Houston Rockets
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Rockets vs Heat

The Houston Rockets take the court against the Miami Heat in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Will Heat Stay in Reach of the Favorites?

The Heat look easy to back at -108 considering the underdogs have been given a generous spread of +3.5. This looks a great number when squaring off against the Rockets.

9 Heat Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Houston Rockets won their previous game 113-108. This road victory at Kia Center against Orlando Magic was their third on the spin. Kevin Durant dropped 40 points, as Reed Sheppard finished with 20 and Alperen Sengun 16.

Miami Heat have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 124-117 loss against Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Bam Adebayo racked up 29 points and 14 rebounds, while Tyler Herro scored 25 points and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Rockets who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At Kaseya Center, a 102-98 win was recorded. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Heat win nine times.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets logo Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Houston Rockets – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Rockets are averaging 108.5 points, 42.9 rebounds, 23.9 assists, 9.2 steals and 6.8 blocks while shooting 48.7% from the field and 79.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 104.8 points and 41.6 rebounds per contest.

Kevin Durant is averaging 25.7 points, with Reed Sheppard making 3.4 (45.3%) 3-pointers per game. Alperen Sengun averages 8.2 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 120.9 points, 51.9 rebounds, 29.9 assists, 8.7 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.0% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 111.2 points and 46.6 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.1 points and 10.0 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.2 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.6 (50.0%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Step into Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting a spirited performance from Heat which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread for this NBA matchup. They should be able to cover the +3.5 line where -108 can be found.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each NBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Rockets vs Heat stats:

  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +3.5 line has been covered by Heat in 9 of their last 10 games against Rockets.

Heat +3.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Don’t miss your chance to claim the best betting offers, free bets, and bonuses with the help of our smart bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +3.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 27 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5 Points -109 BetMGM logo

Andrew Wiggins (Heat) has scored an average of 21.25 points in the past 4 games at home. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -109 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Andrew Wiggins Player Prop Odds


Amen Thompson Under 16.5 Points -122 BetMGM logo

Amen Thompson (Rockets) has an average of 11.5 points in the past 4 road games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -122.

Latest Amen Thompson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +2
Totals Under 226.5
Player Points Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Heat to cover the +2 spread along with Under 226.5. Add in Andrew Wiggins (Heat) to score Over 15.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rockets Rockets logo 108 - 110 Heat logo Heat

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Heat to win 110-108. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Odds Suggest Rockets Win

With the sportsbooks giving them a 57% probability of winning this NBA game, Houston Rockets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -133 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +114.

2 is the spread and 226.5 is the total points line. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those expecting a low total can back Under 226.5 at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The best sportsbooks have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Kevin Durant Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kevin Durant is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -112 that he goes Over 26.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 6.5
+115
Under 6.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+112
Under 6.5
-152
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 4.5
-143
Under 4.5
+106
BetMGM Logo
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Over 3.5
-179
Under 3.5
+128
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 9.5
-110
Under 9.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 6.5
-154
Under 6.5
+112
BetMGM Logo
Tari Eason (Rockets)
Over 6.5
-130
Under 6.5
-105
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Sitting on Five Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Heat have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, posting 122.60 points per contest while yielding 117.70.

The Rockets own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 109.40 points on offense and surrendering 107.70 on defense.

The Rockets beat the Heat 102-98 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. From the past 10 head-to-heads at Kaseya Center, the Heat have won seven while the Rockets have taken three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O225.5 U225.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 5-5 240.30 122.60 117.70 9 1
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Away Stats 6-4 217.10 109.40 107.70 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O225.5 = Games Over 225.5 Points
  • U225.5 = Games Under 225.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Houston Rockets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Amen Thompson 56 37.01 967 296 17.3 5.3 0.3 7.6 0.6 1.5
Kevin Durant 55 36.4 1435 249 26.1 4.5 2.4 5.4 0.9 0.8
Jabari Smith 57 34.84 883 102 15.5 1.8 2.2 6.8 1.0 0.8

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 52 31.31 962 149 18.5 2.9 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 54 31.19 872 150 16.1 2.8 2.1 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 15 30.19 318 52 21.2 3.5 2.3 4.5 0.4 0.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Houston Rockets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
45 Davion Mitchell
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup
1 Amen Thompson
7 Kevin Durant
15 Reed Sheppard
17 Tari Eason
28 Alperen Sengun

Previous Houston Rockets Lineups

26 Feb NBA
Rockets 113-108 Magic
25 Feb NBA
Kings 97-128 Rockets
23 Feb NBA
Jazz 105-125 Rockets
21 Feb NBA
Rockets 106-108 Knicks
19 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-101 Hornets
11 Feb NBA
Clippers 105-102 Rockets
10 Feb NBA
Clippers 95-102 Rockets
07 Feb NBA
Rockets 112-106 Thunder
05 Feb NBA
Hornets 109-99 Rockets
04 Feb NBA
Celtics 114-93 Rockets

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks
21 Feb NBA
Grizzlies 120-136 Heat
20 Feb NBA
Heat 128-97 Hawks
11 Feb NBA
Heat 123-111 Pelicans
09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak