Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Team News
  7. Lineups
  8. Injuries
  9. Rosters
  10. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Heat

The Golden State Warriors meet the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Lots of Points to Be Scored

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when the Warriors clash with the Heat. Our prediction is for Over 230.5 points to be scored at odds of -110.

If you’re liking our Totals pick, grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out the comprehensive site review to make the most of your wager.

112-86 Victory for Heat in Last Head-to-Head

Golden State Warriors lost on the road in their previous game. Orlando Magic won 121-113 at Kia Center. Stephen Curry tallied 34 points, while Jimmy Butler put up 33 and Draymond Green 12.

Miami Heat won their last game which was at home. It was a 115-113 triumph at Kaseya Center against New York Knicks. Norman Powell scored 19 points, Davion Mitchell bagged 18, while Kel'el Ware had 16 points and 14 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat have won the last two meetings against the Warriors. They triumphed 114-98 at Chase Center and then 112-86 at Kaseya Center. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 8 6 0.571 124.6 121.5 3.1 6-1 2-5 2-1 5-3 5-5 1W
Warriors logo Warriors 9 7 0.563 115.5 114.4 1.1 5-0 4-7 3-1 8-4 5-5 1L
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 113.4 points, 41.7 rebounds, 26.7 assists, 10.2 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 81.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.5 points and 45.8 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 20.1 points and 3.2 (36.8%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 5.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 121.8 points, 42.8 rebounds, 30.5 assists, 8.5 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 48.1% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 123.8 points and 51.6 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 20.8 points and 2.6 (44.8%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 10.4 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.1 assists.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Let’s go for Over 230.5 when these NBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -110.

To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NBA stats available.

Key Warriors vs Heat stats:

  • The 230.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games.
  • The 230.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Heat games.

Over 230.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs bet, it’s possible to combine this with the winning franchise. The Match Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.

Our Game Prediction
Over 230.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 00:55, 19 November 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 230.5
Spread Warriors +6.5
Result & BTTS 100 Warriors / Yes

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Over 230.5 points. We’ve also gone for Warriors +6.5 and Warriors/BTTS Yes on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 116 - 118 Heat logo Heat

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Heat to secure a 118-116 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Heat as Favorites

With the sportsbooks giving them a 71% probability of winning this NBA game, Miami Heat might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -244 Moneyline betting odds. Golden State Warriors are the underdogs at +200 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 232.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. The Over 232.5 selection is available to back at -106.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Player Props & Micro Betting

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Count Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Heat have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, posting 118.00 points per contest while yielding 122.50.

The Warriors have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 113.10 points per matchup and giving up 120.40.

In their last matchup at Kaseya Center, the Heat came out on top 112-86 against the Warriors. Over the last 7 head-to-head clashes at Kaseya Center, the Heat have secured five victories, as the Warriors have picked up two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 240.50 118.00 122.50 6 4
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 3-7 233.50 113.10 120.40 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
De'Anthony Melton
Injured
Jonathan Kuminga
Injured

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Bam Adebayo
Injured
Tyler Herro
Injured
Terry Rozier
Suspended

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

18 Nov NBA
Warriors 113-121 Magic
16 Nov NBA
Warriors 124-106 Pelicans
14 Nov NBA
Warriors 109-108 Spurs
12 Nov NBA
Warriors 125-120 Spurs
11 Nov NBA
Warriors 102-126 Thunder
09 Nov NBA
Pacers 83-114 Warriors
07 Nov NBA
Warriors 104-129 Nuggets
05 Nov NBA
Warriors 116-121 Kings
04 Nov NBA
Suns 107-118 Warriors
01 Nov NBA
Warriors 109-114 Pacers

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

17 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-115 Heat
14 Nov NBA
Heat 132-140 Knicks
12 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 130-116 Heat
10 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 138-140 Heat
08 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 131-136 Heat
07 Nov NBA
Hornets 108-126 Heat
05 Nov NBA
Heat 112-122 Nuggets
03 Nov NBA
Heat 120-119 Clippers
02 Nov NBA
Heat 120-130 Lakers
30 Oct NBA
Heat 101-107 Spurs

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Raptors 9 5 0.643 119.8 115.1 4.7 3-2 6-3 1-1 8-2 8-2 4W
Knicks 8 5 0.615 121.4 115.2 6.2 8-1 0-4 2-0 6-5 6-4 1L
76ers 8 5 0.615 118.5 115.9 2.6 5-2 3-3 4-1 7-5 5-5 1W
Celtics 8 7 0.533 113.7 108.5 5.2 4-3 4-4 2-3 5-5 6-4 3W
Nets 2 12 0.143 109.6 121.3 -11.7 0-7 2-5 0-4 2-9 2-8 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 13 2 0.867 118.9 112.1 6.8 8-1 5-1 2-2 9-2 10-0 11W
Cavaliers 10 5 0.667 120.9 116.1 4.8 6-2 4-3 4-0 9-5 7-3 2W
Bulls 7 6 0.538 121.7 121.9 -0.2 5-1 2-5 1-3 5-4 4-6 1W
Bucks 8 7 0.533 117.6 118.7 -1.1 5-3 3-4 2-2 6-4 4-6 2L
Pacers 1 13 0.071 108.9 123.4 -14.5 1-5 0-8 0-2 0-5 1-9 8L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 9 6 0.6 117.2 114.4 2.8 2-4 7-2 2-0 4-5 7-3 1L
Heat 8 6 0.571 124.6 121.5 3.1 6-1 2-5 2-1 5-3 5-5 1W
Magic 8 7 0.533 115.9 113.9 2 5-3 3-4 3-2 6-6 7-3 1W
Hornets 4 10 0.286 116.5 119.7 -3.2 3-4 1-6 1-3 3-6 2-8 3L
Wizards 1 12 0.077 112.8 129.6 -16.8 0-6 1-6 0-2 0-9 0-10 11L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 14 1 0.933 121.9 106.4 15.5 6-0 8-1 0-1 10-1 9-1 6W
Nuggets 10 3 0.769 124.6 112.7 11.9 6-1 4-2 2-1 8-2 8-2 1L
Timberwolves 9 5 0.643 120.6 114.4 6.2 4-3 5-2 3-2 6-4 7-3 1W
Trail Blazers 6 8 0.429 120.7 122.5 -1.8 3-3 3-5 3-1 6-6 4-6 3L
Jazz 5 9 0.357 119.4 124.9 -5.5 4-3 1-6 0-3 2-6 3-7 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 11 4 0.733 117.9 115.2 2.7 4-2 7-2 1-1 8-3 8-2 3W
Suns 9 6 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 6-2 3-4 3-2 8-5 8-2 1W
Warriors 9 7 0.563 115.5 114.4 1.1 5-0 4-7 3-1 8-4 5-5 1L
Clippers 4 10 0.286 111.7 116.3 -4.6 3-5 1-5 1-3 4-6 2-8 2L
Kings 3 11 0.214 112.9 124.4 -11.5 2-5 1-6 1-2 2-9 2-8 6L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 9 3 0.75 124.8 113.3 11.5 5-1 4-2 2-1 3-2 9-1 4W
Spurs 10 4 0.714 118.2 111.3 6.9 7-2 3-2 5-0 6-4 6-4 2W
Grizzlies 4 11 0.267 111.1 119.2 -8.1 3-5 1-6 2-2 3-5 1-9 5L
Mavericks 4 11 0.267 110.3 117.2 -6.9 3-7 1-4 0-4 1-8 2-8 1L
Pelicans 2 12 0.143 108.3 121.9 -13.6 1-6 1-6 1-3 1-11 2-8 6L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 13 2 0.867 118.9 112.1 6.8 8-1 5-1 2-2 9-2 10-0 11W
Cavaliers 10 5 0.667 120.9 116.1 4.8 6-2 4-3 4-0 9-5 7-3 2W
Raptors 9 5 0.643 119.8 115.1 4.7 3-2 6-3 1-1 8-2 8-2 4W
Knicks 8 5 0.615 121.4 115.2 6.2 8-1 0-4 2-0 6-5 6-4 1L
76ers 8 5 0.615 118.5 115.9 2.6 5-2 3-3 4-1 7-5 5-5 1W
Hawks 9 6 0.6 117.2 114.4 2.8 2-4 7-2 2-0 4-5 7-3 1L
Heat 8 6 0.571 124.6 121.5 3.1 6-1 2-5 2-1 5-3 5-5 1W
Bulls 7 6 0.538 121.7 121.9 -0.2 5-1 2-5 1-3 5-4 4-6 1W
Celtics 8 7 0.533 113.7 108.5 5.2 4-3 4-4 2-3 5-5 6-4 3W
Magic 8 7 0.533 115.9 113.9 2 5-3 3-4 3-2 6-6 7-3 1W
Bucks 8 7 0.533 117.6 118.7 -1.1 5-3 3-4 2-2 6-4 4-6 2L
Hornets 4 10 0.286 116.5 119.7 -3.2 3-4 1-6 1-3 3-6 2-8 3L
Nets 2 12 0.143 109.6 121.3 -11.7 0-7 2-5 0-4 2-9 2-8 1L
Wizards 1 12 0.077 112.8 129.6 -16.8 0-6 1-6 0-2 0-9 0-10 11L
