San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

NBA Betting Preview: Spurs vs Heat

The San Antonio Spurs tip off against the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The Spurs are capable of covering the -5.5 line against the Heat. We’re confident of a strong showing and a spread bet is the best play at odds of -110.

San Antonio Spurs have won their previous five games. The latest was a 134-119 home triumph at Frost Bank Center against Indiana Pacers. Keldon Johnson tallied 24 points, while Dylan Harper put up 24 and Victor Wembanyama 20.

Miami Heat have been defeated in their last four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 123-122 loss against Houston Rockets at Toyota Center. Bam Adebayo racked up 32 points and 21 rebounds, with Tyler Herro having 25 points and Simone Fontecchio 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Spurs won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 107-101 victory was registered against the Heat at Frost Bank Center. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Heat land eight wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

The Spurs have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 123.9 points, 47.0 rebounds, 30.3 assists, 5.4 steals and 5.9 blocks while shooting 49.5% from the field and 79.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 113.0 points and 39.6 rebounds per contest.

Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25.8 points, 9.8 rebounds and 3.0 (39.5%) 3-pointers made, while Stephon Castle averages 7.1 assists.

The Heat have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 123.2 points, 44.2 rebounds, 28.9 assists, 8.9 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field and 82.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 118.6 points and 43.3 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 27.6 points and 9.2 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.3 assists and Tyler Herro 2.4 (41.4%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs lineup: Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing Spurs at -5.5 in this NBA contest. We can get odds of -110 and this is the best game pick.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Spurs vs Heat stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 14 of their last 20 games.

Spurs -5.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this figure between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Spurs -5.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 22, 22:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 Points -106

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) has recorded an average of 17.2 points in the past 5 games on the road. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -106.

Latest Victor Wembanyama Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-127

Under 26.5

-108

Assists

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Rebounds

Over 12.5

-103

Under 12.5

-133

---

Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Rebounds +115

Tyler Herro (Heat) has secured Over 5.5 rebounds in 4 straight games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of +115 available.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-130

Assists

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-135

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Spurs 121 - 113 Heat

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Spurs to win 121-113 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The San Antonio Spurs odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -167 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 63% chance of winning. At +140, Miami Heat are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 244.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 244.5 at -110.

No matter if you're betting before the tip-off or during live basketball action, the top NBA sportsbooks have you covered with countless game lines and team props. It’s a major advantage to have such a deep pool of options at your fingertips.

Moneyline

Spurs

-167

Heat

+140

Point Spread

Spurs -3.5

-110

Heat +3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 244.5

-110

Over 244.5

-110

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Victor Wembanyama is available at -127 to rack up Over 26.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -108 is available.

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 26.5

-127

Under 26.5

-108

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 22.5

-105

Under 22.5

-130

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-130

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 19.5

-109

Under 19.5

-123

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-118

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-118

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-118

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-118

Keldon Johnson (Spurs)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-118

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 10.5

-133

Under 10.5

-103

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-118

Julian Champagnie (Spurs)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-122

Dylan Harper (Spurs)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-127

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-108

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 7.5

+102

Under 7.5

-139

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-127

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-104

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-135

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-154

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-175

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+120

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-139

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-122

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-164

Julian Champagnie (Spurs)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-116

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 12.5

-103

Under 12.5

-133

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-127

Julian Champagnie (Spurs)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-143

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+114

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-114

Keldon Johnson (Spurs)

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-139

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-133

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-120

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-108

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+110

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-125

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-127

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The Heat own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 123.80 points per contest and conceding 114.70.

The Spurs have stacked up three consecutive road wins. They have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 road games, putting up 121.80 points on average and giving up 108.80.

The Spurs beat the Heat 112-107 when the teams last met at Kaseya Center. Across the past 10 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have collected eight wins, with the Spurs owning two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O240.5	U240.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		7-3	238.50	123.80	114.70	3	7
San Antonio Spurs Away Stats		9-1	230.60	121.80	108.80	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O240.5 = Games Over 240.5 Points
• U240.5 = Games Under 240.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Antonio Spurs Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 236.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 240.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.90 pts and allowed 113.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 121.80 pts and allowed 108.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 238.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 240.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.20 pts and allowed 118.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 123.80 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.90 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (79.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 30.30
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 5.40
• Turnovers : 10.30
• Personal Fouls: 19.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.40 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.80 (77.73%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.7, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 32.60
• Blocks: 6.60
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.00 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.40 (82.39%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 32.00
• Assists: 28.90
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.40 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 24.40 (79.74%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.1, Offensive 12.90, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 28.30
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.60

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

9 Pelle Larsson

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

45 Davion Mitchell

San Antonio Spurs Confirmed Lineup

1 Victor Wembanyama

4 De'Aaron Fox

5 Stephon Castle

24 Devin Vassell

30 Julian Champagnie

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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