Houston Rockets
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Rockets vs Heat

The Houston Rockets take the court against the Miami Heat in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Will Heat Stay in Reach of the Favorites?

The Heat look easy to back at -108 considering the underdogs have been given a generous spread of +3.5. This looks a great number when squaring off against the Rockets.

9 Heat Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Houston Rockets won their previous game 113-108. This road victory at Kia Center against Orlando Magic was their third on the spin. Kevin Durant dropped 40 points, as Reed Sheppard finished with 20 and Alperen Sengun 16.

Miami Heat have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 124-117 loss against Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Bam Adebayo racked up 29 points and 14 rebounds, while Tyler Herro scored 25 points and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Rockets who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At Kaseya Center, a 102-98 win was recorded. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Heat win nine times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets logo Rockets 37 21 0.638 114.7 109.1 5.6 20-7 17-14 6-5 21-16 6-4 3W
Heat logo Heat 31 29 0.517 119.9 117.2 2.7 17-11 14-18 5-5 16-18 5-5 2L
View Full Standings
Houston Rockets – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Rockets are averaging 108.5 points, 42.9 rebounds, 23.9 assists, 9.2 steals and 6.8 blocks while shooting 48.7% from the field and 79.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 104.8 points and 41.6 rebounds per contest.

Kevin Durant is averaging 25.7 points, with Reed Sheppard making 3.4 (45.3%) 3-pointers per game. Alperen Sengun averages 8.2 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 120.9 points, 51.9 rebounds, 29.9 assists, 8.7 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.0% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 111.2 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.1 points and 10.0 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.2 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.6 (50.0%) 3-pointers.

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Our expert Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting a spirited performance from Heat which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread for this NBA matchup. They should be able to cover the +3.5 line where -108 can be found.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each NBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Rockets vs Heat stats:

  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 9 of their last 10 games against Rockets.

Heat +3.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Don’t miss your chance to claim the best betting offers, free bets, and bonuses with the help of our smart bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +3.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 27 February 2026

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +3.5
Totals Under 225.5
Result & BTTS 120 Heat / No

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Heat +3.5, Under 225.5 points and Heat/BTTS No on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.

A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rockets Rockets logo 108 - 110 Heat logo Heat

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Heat to win 110-108. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Odds Suggest Rockets Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 63% probability of winning this NBA game, Houston Rockets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -167 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +142.

3.5 is the spread and 225.5 is the total points line. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those expecting a low total can back Under 225.5 at -106.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The best sportsbooks have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Kevin Durant Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kevin Durant is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -114 that he goes Over 26.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 6.5
+122
Under 6.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-147
Under 5.5
+113
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Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Over 4.5
+128
Under 4.5
-167
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 4.5
-152
Under 4.5
+117
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 9.5
-109
Under 9.5
-119
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Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 7.5
+115
Under 7.5
-149
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Tari Eason (Rockets)
Over 6.5
-132
Under 6.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Sitting on Five Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Heat have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, posting 122.60 points per contest while yielding 117.70.

The Rockets own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 109.40 points on offense and surrendering 107.70 on defense.

The Rockets beat the Heat 102-98 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Heat have won seven while the Rockets have taken three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O225.5 U225.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 5-5 240.30 122.60 117.70 9 1
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Away Stats 6-4 217.10 109.40 107.70 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O225.5 = Games Over 225.5 Points
  • U225.5 = Games Under 225.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Houston Rockets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Amen Thompson 56 37.01 967 296 17.3 5.3 0.3 7.6 0.6 1.5
Kevin Durant 55 36.4 1435 249 26.1 4.5 2.4 5.4 0.9 0.8
Jabari Smith 57 34.84 883 102 15.5 1.8 2.2 6.8 1.0 0.8

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 52 31.31 962 149 18.5 2.9 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 54 31.19 872 150 16.1 2.8 2.1 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 15 30.19 318 52 21.2 3.5 2.3 4.5 0.4 0.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Houston Rockets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Houston Rockets Lineups

26 Feb NBA
Rockets 113-108 Magic
25 Feb NBA
Kings 97-128 Rockets
23 Feb NBA
Jazz 105-125 Rockets
21 Feb NBA
Rockets 106-108 Knicks
19 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-101 Hornets
11 Feb NBA
Clippers 105-102 Rockets
10 Feb NBA
Clippers 95-102 Rockets
07 Feb NBA
Rockets 112-106 Thunder
05 Feb NBA
Hornets 109-99 Rockets
04 Feb NBA
Celtics 114-93 Rockets

