Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

No. 2 Houston Rockets (52-30, 23-17 Away) square off against No. 7 Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round matchup at Chase Center. The Warriors lead the series 3-2.

Get with the Warriors with a -5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -108 to enjoy a solid victory when they go head to head with the Rockets.

Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors were in action at Toyota Center two nights ago, with the Rockets winning 131-116.

Fred VanVleet scored 26 points for the Rockets, with Amen Thompson registering 25 and Dillon Brooks 24. Moses Moody racked up 25 for the Warriors, while Kevin Knox II and Stephen Curry recorded 14 and 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L

View Full Standings

The Rockets have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 109.2 points, 44.5 rebounds, 22.8 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 46.6% from the field and 68.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 112.5 points and 40.8 rebounds per contest.

Alperen Sengun is averaging 16.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists, while Fred VanVleet averages 2.5 (37.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.5 points, 40.8 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 10.8 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 44.5% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 105.9 points and 45.8 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 25.9 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.5 assists and 4.2 (40.8%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

It’s time to go for Warriors against the spread, especially with an attractive -5 line at -108. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this NBA matchup.

The basketball predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the NBA action might play out.

Key Rockets vs Warriors stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Warriors in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Warriors -5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Our Game Prediction

Warriors -5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 23:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points -106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors) has scored an average of 30.75 points in the past 4 games at home. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -106.

Latest Jimmy Butler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-118

Assists

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+104

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Jalen Green Under 15.5 Points -109

Jalen Green (Rockets) has totaled an average of 10 points in the past 5 games on the road. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -109.

Latest Jalen Green Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-127

Assists

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-104

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rockets 99 - 108 Warriors

We’re going for the Warriors to achieve a 108-99 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Golden State Warriors are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the -238 about them triumphing means a 70% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Houston Rockets are least likely to win at +198.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 208. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 208 at -110.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this popular league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Rockets

+198

Warriors

-238

Point Spread

Rockets +5.5

-110

Warriors -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 208

-110

Over 208

-110

Stephen Curry is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -118 that he goes Over 25.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 25.5

-118

Under 25.5

-114

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-118

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-114

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-118

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-127

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 12.5

-109

Under 12.5

-122

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 11.5

-128

Under 11.5

-104

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

Gary Payton II (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-114

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-120

Steven Adams (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-130

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+112

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-120

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+108

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-128

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+116

Under 4.5

-154

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-114

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-104

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+125

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 10.5

-137

Under 10.5

+104

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

-100

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-106

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+104

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+110

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-110

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-143

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-154

Fred VanVleet (Rockets)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+128

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 232.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 224.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 110.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.50 pts and allowed 117.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 233.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 236.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 224.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.50 pts and allowed 121.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (78.26%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 13.30, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 30.30
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 16.20

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.80 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.30 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.92%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.3, Offensive 15.10, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 6.50
• Steals: 7.20
• Turnovers : 14.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.70

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.60 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (78.3%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 30.00
• Assists: 27.90
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 9.80
• Turnovers : 17.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.50 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.90 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.80 (81.44%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.2, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 31.60
• Assists: 29.00
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

0 Gary Payton II

7 Buddy Hield

10 Jimmy Butler

23 Draymond Green

30 Stephen Curry

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

5 Fred VanVleet

9 Dillon Brooks

28 Alperen Sengun

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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