Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Sep 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Fever vs Mercury
The Fever face the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, September 2, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
Bet on Mercury to Get the Job Done
The best betting angle could be the Mercury against the spread. You can land -106 that the market leaders are able to cover the -5.5 line and they are more than capable in their meeting with the Fever.
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Mercury Won When They Last Played Fever
Indiana Fever were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Chase Center. Golden State Valkyries claimed a 75-63 win.
Phoenix Mercury were winners last time out. It was a 80-63 home victory against New York Liberty at PHX Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 95-60 win for the Mercury at PHX Arena when they last played the Fever. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Fever victories.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
Mercury
|
25 | 14 | 3240 | 3105 | 135 | 14-6 | 11-8 | 4W |
7
Fever
|
21 | 19 | 3381 | 3287 | 94 | 11-9 | 10-10 | 1L |
Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re backing Mercury against the spread in this WNBA contest. It could be shrewd to bet on the favorites to cover the appealing -5.5 line, with -106 on offer.
To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date WNBA stats available.
Key Fever vs Mercury stats:
Mercury -5.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.
Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.
Best Bet
Mercury -5.5 @ -106
Player Prop Picks
Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -106 to record Over 5.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.
Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -106 to have Over 9.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Mercury -5.5, Under 165 and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to record Over 5.5 rebounds.
The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.
Correct Score Prediction
77
-
85
Mercury
The Mercury will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 85-77 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.
Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect
Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -294. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Indiana Fever are trading at +225.
6.5 is the spread and 166 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those expecting a low total can back Under 166 at -108.
If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the best sportsbooks and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.
Kelsey Mitchell Favorite to Get the Most Buckets
The favorite to score most points is Kelsey Mitchell. You can get -120 that she scores Over 19.5 points or -108 that she goes Under.
Micro Betting
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 08/08 2025 Fever 60 Mercury 95
- WNBA: 31/07 2025 Mercury 101 Fever 107
- WNBA: 17/08 2024 Mercury 89 Fever 98
- WNBA: 13/07 2024 Mercury 86 Fever 95
- WNBA: 30/06 2024 Fever 88 Mercury 82
- WNBA: 21/08 2023 Fever 83 Mercury 73
- WNBA: 02/08 2023 Mercury 71 Fever 72
- WNBA: 30/06 2023 Fever 63 Mercury 85
- WNBA: 11/06 2023 Mercury 85 Fever 82
- WNBA: 30/06 2022 Fever 78 Mercury 99
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Indiana Fever Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 165: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 84.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 86.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 165 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.00 pts and allowed 73.30 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
32 | 8 | 3478 | 3068 | 410 | 19-2 | 13-6 | 2W |
2
Aces
|
26 | 14 | 3308 | 3263 | 45 | 14-5 | 12-9 | 12W |
3
Dream
|
26 | 14 | 3347 | 3084 | 263 | 13-6 | 13-8 | 2W |
|
4
Mercury
|
25 | 14 | 3240 | 3105 | 135 | 14-6 | 11-8 | 4W |
5
Liberty
|
24 | 16 | 3405 | 3240 | 165 | 16-5 | 8-11 | 1L |
6
Valkyries
|
21 | 18 | 3072 | 2997 | 75 | 12-7 | 9-11 | 3W |
|
7
Fever
|
21 | 19 | 3381 | 3287 | 94 | 11-9 | 10-10 | 1L |
8
Storm
|
22 | 20 | 3464 | 3367 | 97 | 9-11 | 13-9 | 1L |
9
Sparks
|
19 | 20 | 3355 | 3429 | -74 | 8-12 | 11-8 | 2W |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 25 | 3194 | 3345 | -151 | 10-10 | 6-15 | 7L |
11
Sun
|
10 | 30 | 3052 | 3435 | -383 | 6-14 | 4-16 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
9 | 30 | 2957 | 3353 | -396 | 5-15 | 4-15 | 4L |
13
Wings
|
9 | 32 | 3340 | 3620 | -280 | 5-16 | 4-16 | 8L |
New York Liberty
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