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks
11 Feb NBA
Heat 123-111 Pelicans
09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 39 20 0.661 115 107.5 7.5 19-9 20-11 8-5 25-13 8-2 1W
Knicks 38 22 0.633 117.3 111.5 5.8 22-8 16-14 10-3 26-15 6-4 1W
Raptors 34 25 0.576 113.6 111.8 1.8 16-15 18-10 4-9 26-15 5-5 2L
76ers 33 26 0.559 116.7 115.9 0.8 16-15 17-11 8-6 21-19 5-5 3W
Nets 15 44 0.254 107 115.6 -8.6 8-21 7-23 3-10 11-25 2-8 7L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 44 14 0.759 117.5 109.7 7.8 24-7 20-7 10-3 29-7 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 37 24 0.607 119.4 115.2 4.2 20-11 17-13 7-5 23-15 7-3 2L
Bucks 26 32 0.448 112.1 115.6 -3.5 14-14 12-18 8-4 19-20 7-3 1L
Bulls 24 36 0.4 115.7 120.5 -4.8 15-17 9-19 3-10 16-26 0-10 11L
Pacers 15 45 0.25 111.5 119.5 -8 10-21 5-24 3-9 11-30 2-8 5L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 31 27 0.534 115 114.6 0.4 18-11 13-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1L
Heat 31 29 0.517 119.9 117.2 2.7 17-11 14-18 5-5 16-18 5-5 2L
Hawks 30 31 0.492 117.1 117.6 -0.5 13-16 17-15 7-6 17-21 6-4 3W
Hornets 29 31 0.483 116.2 113.4 2.8 12-16 17-15 9-4 19-21 7-3 3W
Wizards 16 42 0.276 111.9 122.8 -10.9 11-19 5-23 2-9 11-26 3-7 3L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 45 15 0.75 119.4 108 11.4 24-7 21-8 8-3 32-9 6-4 1L
Nuggets 37 22 0.627 120.5 115.7 4.8 16-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1W
Timberwolves 37 23 0.617 119.2 114.7 4.5 20-11 17-12 7-5 22-17 6-4 2W
Trail Blazers 29 31 0.483 115.9 118.2 -2.3 16-15 13-16 5-7 22-18 6-4 1W
Jazz 18 41 0.305 118 125.9 -7.9 11-19 7-22 1-9 10-28 3-7 4L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 34 24 0.586 115.5 115.9 -0.4 16-12 18-12 6-7 23-15 5-5 3L
Suns 34 26 0.567 112.1 111.4 0.7 20-12 14-14 9-6 23-18 4-6 1W
Warriors 31 28 0.525 115.8 113.8 2 19-11 12-17 6-4 21-17 4-6 1W
Clippers 27 31 0.466 111.7 112.2 -0.5 14-13 13-18 7-5 17-18 4-6 3L
Kings 14 47 0.23 110.4 121.1 -10.7 9-20 5-27 2-8 10-31 2-8 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 43 16 0.729 118.5 111.7 6.8 21-6 22-10 10-3 26-13 10-0 11W
Rockets 37 21 0.638 114.7 109.1 5.6 20-7 17-14 6-5 21-16 6-4 3W
Grizzlies 22 36 0.379 115.6 117.9 -2.3 12-17 10-19 6-6 18-23 3-7 1W
Mavericks 21 38 0.356 114.4 118 -3.6 14-18 7-20 3-10 11-28 2-8 2L
Pelicans 18 42 0.3 115.1 120.3 -5.2 11-21 7-21 6-7 11-26 5-5 3W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 44 14 0.759 117.5 109.7 7.8 24-7 20-7 10-3 29-7 8-2 2W
Celtics 39 20 0.661 115 107.5 7.5 19-9 20-11 8-5 25-13 8-2 1W
Knicks 38 22 0.633 117.3 111.5 5.8 22-8 16-14 10-3 26-15 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 37 24 0.607 119.4 115.2 4.2 20-11 17-13 7-5 23-15 7-3 2L
Raptors 34 25 0.576 113.6 111.8 1.8 16-15 18-10 4-9 26-15 5-5 2L
76ers 33 26 0.559 116.7 115.9 0.8 16-15 17-11 8-6 21-19 5-5 3W
Magic 31 27 0.534 115 114.6 0.4 18-11 13-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1L
Heat 31 29 0.517 119.9 117.2 2.7 17-11 14-18 5-5 16-18 5-5 2L
Hawks 30 31 0.492 117.1 117.6 -0.5 13-16 17-15 7-6 17-21 6-4 3W
Hornets 29 31 0.483 116.2 113.4 2.8 12-16 17-15 9-4 19-21 7-3 3W
Bucks 26 32 0.448 112.1 115.6 -3.5 14-14 12-18 8-4 19-20 7-3 1L
Bulls 24 36 0.4 115.7 120.5 -4.8 15-17 9-19 3-10 16-26 0-10 11L
