Indiana Pacers
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Pacers vs Heat

The Indiana Pacers face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

A Low-Scoring Clash Could Be On the Cards

We’re not convinced that the Pacers and the Heat are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 231.5 at -110.

Heat 125-120 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Indiana Pacers have suffered seven straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Boston Celtics 140-122 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Andrew Nembhard poured in 18 points, with T.J. McConnell contributing 13 and Bennedict Mathurin adding 13.

Miami Heat have lost their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Atlanta Hawks 126-111 at State Farm Arena. Norman Powell scored 25 points, with Pelle Larsson adding 21 and Andrew Wiggins 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 125-120 victory was registered against the Pacers at Kaseya Center. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Pacers logo Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
View Full Standings
Indiana Pacers – Last 10 Games

The Pacers have 2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.3 points, 40.6 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 44.3% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 116.4 points and 47.6 rebounds per contest.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.2 points and 5.9 rebounds, Andrew Nembhard 6.9 assists and Bennedict Mathurin 2.0 (32.3%) 3-pointers.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 109.2 points, 44.5 rebounds, 24.3 assists, 8.6 steals and 4.3 blocks per game while shooting 44.4% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 115.3 points and 45.2 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 19.3 points and 2.0 (29.9%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 11.0 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.3 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff, Pascal Siakam.

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

The -110 for Under 231.5 points to be scored in this NBA game looks like great value. Our pick is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Pacers vs Heat stats:

  • The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Pacers games on the road.
  • The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Pacers games on the road.
  • The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games.
  • The 231.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Heat games at home.

Under 231.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Under 231.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 27, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:56, 27 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bennedict Mathurin Under 17.5 Points -104 BetMGM logo

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers) has an average of 12.4 points in the past 5 games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -104 available.

Latest Bennedict Mathurin Player Prop Odds


Pascal Siakam Under 6.5 Rebounds +102 BetMGM logo

Pascal Siakam (Pacers) has recorded Under 6.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 10 games. We think that he will fail to cover the line and this Player Rebounds wager can be backed at +102.

Latest Pascal Siakam Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 230.5
Spread Pacers +6.5
Player Points Bennedict Mathurin Under 17.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 230.5, followed by Pacers +6.5 on the spread and Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers) to score Under 17.5 points.

The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pacers Pacers logo 110 - 115 Heat logo Heat

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Heat to enjoy a 115-110 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Heat Big Favorites on the Moneyline

Miami Heat have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability due to their -263 Moneyline betting odds. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +215.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 230.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 230.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Norman Powell Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Norman Powell is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -118 that he gets Over 24.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -114.

Player Points
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
Over 22.5
-110
Under 22.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)
Over 17.5
-128
Under 17.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)
Over 6.5
-133
Under 6.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-110
Under 6.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
T.J. McConnell (Pacers)
Over 4.5
+106
Under 4.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Norman Powell (Heat)
Over 3.5
+152
Under 3.5
-200
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
Over 6.5
-135
Under 6.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)
Over 6.5
+106
Under 6.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Home Record Stands at Three Straight Losses

The Heat have endured three straight losses at Kaseya Center. They own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 112.60 points on average and giving up 115.00.

The Pacers have suffered three defeats in a row away from home. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 road games, posting 105.40 points per matchup while yielding 119.40.

The Heat earned a 125-120 win over the Pacers the last time they played at Kaseya Center. The previous 10 H2H clashes at Kaseya Center have ended with both teams winning five times.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O231.5 U231.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 5-5 227.60 112.60 115.00 4 6
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Away Stats 1-9 224.80 105.40 119.40 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
  • U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Indiana Pacers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Pascal Siakam 30 33.88 693 114 23.1 3.8 1.7 6.8 0.4 1.3
Bennedict Mathurin 20 32.72 363 43 18.2 2.2 2.3 5.7 0.2 0.7
Andrew Nembhard 23 31.51 401 149 17.4 6.5 1.8 2.3 0.1 0.9

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 27 32.55 430 77 15.9 2.9 1.7 4.8 1.1 1.0
Tyler Herro 6 31.83 139 14 23.2 2.3 2.5 5.0 0.5 1.0
Norman Powell 26 31.46 618 70 23.8 2.7 2.8 4.0 0.2 1.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Indiana Pacers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
9 Pelle Larsson
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup
0 Bennedict Mathurin
2 Andrew Nembhard
12 Johnny Furphy
32 Jay Huff
43 Pascal Siakam

Previous Indiana Pacers Lineups

26 Dec NBA
Celtics 140-122 Pacers
23 Dec NBA
Bucks 111-94 Pacers
22 Dec NBA
Pacers 95-103 Celtics
20 Dec NBA
Pacers 109-128 Pelicans
18 Dec NBA
Knicks 114-113 Pacers
14 Dec NBA
Wizards 108-89 Pacers
12 Dec NBA
Pacers 105-115 76ers
08 Dec NBA
Kings 105-116 Pacers
05 Dec NBA
Pacers 120-105 Bulls
03 Dec NBA
Nuggets 135-120 Pacers

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

26 Dec NBA
Heat 126-111 Hawks
23 Dec NBA
Raptors 112-91 Heat
21 Dec NBA
Heat 125-132 Knicks
19 Dec NBA
Heat 116-129 Celtics
18 Dec NBA
Heat 106-95 Nets
15 Dec NBA
Raptors 106-96 Heat
09 Dec NBA
Heat 108-117 Magic
06 Dec NBA
Kings 127-111 Heat
05 Dec NBA
Heat 105-106 Magic
03 Dec NBA
Heat 108-118 Mavericks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak