18.

Dallas Mavericks have lost on their last eleven home outings. In a recent game at American Airlines Center, they were turned over 138-131 (OT) by LA Clippers. Naji Marshall scored 28 points, PJ Washington managed 21, while Cooper Flagg registered 18 points and 10 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mavs won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 123-115 triumph when facing the Warriors at American Airlines Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Mavs winning six times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Warriors logo Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Mavericks logo Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. The Warriors are averaging 111.1 points, 40.9 rebounds, 27.4 assists, 9.5 steals and 4.4 blocks while shooting 44.8% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 118.1 points and 45.5 rebounds per contest.

Brandin Podziemski is averaging 15.6 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.3 (35.9%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 5.0 assists.

Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

The Mavs have won 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 113.5 points, 46.4 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 6.7 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 45.6% from the field and 80.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 125.3 points and 45.2 rebounds.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 6.6 assists, while Klay Thompson has an average of 2.6 (43.3%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We are keeping our pick nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take an attractive -127 that Warriors are able to secure a victory in this NBA matchup.

Our NBA handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key Warriors vs Mavericks stats:

  • Mavs have lost their last 11 games at home.
  • Mavs have lost 16 of their last 20 games.

Warriors Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 55.9% chance of winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

We’d recommend taking a look at the Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score lines if you’re interested in siding with the Warriors but want bigger odds.

Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction
Warriors Moneyline @ -127 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 23, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 23 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cooper Flagg Under 21.5 Points -105 BetMGM logo

Cooper Flagg (Mavs) has recorded Under 21.5 points in 8 of the past 10 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -105.

Latest Cooper Flagg Player Prop Odds


Gui Santos Over 3.5 Assists -112 BetMGM logo

Gui Santos (Warriors) has finished with Over 3.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -112 available.

Latest Gui Santos Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Warriors
Totals Over 230.5
Player Points Cooper Flagg Under 21.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Warriors on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Over 230.5 and Cooper Flagg (Mavs) to score Under 21.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 121 - 116 Mavericks logo Mavericks

We’re going for the Warriors to win by a 121-116 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Predicting a Close Encounter

There are betting odds of +108 about Dallas Mavericks winning, with Golden State Warriors currently available at -127. This means the top NBA sportsbooks give the road team a 56% chance of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 230.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 230.5, the odds are -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top NBA betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Cooper Flagg Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Cooper Flagg is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -120 that he gets Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -105.

Player Points
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 21.5
-120
Under 21.5
-105
BetMGM Logo
Naji Marshall (Mavericks)
Over 16.5
-106
Under 16.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)
Over 16.5
-101
Under 16.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)
Over 15.5
-111
Under 15.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 5.5
-135
Under 5.5
+103
BetMGM Logo
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-133
Under 5.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Naji Marshall (Mavericks)
Over 4.5
+124
Under 4.5
-164
BetMGM Logo
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-110
Under 4.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)
Over 8.5
+113
Under 8.5
-149
BetMGM Logo
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)
Over 7.5
+114
Under 7.5
-152
BetMGM Logo
Marvin Bagley III (Mavericks)
Over 7.5
+107
Under 7.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-145
Under 6.5
+110
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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American Airlines Center
American Airlines Center
Mavs Run Stands at Ten Home Losses in Succession

The Mavs have a 0-10 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 111.80 points scored and 125.10 points allowed.

The Warriors are on a skid of three straight road defeats. They have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 111.20 points on average and giving up 114.90.

The last time the teams met at American Airlines Center, the Mavs defeated the Warriors 123-115. From the past 10 head-to-heads at American Airlines Center, the Mavs have won eight while the Warriors have taken two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Home Stats 0-10 236.90 111.80 125.10 6 4
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 3-7 226.10 111.20 114.90 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 39 31.33 1061 189 27.2 4.8 4.5 3.5 0.4 1.1
Jimmy Butler 38 31.1 760 185 20.0 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Brandin Podziemski 71 28.11 912 265 12.8 3.7 1.8 5.2 0.2 1.1

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Cooper Flagg 58 33.67 1169 264 20.2 4.6 0.9 6.8 1.0 1.1
PJ Washington 52 31.03 745 95 14.3 1.8 1.4 7.0 1.1 1.0
Naji Marshall 68 29.56 1043 219 15.3 3.2 0.9 4.8 0.1 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

21 Mar NBA
Warriors 110-126 Hawks
20 Mar NBA
Warriors 101-115 Pistons
18 Mar NBA
Warriors 99-120 Celtics
16 Mar NBA
Warriors 125-117 Wizards
15 Mar NBA
Warriors 107-110 Knicks
13 Mar NBA
Timberwolves 127-117 Warriors
10 Mar NBA
Bulls 130-124 Warriors
09 Mar NBA
Warriors 116-119 Jazz
07 Mar NBA
Warriors 97-104 Thunder
05 Mar NBA
Warriors 115-113 Rockets

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

21 Mar NBA
Clippers 138-131 Mavericks
18 Mar NBA
Hawks 135-120 Mavericks
16 Mar NBA
Mavericks 111-129 Pelicans
15 Mar NBA
Mavericks 130-120 Cavaliers
13 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 138-105 Mavericks
12 Mar NBA
Mavericks 120-112 Grizzlies
10 Mar NBA
Mavericks 112-124 Hawks
08 Mar NBA
Mavericks 92-122 Raptors
06 Mar NBA
Mavericks 100-120 Celtics
05 Mar NBA
Mavericks 114-115 Magic

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak