Illinois State vs Dayton Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Mar 2026
NIT Quarterfinal Betting Preview: Illinois State vs Dayton
No. 4 Illinois State Redbirds face No. 2 Dayton Flyers in this NIT Quarterfinal matchup at UD Arena in Dayton, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, March 25.
Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Dayton on the spread at -7.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -110 can be backed against Illinois State.
The Illinois State Redbirds (22-12, 3rd in MVC) advanced to the quarterfinals after a 78–75 victory over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
The Dayton Flyers (25-11, 4th in A-10) come into this matchup off an 80–61 win over the UNC Wilmington Seahawks.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton
|
23-11 | 2528 | 2376 | 152 | 16-4 | 7-7 | 1L |
Illinois State
|
20-12 | 2404 | 2190 | 214 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 1L |
Illinois State vs Dayton Prediction & Picks
We cover the essential Illinois State vs Dayton betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
Dayton should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this college matchup. Back this selection off -7.5 to cover the line at odds of -110.
Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.
Key Illinois State vs Dayton stats:
Dayton -7.5 Probability
The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.
Maximize your next wager by exploring our top betting offers filled with welcome bonuses, promos, and the best free bets.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Dayton -7.5 on the spread, Over 139.5 points and Dayton/BTTS Yes on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.
A basketball same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
66
-
78
Dayton
If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then Dayton to enjoy a 78-66 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.
Illinois State vs Dayton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Dayton odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -345 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 78% chance of winning. Illinois State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +275.
The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 139.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 139.5, this selection is available at -115.
If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.
The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.
Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Illinois State Stats
Dayton Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 144.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 139.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Atlantic 10 | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Louis
|
28-5 | 2879 | 2294 | 585 | 21-2 | 7-3 | 1L |
VCU
|
27-7 | 2773 | 2430 | 343 | 19-3 | 8-4 | 6W |
George Mason
|
23-9 | 2347 | 2160 | 187 | 17-3 | 6-6 | 1L |
|
Dayton
|
23-11 | 2528 | 2376 | 152 | 16-4 | 7-7 | 1L |
Saint Joseph's
|
22-11 | 2419 | 2306 | 113 | 16-3 | 6-8 | 1L |
Davidson
|
20-13 | 2367 | 2225 | 142 | 12-8 | 8-5 | 1L |
Duquesne
|
18-15 | 2584 | 2481 | 103 | 13-7 | 5-8 | 1L |
George Washington
|
18-15 | 2708 | 2433 | 275 | 13-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
Fordham
|
17-15 | 2235 | 2095 | 140 | 12-8 | 5-7 | 1L |
Rhode Island
|
16-16 | 2236 | 2182 | 54 | 10-7 | 6-9 | 2L |
St. Bonaventure
|
17-17 | 2596 | 2532 | 64 | 10-7 | 7-10 | 1L |
Richmond
|
15-17 | 2455 | 2366 | 89 | 11-8 | 4-9 | 4L |
La Salle
|
9-23 | 2148 | 2370 | -222 | 7-9 | 2-14 | 2L |
Loyola Chicago
|
9-24 | 2204 | 2500 | -296 | 6-12 | 3-12 | 1L |
| Missouri Valley | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belmont
|
26-6 | 2684 | 2347 | 337 | 15-3 | 11-3 | 2L |
Northern Iowa
|
23-12 | 2447 | 2144 | 303 | 13-5 | 10-7 | 5W |
Bradley
|
21-12 | 2560 | 2422 | 138 | 17-4 | 4-8 | 1L |
|
Illinois State
|
20-12 | 2404 | 2190 | 214 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 1L |
Murray State
|
20-12 | 2667 | 2558 | 109 | 14-4 | 6-8 | 2L |
UIC
|
19-15 | 2567 | 2379 | 188 | 11-7 | 8-8 | 1L |
Valparaiso
|
17-15 | 2278 | 2300 | -22 | 13-4 | 4-11 | 1L |
Southern Illinois
|
16-16 | 2336 | 2226 | 110 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 1L |
Drake
|
14-20 | 2552 | 2544 | 8 | 7-12 | 7-8 | 1L |
Indiana State
|
11-21 | 2354 | 2383 | -29 | 8-7 | 3-14 | 1L |
Evansville
|
7-25 | 2143 | 2447 | -304 | 5-12 | 2-13 | 2L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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