Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Warriors vs Heat

The Golden State Warriors meet the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Lots of Points to Be Scored

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when the Warriors clash with the Heat. Our prediction is for Over 230.5 points to be scored at odds of -110.

112-86 Victory for Heat in Last Head-to-Head

Golden State Warriors lost on the road in their previous game. Orlando Magic won 121-113 at Kia Center. Stephen Curry tallied 34 points, while Jimmy Butler put up 33 and Draymond Green 12.

Miami Heat won their last game which was at home. It was a 115-113 triumph at Kaseya Center against New York Knicks. Norman Powell scored 19 points, Davion Mitchell bagged 18, while Kel'el Ware had 16 points and 14 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat have won the last two meetings against the Warriors. They triumphed 114-98 at Chase Center and then 112-86 at Kaseya Center. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Warriors logo Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
View Full Standings
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 113.4 points, 41.7 rebounds, 26.7 assists, 10.2 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 81.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.5 points and 45.8 rebounds per matchup.

Stephen Curry is averaging 20.1 points and 3.2 (36.8%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green averages 5.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 121.8 points, 42.8 rebounds, 30.5 assists, 8.5 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 48.1% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 123.8 points and 51.6 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 20.8 points and 2.6 (44.8%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 10.4 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.1 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go for Over 230.5 when these NBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -110.

To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NBA stats available.

Key Warriors vs Heat stats:

  • The 230.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games.
  • The 230.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Heat games.

Over 230.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs bet, it’s possible to combine this with the winning franchise. The Match Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.

Our Game Prediction
Over 230.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 19, 00:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:55, 19 November 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Norman Powell Over 22.5 Points -125 BetMGM logo

Norman Powell (Heat) has recorded an average of 27.8 points in the past 5 games. He should therefore be capable of going over the line, with -125 available when it comes to having a wager on Player Points.

Latest Norman Powell Player Prop Odds


Andrew Wiggins Over 3.5 Assists +123 BetMGM logo

Andrew Wiggins (Heat) has racked up Over 3.5 assists in 3 straight home games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at +123 when it comes to a Player Assists wager and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Andrew Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 233.5
Spread Warriors +10.5
Player Points Norman Powell Over 22.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 233.5, followed by Warriors +10.5 on the spread and Norman Powell (Heat) to score Over 22.5 points.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Warriors Warriors logo 116 - 118 Heat logo Heat

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Heat to secure a 118-116 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Have Heat as Favorites

With the sportsbooks giving them a 81% probability of winning this NBA game, Miami Heat might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -417 Moneyline betting odds. Golden State Warriors are the underdogs at +330 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 10.5 and the total points line is 233.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. The Over 233.5 selection is available to back at -110.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Stephen Curry Favorite to Score the Most Points

Stephen Curry is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -115 can be found for him scoring Over 28.5 points and there is -112 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 28.5
-115
Under 28.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 22.5
-125
Under 22.5
-108
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Moses Moody (Warriors)
Over 17.5
-122
Under 17.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-137
Under 6.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 6.5
+108
Under 6.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 5.5
+116
Under 5.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 4.5
+113
Under 4.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 6.5
-108
Under 6.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 6.5
-139
Under 6.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 6.5
-105
Under 6.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Count Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Heat have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, posting 118.00 points per contest while yielding 122.50.

The Warriors have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 113.10 points per matchup and giving up 120.40.

In their last matchup at Kaseya Center, the Heat came out on top 112-86 against the Warriors. Over the last 7 head-to-head clashes at Kaseya Center, the Heat have secured five victories, as the Warriors have picked up two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 240.50 118.00 122.50 6 4
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Away Stats 3-7 233.50 113.10 120.40 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jimmy Butler 15 31.29 301 71 20.1 4.7 1.0 5.5 0.3 1.7
Stephen Curry 13 30.85 363 53 27.9 4.1 4.5 3.6 0.5 1.5
Brandin Podziemski 16 28.26 184 47 11.5 2.9 1.8 4.6 0.3 1.2

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 14 32.94 234 41 16.7 2.9 1.8 4.9 0.9 1.1
Norman Powell 11 31.35 280 26 25.5 2.4 3.2 3.8 0.2 1.2
Davion Mitchell 14 30.76 148 105 10.6 7.5 1.2 2.9 0.1 1.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Draymond Green
Injured
Jimmy Butler
Injured
Al Horford
Injured
Stephen Curry
Injured
De'Anthony Melton
Injured

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Herro
Injured
Terry Rozier
Suspended

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
2 Brandin Podziemski
3 Will Richard
4 Moses Moody
15 Gui Santos
32 Trayce Jackson-Davis

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

18 Nov NBA
Warriors 113-121 Magic
16 Nov NBA
Warriors 124-106 Pelicans
14 Nov NBA
Warriors 109-108 Spurs
12 Nov NBA
Warriors 125-120 Spurs
11 Nov NBA
Warriors 102-126 Thunder
09 Nov NBA
Pacers 83-114 Warriors
07 Nov NBA
Warriors 104-129 Nuggets
05 Nov NBA
Warriors 116-121 Kings
04 Nov NBA
Suns 107-118 Warriors
01 Nov NBA
Warriors 109-114 Pacers

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

17 Nov NBA
Knicks 113-115 Heat
14 Nov NBA
Heat 132-140 Knicks
12 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 130-116 Heat
10 Nov NBA
Cavaliers 138-140 Heat
08 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 131-136 Heat
07 Nov NBA
Hornets 108-126 Heat
05 Nov NBA
Heat 112-122 Nuggets
03 Nov NBA
Heat 120-119 Clippers
02 Nov NBA
Heat 120-130 Lakers
30 Oct NBA
Heat 101-107 Spurs

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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