Pacers 1 13 0.071 108.9 123.4 -14.5 1-5 0-8 0-2 0-5 1-9 8L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 14 1 0.933 121.9 106.4 15.5 6-0 8-1 0-1 10-1 9-1 6W
Nuggets 10 3 0.769 124.6 112.7 11.9 6-1 4-2 2-1 8-2 8-2 1L
Rockets 9 3 0.75 124.8 113.3 11.5 5-1 4-2 2-1 3-2 9-1 4W
Lakers 11 4 0.733 117.9 115.2 2.7 4-2 7-2 1-1 8-3 8-2 3W
Spurs 10 4 0.714 118.2 111.3 6.9 7-2 3-2 5-0 6-4 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 9 5 0.643 120.6 114.4 6.2 4-3 5-2 3-2 6-4 7-3 1W
Suns 9 6 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 6-2 3-4 3-2 8-5 8-2 1W
Warriors 9 7 0.563 115.5 114.4 1.1 5-0 4-7 3-1 8-4 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 6 8 0.429 120.7 122.5 -1.8 3-3 3-5 3-1 6-6 4-6 3L
Jazz 5 9 0.357 119.4 124.9 -5.5 4-3 1-6 0-3 2-6 3-7 1L
Clippers 4 10 0.286 111.7 116.3 -4.6 3-5 1-5 1-3 4-6 2-8 2L
Grizzlies 4 11 0.267 111.1 119.2 -8.1 3-5 1-6 2-2 3-5 1-9 5L
Mavericks 4 11 0.267 110.3 117.2 -6.9 3-7 1-4 0-4 1-8 2-8 1L
Kings 3 11 0.214 112.9 124.4 -11.5 2-5 1-6 1-2 2-9 2-8 6L
Pelicans 2 12 0.143 108.3 121.9 -13.6 1-6 1-6 1-3 1-11 2-8 6L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 14 1 0.933 121.9 106.4 15.5 6-0 8-1 0-1 10-1 9-1 6W
Pistons 13 2 0.867 118.9 112.1 6.8 8-1 5-1 2-2 9-2 10-0 11W
Nuggets 10 3 0.769 124.6 112.7 11.9 6-1 4-2 2-1 8-2 8-2 1L
Rockets 9 3 0.75 124.8 113.3 11.5 5-1 4-2 2-1 3-2 9-1 4W
Lakers 11 4 0.733 117.9 115.2 2.7 4-2 7-2 1-1 8-3 8-2 3W
Spurs 10 4 0.714 118.2 111.3 6.9 7-2 3-2 5-0 6-4 6-4 2W
Cavaliers 10 5 0.667 120.9 116.1 4.8 6-2 4-3 4-0 9-5 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 9 5 0.643 120.6 114.4 6.2 4-3 5-2 3-2 6-4 7-3 1W
Raptors 9 5 0.643 119.8 115.1 4.7 3-2 6-3 1-1 8-2 8-2 4W
Knicks 8 5 0.615 121.4 115.2 6.2 8-1 0-4 2-0 6-5 6-4 1L
76ers 8 5 0.615 118.5 115.9 2.6 5-2 3-3 4-1 7-5 5-5 1W
Hawks 9 6 0.6 117.2 114.4 2.8 2-4 7-2 2-0 4-5 7-3 1L
Suns 9 6 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 6-2 3-4 3-2 8-5 8-2 1W
Heat 8 6 0.571 124.6 121.5 3.1 6-1 2-5 2-1 5-3 5-5 1W
Warriors 9 7 0.563 115.5 114.4 1.1 5-0 4-7 3-1 8-4 5-5 1L
Bulls 7 6 0.538 121.7 121.9 -0.2 5-1 2-5 1-3 5-4 4-6 1W
Celtics 8 7 0.533 113.7 108.5 5.2 4-3 4-4 2-3 5-5 6-4 3W
Bucks 8 7 0.533 117.6 118.7 -1.1 5-3 3-4 2-2 6-4 4-6 2L
Magic 8 7 0.533 115.9 113.9 2 5-3 3-4 3-2 6-6 7-3 1W
Trail Blazers 6 8 0.429 120.7 122.5 -1.8 3-3 3-5 3-1 6-6 4-6 3L
Jazz 5 9 0.357 119.4 124.9 -5.5 4-3 1-6 0-3 2-6 3-7 1L
Hornets 4 10 0.286 116.5 119.7 -3.2 3-4 1-6 1-3 3-6 2-8 3L
Clippers 4 10 0.286 111.7 116.3 -4.6 3-5 1-5 1-3 4-6 2-8 2L
Mavericks 4 11 0.267 110.3 117.2 -6.9 3-7 1-4 0-4 1-8 2-8 1L
Grizzlies 4 11 0.267 111.1 119.2 -8.1 3-5 1-6 2-2 3-5 1-9 5L
Kings 3 11 0.214 112.9 124.4 -11.5 2-5 1-6 1-2 2-9 2-8 6L
Nets 2 12 0.143 109.6 121.3 -11.7 0-7 2-5 0-4 2-9 2-8 1L
Pelicans 2 12 0.143 108.3 121.9 -13.6 1-6 1-6 1-3 1-11 2-8 6L
Wizards 1 12 0.077 112.8 129.6 -16.8 0-6 1-6 0-2 0-9 0-10 11L
Pacers 1 13 0.071 108.9 123.4 -14.5 1-5 0-8 0-2 0-5 1-9 8L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak