Illinois State vs Dayton Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Mar 2026

NIT Quarterfinal Betting Preview: Illinois State vs Dayton

No. 4 Illinois State Redbirds face No. 2 Dayton Flyers in this NIT Quarterfinal matchup at UD Arena in Dayton, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Wednesday, March 25.

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Dayton on the spread at -7.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -110 can be backed against Illinois State.

The Illinois State Redbirds (22-12, 3rd in MVC) advanced to the quarterfinals after a 78–75 victory over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

The Dayton Flyers (25-11, 4th in A-10) come into this matchup off an 80–61 win over the UNC Wilmington Seahawks.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	1-1	165	139	26	1-1	0-0	1L
Illinois State	1-1	185	145	40	1-0	0-1	1W

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Illinois State vs Dayton Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Illinois State vs Dayton betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted same game parlay.

Game Prediction

Dayton should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this college matchup. Back this selection off -7.5 to cover the line at odds of -110.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Illinois State vs Dayton stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 2 consecutive games.

Dayton -7.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.

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Our Game Prediction

Dayton -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Illinois State 66 - 78 Dayton

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Flyers to enjoy a 78-66 win could be along the right lines. There are huge odds for this particular outcome.

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Illinois State vs Dayton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Dayton odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and the Flyers are -323 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 76% chance of winning. Illinois State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back the Redbirds at +255.

The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 140.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 140.5, this selection is available at -108.

If you’re betting on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting sites and scanning through the wide range of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

ISU

+255

Dayton

-323

Point Spread

ISU +7.5

-115

Dayton -7.5

-105

Total Points

Under 140.5

-112

Over 140.5

-108

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Illinois State Stats

Dayton Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 139.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 136.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 139.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.00 pts and allowed 65.10 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Richmond	3-0	286	176	110	2-0	1-0	3W
George Washington	2-0	166	100	66	2-0	0-0	2W
Rhode Island	2-0	187	125	62	2-0	0-0	2W
Loyola Chicago	2-0	153	105	48	2-0	0-0	2W
George Mason	2-0	150	105	45	2-0	0-0	2W
Saint Louis	2-0	182	151	31	1-0	1-0	2W
Davidson	2-0	164	137	27	1-0	1-0	2W
Saint Joseph's	2-0	149	130	19	2-0	0-0	2W
Duquesne	2-0	146	129	17	2-0	0-0	2W
St. Bonaventure	1-1	159	128	31	0-1	1-0	1W
Dayton	1-1	165	139	26	1-1	0-0	1L
VCU	1-1	170	161	9	1-0	0-1	1L
Fordham	1-1	148	158	-10	1-0	0-1	1W
La Salle	1-1	143	174	-31	1-0	0-1	1W

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UIC	2-0	175	103	72	2-0	0-0	2W
Drake	2-0	176	116	60	2-0	0-0	2W
Murray State	2-0	187	135	52	1-0	1-0	2W
Belmont	2-0	147	99	48	2-0	0-0	2W
Evansville	2-0	158	146	12	2-0	0-0	2W
Illinois State	1-1	185	145	40	1-0	0-1	1W
Southern Illinois	1-1	175	140	35	1-0	0-1	1L
Bradley	1-1	137	104	33	1-1	0-0	1L
Northern Iowa	1-1	189	168	21	1-0	0-1	1L
Indiana State	1-1	139	144	-5	0-1	1-0	1W
Central College Dutch	0-1	48	101	-53	0-0	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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