Golden State Warriors
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Nuggets

The Golden State Warriors face the Denver Nuggets in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Nuggets to Run Riot?

We’re predicting a one-sided affair when the Nuggets and the Warriors take to the court. Take this selection at -110 to cover a generous -11.5 line on the spread.

7 of Last 10 Clashes Have Been Nuggets Wins

Golden State Warriors claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 131-126 triumph against Washington Wizards at Chase Center made it three straight wins. Kristaps Porzingis poured in 28 points, with Gui Santos contributing 27 and Brandin Podziemski adding 22.

Denver Nuggets were winners last time out. Their 135-129 victory against Utah Jazz at Ball Arena was their sixth straight home triumph. Nikola Jokic was able to drop 33 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists as part of an outstanding triple-double performance.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 128-117 win for the Warriors at Chase Center when they last played the Nuggets. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Nuggets land seven wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Warriors logo Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.0 points, 40.4 rebounds, 27.6 assists, 9.8 steals and 4.4 blocks while shooting 47.0% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 120.8 points and 40.5 rebounds per contest.

Gui Santos is averaging 17.4 points and 2.0 (37.7%) 3-pointers made, while Brandin Podziemski averages 5.9 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 128.3 points, 45.4 rebounds, 33.3 assists, 6.3 steals and 3.2 blocks per game while shooting 51.3% from the field and 79.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 118.6 points and 44.0 rebounds.

Jamal Murray is averaging 26.3 points and 3.2 (43.2%) 3-pointers made, while Nikola Jokic has an average of 14.4 rebounds and 13.3 assists.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

Nuggets can enjoy a huge win in this NBA showdown and we’re heading to the spread. Back the big favorites off -11.5 to cover the line at -110.

We only publish our basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest NBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Warriors vs Nuggets stats:

  • The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Nuggets -11.5 Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want to back the Nuggets to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different selections can be combined to good effect.

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Our Game Prediction
Nuggets -11.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 29, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 29 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jamal Murray Over 23.5 Points -112 BetMGM logo

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 31.6 points in the past 5 games. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -112 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds


Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Assists +112 BetMGM logo

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has covered the 11.5 assists total in 4 of the past 5 games. We can therefore place a Player Assists bet at +112 with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Nuggets -11.5
Totals Over 238.5
Player Points Jamal Murray Over 23.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Nuggets -11.5, Over 238.5 and Jamal Murray (Nuggets) to score Over 23.5 points.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 114 - 129 Nuggets logo Nuggets

We’re going for the Nuggets to achieve a 129-114 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Taking No Chances With Nuggets

Denver Nuggets have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -588 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. Golden State Warriors are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +440.

11.5 is the spread and 238.5 is the total points line. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 238.5, the odds are -114.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

The favorite to score most points is Nikola Jokic. You can get -110 that he scores Over 26.5 points or -118 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 26.5
-110
Under 26.5
-118
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 23.5
-115
Under 23.5
-112
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Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)
Over 19.5
-112
Under 19.5
-115
BetMGM Logo
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 15.5
-114
Under 15.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 11.5
+110
Under 11.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
+112
Under 6.5
-145
BetMGM Logo
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-118
Under 5.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-103
Under 4.5
-125
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 12.5
-128
Under 12.5
-101
BetMGM Logo
Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+112
Under 5.5
-145
BetMGM Logo
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-132
Under 5.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
+109
Under 5.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Ball Arena
Ball Arena
Nuggets Have Dominated Recent Head-to-Head Matchups at Ball Arena

The Nuggets have put together six in a row at Ball Arena. They have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, putting up 121.30 points on average and giving up 113.60.

The Warriors have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 114.00 points on offense and surrendering 116.70 on defense.

The last time the teams met at Ball Arena, the Nuggets defeated the Warriors 129-104. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Ball Arena, the Nuggets have claimed eight wins compared to the Warriors who have two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O238.5 U238.5
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Home Stats 8-2 234.90 121.30 113.60 4 6
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 4-6 230.70 114.00 116.70 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O238.5 = Games Over 238.5 Points
  • U238.5 = Games Under 238.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 39 31.33 1061 189 27.2 4.8 4.5 3.5 0.4 1.1
Jimmy Butler 38 31.1 760 185 20.0 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Brandin Podziemski 74 28.44 976 283 13.2 3.8 1.8 5.3 0.2 1.1

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 70 35.16 1787 501 25.5 7.2 3.2 4.4 0.3 0.9
Nikola Jokic 59 34.9 1647 640 27.9 10.8 1.8 12.8 0.8 1.4
Christian Braun 39 31.54 453 110 11.6 2.8 0.9 4.8 0.3 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Wizards 126-131 Warriors
25 Mar NBA
Nets 106-109 Warriors
23 Mar NBA
Warriors 137-131 Mavericks
21 Mar NBA
Warriors 110-126 Hawks
20 Mar NBA
Warriors 101-115 Pistons
18 Mar NBA
Warriors 99-120 Celtics
16 Mar NBA
Warriors 125-117 Wizards
15 Mar NBA
Warriors 107-110 Knicks
13 Mar NBA
Timberwolves 127-117 Warriors
10 Mar NBA
Bulls 130-124 Warriors

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Jazz 129-135 Nuggets
25 Mar NBA
Mavericks 135-142 Nuggets
24 Mar NBA
Nuggets 125-123 Suns
22 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 112-128 Nuggets
20 Mar NBA
Raptors 115-121 Nuggets
18 Mar NBA
Nuggets 118-125 Grizzlies
17 Mar NBA
76ers 96-124 Nuggets
14 Mar NBA
Nuggets 125-127 Lakers
12 Mar NBA
Nuggets 136-131 Spurs
11 Mar NBA
Rockets 93-129 Nuggets

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak