Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

NBA Betting Preview: Pacers vs Heat

The Indiana Pacers face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re not convinced that the Pacers and the Heat are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 231.5 at -110.

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Indiana Pacers have suffered seven straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Boston Celtics 140-122 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Andrew Nembhard poured in 18 points, with T.J. McConnell contributing 13 and Bennedict Mathurin adding 13.

Miami Heat have lost their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Atlanta Hawks 126-111 at State Farm Arena. Norman Powell scored 25 points, with Pelle Larsson adding 21 and Andrew Wiggins 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 125-120 victory was registered against the Pacers at Kaseya Center. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	16	15	0.516	119.5	117.4	2.1	10-5	6-10	3-3	10-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	25	0.194	109.6	118.4	-8.8	5-12	1-13	2-6	4-15	2-8	7L

View Full Standings

The Pacers have 2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.3 points, 40.6 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 44.3% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 116.4 points and 47.6 rebounds per contest.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.2 points and 5.9 rebounds, Andrew Nembhard 6.9 assists and Bennedict Mathurin 2.0 (32.3%) 3-pointers.

The Heat have won 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 109.2 points, 44.5 rebounds, 24.3 assists, 8.6 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 44.4% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 115.3 points and 45.2 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 19.3 points and 2.0 (29.9%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 11.0 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.3 assists.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Our Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The -110 for Under 231.5 points to be scored in this NBA game looks like great value. Our pick is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Pacers vs Heat stats:

• The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Pacers games on the road.
• The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Pacers games on the road.
• The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games.
• The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Heat games at home.

Under 231.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 231.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Pacers 110 - 115 Heat

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Heat to enjoy a 115-110 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Miami Heat have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability due to their -345 Moneyline betting odds. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +275.

The current spread is 8.5 and total points is 230.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 230.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Pacers

+275

Heat

-345

Point Spread

Pacers +8.5

-110

Heat -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 230.5

-110

Over 230.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

The Heat have endured three straight losses at Kaseya Center. They own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 112.60 points on average and giving up 115.00.

The Pacers have suffered three defeats in a row away from home. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 road games, posting 105.40 points per matchup while yielding 119.40.

The Heat earned a 125-120 win over the Pacers the last time they played at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 H2H clashes at Kaseya Center have ended with both teams winning five times.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O231.5	U231.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		5-5	227.60	112.60	115.00	4	6
Indiana Pacers Away Stats		1-9	224.80	105.40	119.40	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
• U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 224.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 224.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 231.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.30 pts and allowed 116.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 105.40 pts and allowed 119.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 224.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.20 pts and allowed 115.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 112.60 pts and allowed 115.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.30 (78.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.6, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 23.70
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 7.30
• Turnovers : 11.90
• Personal Fouls: 22.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.20 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.70 (80.08%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.7, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 30.10
• Assists: 23.10
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 7.20
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 23.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.40 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.80 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.6%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.5, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 24.30
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 15.80