Wizards 16 42 0.276 111.9 122.8 -10.9 11-19 5-23 2-9 11-26 3-7 3L
Nets 15 44 0.254 107 115.6 -8.6 8-21 7-23 3-10 11-25 2-8 7L
Pacers 15 45 0.25 111.5 119.5 -8 10-21 5-24 3-9 11-30 2-8 5L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 45 15 0.75 119.4 108 11.4 24-7 21-8 8-3 32-9 6-4 1L
Spurs 43 16 0.729 118.5 111.7 6.8 21-6 22-10 10-3 26-13 10-0 11W
Rockets 37 21 0.638 114.7 109.1 5.6 20-7 17-14 6-5 21-16 6-4 3W
Nuggets 37 22 0.627 120.5 115.7 4.8 16-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1W
Timberwolves 37 23 0.617 119.2 114.7 4.5 20-11 17-12 7-5 22-17 6-4 2W
Lakers 34 24 0.586 115.5 115.9 -0.4 16-12 18-12 6-7 23-15 5-5 3L
Suns 34 26 0.567 112.1 111.4 0.7 20-12 14-14 9-6 23-18 4-6 1W
Warriors 31 28 0.525 115.8 113.8 2 19-11 12-17 6-4 21-17 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 29 31 0.483 115.9 118.2 -2.3 16-15 13-16 5-7 22-18 6-4 1W
Clippers 27 31 0.466 111.7 112.2 -0.5 14-13 13-18 7-5 17-18 4-6 3L
Grizzlies 22 36 0.379 115.6 117.9 -2.3 12-17 10-19 6-6 18-23 3-7 1W
Mavericks 21 38 0.356 114.4 118 -3.6 14-18 7-20 3-10 11-28 2-8 2L
Jazz 18 41 0.305 118 125.9 -7.9 11-19 7-22 1-9 10-28 3-7 4L
Pelicans 18 42 0.3 115.1 120.3 -5.2 11-21 7-21 6-7 11-26 5-5 3W
Kings 14 47 0.23 110.4 121.1 -10.7 9-20 5-27 2-8 10-31 2-8 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 44 14 0.759 117.5 109.7 7.8 24-7 20-7 10-3 29-7 8-2 2W
Thunder 45 15 0.75 119.4 108 11.4 24-7 21-8 8-3 32-9 6-4 1L
Spurs 43 16 0.729 118.5 111.7 6.8 21-6 22-10 10-3 26-13 10-0 11W
Celtics 39 20 0.661 115 107.5 7.5 19-9 20-11 8-5 25-13 8-2 1W
Rockets 37 21 0.638 114.7 109.1 5.6 20-7 17-14 6-5 21-16 6-4 3W
Knicks 38 22 0.633 117.3 111.5 5.8 22-8 16-14 10-3 26-15 6-4 1W
Nuggets 37 22 0.627 120.5 115.7 4.8 16-11 21-11 5-2 21-11 4-6 1W
Timberwolves 37 23 0.617 119.2 114.7 4.5 20-11 17-12 7-5 22-17 6-4 2W
Cavaliers 37 24 0.607 119.4 115.2 4.2 20-11 17-13 7-5 23-15 7-3 2L
Lakers 34 24 0.586 115.5 115.9 -0.4 16-12 18-12 6-7 23-15 5-5 3L
Raptors 34 25 0.576 113.6 111.8 1.8 16-15 18-10 4-9 26-15 5-5 2L
Suns 34 26 0.567 112.1 111.4 0.7 20-12 14-14 9-6 23-18 4-6 1W
76ers 33 26 0.559 116.7 115.9 0.8 16-15 17-11 8-6 21-19 5-5 3W
Magic 31 27 0.534 115 114.6 0.4 18-11 13-16 6-5 19-18 6-4 1L
Warriors 31 28 0.525 115.8 113.8 2 19-11 12-17 6-4 21-17 4-6 1W
Heat 31 29 0.517 119.9 117.2 2.7 17-11 14-18 5-5 16-18 5-5 2L
Hawks 30 31 0.492 117.1 117.6 -0.5 13-16 17-15 7-6 17-21 6-4 3W
Hornets 29 31 0.483 116.2 113.4 2.8 12-16 17-15 9-4 19-21 7-3 3W
Trail Blazers 29 31 0.483 115.9 118.2 -2.3 16-15 13-16 5-7 22-18 6-4 1W
Clippers 27 31 0.466 111.7 112.2 -0.5 14-13 13-18 7-5 17-18 4-6 3L
Bucks 26 32 0.448 112.1 115.6 -3.5 14-14 12-18 8-4 19-20 7-3 1L
Bulls 24 36 0.4 115.7 120.5 -4.8 15-17 9-19 3-10 16-26 0-10 11L
Grizzlies 22 36 0.379 115.6 117.9 -2.3 12-17 10-19 6-6 18-23 3-7 1W
Mavericks 21 38 0.356 114.4 118 -3.6 14-18 7-20 3-10 11-28 2-8 2L
Jazz 18 41 0.305 118 125.9 -7.9 11-19 7-22 1-9 10-28 3-7 4L
Pelicans 18 42 0.3 115.1 120.3 -5.2 11-21 7-21 6-7 11-26 5-5 3W
Wizards 16 42 0.276 111.9 122.8 -10.9 11-19 5-23 2-9 11-26 3-7 3L
Nets 15 44 0.254 107 115.6 -8.6 8-21 7-23 3-10 11-25 2-8 7L
Pacers 15 45 0.25 111.5 119.5 -8 10-21 5-24 3-9 11-30 2-8 5L
Kings 14 47 0.23 110.4 121.1 -10.7 9-20 5-27 2-8 10-31 2-8 1W
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak