Indiana Fever
Basketball WNBA PHX Arena Tue 2 Sep 22:00
Phoenix Mercury
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Fever vs Mercury

The Indiana Fever face the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, September 2. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Bet on Mercury to Get the Job Done

The best betting angle could be the Mercury against the spread. You can land -106 that the market leaders are able to cover the -5.5 line and they are more than capable in their meeting with the Fever.

Taking our side against the spread? Secure the best BetMGM promo code and see how the site rates in our expert review before placing your wager.

Mercury Won When They Last Played Fever

Indiana Fever were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Chase Center. Golden State Valkyries claimed a 75-63 win.

Phoenix Mercury were winners last time out. It was a 80-63 home victory against New York Liberty at PHX Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 95-60 win for the Mercury at PHX Arena when they last played the Fever. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Fever victories.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
View Full Standings

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re backing Mercury against the spread in this WNBA contest. It could be shrewd to bet on the favorites to cover the appealing -5.5 line, with -106 on offer.

To deliver the best possible basketball predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date WNBA stats available.

Key Fever vs Mercury stats:

  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The -5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fever in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Mercury -5.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

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Best Bet

Mercury -5.5 @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:52, 02 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 5.5 Rebounds -106 BetMGM logo

Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -106 to record Over 5.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

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Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists -106 BetMGM logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -106 to have Over 9.5 assists. We’re sweet on her covering the Player Assists total and landing our Overs bet.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Mercury -5.5
Totals Under 165
Player Rebounds Satou Sabally Over 5.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Mercury -5.5, Under 165 and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to record Over 5.5 rebounds.

The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

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Correct Score Prediction

Fever Fever logo 77 - 85 Mercury logo Mercury

The Mercury will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 85-77 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect

Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a 78% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -345. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Indiana Fever are trading at +260.

7.5 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those expecting a low total can back Under 166.5 at -110.

If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the best sportsbooks and scanning through the huge selection of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Kelsey Mitchell Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

The favorite to score most points is Kelsey Mitchell. You can get -119 that she scores Over 19.5 points or -109 that she goes Under.

Player Points
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
Over 19.5
-119
Under 19.5
-109
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Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Over 15.5
-122
Under 15.5
-106
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 14.5
-125
Under 14.5
-103
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Aliyah Boston (Fever)
Over 14.5
-115
Under 14.5
-112
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Player Assists
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
-100
Under 9.5
-130
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Odyssey Sims (Fever)
Over 4.5
+117
Under 4.5
-152
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Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
Over 3.5
-119
Under 3.5
-109
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Aliyah Boston (Fever)
Over 3.5
+115
Under 3.5
-149
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Player Rebounds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
+104
Under 9.5
-135
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Aliyah Boston (Fever)
Over 8.5
-103
Under 8.5
-125
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 5.5
+132
Under 5.5
-172
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Natasha Howard (Fever)
Over 5.5
-154
Under 5.5
+119
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Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Fever logo Indiana Fever Stats
Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W