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.30 (77.93%)
• Rebounds: Total 45, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 34.30
• Assists: 26.40
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 15.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	21	9	0.7	120.3	113.3	7	15-2	6-7	5-2	17-8	8-2	1W
Celtics	19	11	0.633	116.8	110.4	6.4	10-5	9-6	5-4	15-8	8-2	4W
Raptors	18	14	0.563	113.5	112.5	1	8-7	10-7	3-6	16-10	3-7	1L
76ers	16	13	0.552	116.1	115.2	0.9	9-8	7-5	6-3	13-12	6-4	2L
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	24	7	0.774	119.5	112.9	6.6	13-2	11-5	5-3	17-5	7-3	1L
Cavaliers	17	15	0.531	120.2	117.8	2.4	11-8	6-7	6-2	13-12	4-6	1L
Bulls	15	15	0.5	119.4	122.3	-2.9	8-6	7-9	3-5	12-10	6-4	5W
Bucks	12	19	0.387	112.7	116.5	-3.8	8-8	4-11	4-4	10-13	3-7	1L
Pacers	6	25	0.194	109.6	118.4	-8.8	5-12	1-13	2-6	4-15	2-8	7L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	17	14	0.548	116.8	115	1.8	10-6	7-8	5-3	12-10	4-6	1L
Heat	16	15	0.516	119.5	117.4	2.1	10-5	6-10	3-3	10-10	2-8	1W
Hawks	15	17	0.469	118.6	119.8	-1.2	5-10	10-7	4-3	9-12	2-8	5L
Hornets	11	20	0.355	115.6	118.4	-2.8	7-8	4-12	4-4	10-14	5-5	2W
Wizards	6	23	0.207	113.4	125.8	-12.4	3-10	3-13	1-4	4-17	3-7	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	5	0.839	121.3	107.4	13.9	14-2	12-3	5-2	22-5	6-4	2L
Nuggets	22	8	0.733	125.8	117.2	8.6	10-5	12-3	4-1	16-7	8-2	1W
Timberwolves	20	11	0.645	119.1	114.4	4.7	12-5	8-6	4-4	13-10	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	12	19	0.387	116.6	120.5	-3.9	5-9	7-10	3-3	10-12	4-6	3L
Jazz	11	19	0.367	120.3	127.5	-7.2	8-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	19	10	0.655	116.9	117.4	-0.5	7-5	12-5	3-4	14-8	4-6	3L
Suns	17	13	0.567	114.9	113.7	1.2	10-5	7-8	7-4	16-12	5-5	2W
Warriors	16	15	0.516	114.5	112.4	2.1	10-4	6-11	4-2	12-10	5-5	3W
Clippers	9	21	0.3	111.5	115.3	-3.8	5-8	4-13	2-4	7-14	4-6	3W
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	23	7	0.767	120.3	113.2	7.1	11-2	12-5	7-0	14-6	9-1	8W
Rockets	18	10	0.643	120.5	112.1	8.4	8-2	10-8	2-3	11-9	5-5	1W
Grizzlies	15	16	0.484	115.4	115.8	-0.4	7-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	2W
Mavericks	12	20	0.375	113.7	117.6	-3.9	9-9	3-11	2-6	6-14	5-5	1L
Pelicans	8	24	0.25	115.3	122.6	-7.3	6-13	2-11	3-6	4-20	5-5	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	24	7	0.774	119.5	112.9	6.6	13-2	11-5	5-3	17-5	7-3	1L
Knicks	21	9	0.7	120.3	113.3	7	15-2	6-7	5-2	17-8	8-2	1W
Celtics	19	11	0.633	116.8	110.4	6.4	10-5	9-6	5-4	15-8	8-2	4W
Raptors	18	14	0.563	113.5	112.5	1	8-7	10-7	3-6	16-10	3-7	1L
76ers	16	13	0.552	116.1	115.2	0.9	9-8	7-5	6-3	13-12	6-4	2L
Magic	17	14	0.548	116.8	115	1.8	10-6	7-8	5-3	12-10	4-6	1L
Cavaliers	17	15	0.531	120.2	117.8	2.4	11-8	6-7	6-2	13-12	4-6	1L
Heat	16	15	0.516	119.5	117.4	2.1	10-5	6-10	3-3	10-10	2-8	1W
Bulls	15	15	0.5	119.4	122.3	-2.9	8-6	7-9	3-5	12-10	6-4	5W
Hawks	15	17	0.469	118.6	119.8	-1.2	5-10	10-7	4-3	9-12	2-8	5L
Bucks	12	19	0.387	112.7	116.5	-3.8	8-8	4-11	4-4	10-13	3-7	1L
Hornets	11	20	0.355	115.6	118.4	-2.8	7-8	4-12	4-4	10-14	5-5	2W
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W
Wizards	6	23	0.207	113.4	125.8	-12.4	3-10	3-13	1-4	4-17	3-7	1W
Pacers	6	25	0.194	109.6	118.4	-8.8	5-12	1-13	2-6	4-15	2-8	7L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	5	0.839	121.3	107.4	13.9	14-2	12-3	5-2	22-5	6-4	2L
Spurs	23	7	0.767	120.3	113.2	7.1	11-2	12-5	7-0	14-6	9-1	8W
Nuggets	22	8	0.733	125.8	117.2	8.6	10-5	12-3	4-1	16-7	8-2	1W
Lakers	19	10	0.655	116.9	117.4	-0.5	7-5	12-5	3-4	14-8	4-6	3L
Timberwolves	20	11	0.645	119.1	114.4	4.7	12-5	8-6	4-4	13-10	7-3	1L
Rockets	18	10	0.643	120.5	112.1	8.4	8-2	10-8	2-3	11-9	5-5	1W
Suns	17	13	0.567	114.9	113.7	1.2	10-5	7-8	7-4	16-12	5-5	2W
Warriors	16	15	0.516	114.5	112.4	2.1	10-4	6-11	4-2	12-10	5-5	3W
Grizzlies	15	16	0.484	115.4	115.8	-0.4	7-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	12	19	0.387	116.6	120.5	-3.9	5-9	7-10	3-3	10-12	4-6	3L
Mavericks	12	20	0.375	113.7	117.6	-3.9	9-9	3-11	2-6	6-14	5-5	1L
Jazz	11	19	0.367	120.3	127.5	-7.2	8-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	1W
Clippers	9	21	0.3	111.5	115.3	-3.8	5-8	4-13	2-4	7-14	4-6	3W
Pelicans	8	24	0.25	115.3	122.6	-7.3	6-13	2-11	3-6	4-20	5-5	2L
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	5	0.839	121.3	107.4	13.9	14-2	12-3	5-2	22-5	6-4	2L
Pistons	24	7	0.774	119.5	112.9	6.6	13-2	11-5	5-3	17-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	23	7	0.767	120.3	113.2	7.1	11-2	12-5	7-0	14-6	9-1	8W
Nuggets	22	8	0.733	125.8	117.2	8.6	10-5	12-3	4-1	16-7	8-2	1W
Knicks	21	9	0.7	120.3	113.3	7	15-2	6-7	5-2	17-8	8-2	1W
Lakers	19	10	0.655	116.9	117.4	-0.5	7-5	12-5	3-4	14-8	4-6	3L
Timberwolves	20	11	0.645	119.1	114.4	4.7	12-5	8-6	4-4	13-10	7-3	1L
Rockets	18	10	0.643	120.5	112.1	8.4	8-2	10-8	2-3	11-9	5-5	1W
Celtics	19	11	0.633	116.8	110.4	6.4	10-5	9-6	5-4	15-8	8-2	4W
Suns	17	13	0.567	114.9	113.7	1.2	10-5	7-8	7-4	16-12	5-5	2W
Raptors	18	14	0.563	113.5	112.5	1	8-7	10-7	3-6	16-10	3-7	1L
76ers	16	13	0.552	116.1	115.2	0.9	9-8	7-5	6-3	13-12	6-4	2L
Magic	17	14	0.548	116.8	115	1.8	10-6	7-8	5-3	12-10	4-6	1L
Cavaliers	17	15	0.531	120.2	117.8	2.4	11-8	6-7	6-2	13-12	4-6	1L
Warriors	16	15	0.516	114.5	112.4	2.1	10-4	6-11	4-2	12-10	5-5	3W
Heat	16	15	0.516	119.5	117.4	2.1	10-5	6-10	3-3	10-10	2-8	1W
Bulls	15	15	0.5	119.4	122.3	-2.9	8-6	7-9	3-5	12-10	6-4	5W
Grizzlies	15	16	0.484	115.4	115.8	-0.4	7-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	2W
Hawks	15	17	0.469	118.6	119.8	-1.2	5-10	10-7	4-3	9-12	2-8	5L
Bucks	12	19	0.387	112.7	116.5	-3.8	8-8	4-11	4-4	10-13	3-7	1L
Trail Blazers	12	19	0.387	116.6	120.5	-3.9	5-9	7-10	3-3	10-12	4-6	3L
Mavericks	12	20	0.375	113.7	117.6	-3.9	9-9	3-11	2-6	6-14	5-5	1L
Jazz	11	19	0.367	120.3	127.5	-7.2	8-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	1W
Hornets	11	20	0.355	115.6	118.4	-2.8	7-8	4-12	4-4	10-14	5-5	2W
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W
Clippers	9	21	0.3	111.5	115.3	-3.8	5-8	4-13	2-4	7-14	4-6	3W
Pelicans	8	24	0.25	115.3	122.6	-7.3	6-13	2-11	3-6	4-20	5-5	2L
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L
Wizards	6	23	0.207	113.4	125.8	-12.4	3-10	3-13	1-4	4-17	3-7	1W
Pacers	6	25	0.194	109.6	118.4	-8.8	5-12	1-13	2-6	4-15	2-8	7L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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