Indiana Pacers
Oklahoma City Thunder
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings
Total Line Looks Too High and We’ll Go Under

No. 4 Indiana Pacers (50-32, 20-20 Away) square off against No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in Game 1 of this NBA Finals series at Paycom Center.

Let’s shoot for a total wager between the Pacers and the Thunder, with Under 230.5 points available at -110. This betting prediction has lots of juice in the price.

Teams’ Last Clash Saw 132-111 Thunder Win

Indiana Pacers won the Eastern Conference Final series 4-3 against New York Knicks. It was a 125-108 home win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in game 7. Pascal Siakam scored 31 points, with Tyrese Haliburton getting 21 and Obadiah Toppin 18.

Oklahoma City Thunder advanced to the NBA Finals after beating Minnesota Timberwolves 4-1 in the Western Conference Final series. Their 124-94 game 5 victory at Paycom Center was their sixth straight home triumph. On the points front, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 34, Chet Holmgren 22 and Jalen Williams 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder have won the last two meetings against the Pacers. They triumphed 120-114 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse and then 132-111 at Paycom Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Pacers winning six times.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Pacers logo Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers lineup: Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Don’t expect fireworks in this NBA contest. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 230.5 points at odds of -110.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with lots of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Pacers vs Thunder stats:

  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Pacers games on the road.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Pacers games on the road.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Thunder games at home.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Thunder games.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Thunder games.

Under 230.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Our Game Prediction
Under 230.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 4, 22:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 22:52, 04 June 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pascal Siakam Over 2.5 Assists -167 BetMGM logo

Pascal Siakam (Pacers) has recorded Over 2.5 assists in 5 straight road games. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get -167 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Pascal Siakam Player Prop Odds


Jalen Williams Under 5.5 Assists -147 BetMGM logo

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has finished with Under 5.5 assists in 8 of the past 10 games. It therefore stands to reason that he might fall short when it comes to Player Assists and this pick is priced at -147.

Latest Jalen Williams Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 230.5
Spread Thunder -9.5
Player Assists Pascal Siakam Over 2.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 230.5, Thunder -9.5 and Pascal Siakam (Pacers) to have Over 2.5 assists.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pacers Pacers logo 107 - 119 Thunder logo Thunder

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Thunder to claim a 119-107 victory is available at huge odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Thunder Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder are massive -500 favorites. They are regarded as 83% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Indiana Pacers are the underdogs at +380 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 10 and the total points line is 230. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those that want to back Under 230 can find odds of -110 available.

The good news is that you can access a huge selection of game lines and team props for most basketball contests. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -114 that he gets Over 33.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 33.5
-114
Under 33.5
-118
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 22.5
-108
Under 22.5
-125
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Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
Over 19.5
-106
Under 19.5
-125
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Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)
Over 16.5
-123
Under 16.5
-108
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Player Assists
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)
Over 8.5
-130
Under 8.5
-103
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-147
Under 6.5
+110
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-152
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Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)
Over 4.5
-128
Under 4.5
-104
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Player Rebounds
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 8.5
-137
Under 8.5
+104
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Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
Over 6.5
+104
Under 6.5
-137
BetMGM Logo
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-135
Under 6.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 5.5
-114
Under 5.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Stats
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Indiana Pacers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Pascal Siakam 43 33.84 1025 170 23.8 4.0 1.9 7.0 0.4 1.2
Bennedict Mathurin 24 32.15 427 52 17.8 2.2 2.2 5.5 0.2 0.7
Andrew Nembhard 35 31.91 609 250 17.4 7.1 1.8 2.7 0.2 0.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 43 33.35 1374 270 32.0 6.3 1.9 4.4 0.8 1.3
Jalen Williams 25 29.38 416 139 16.6 5.6 0.9 4.7 0.4 1.3
Chet Holmgren 39 29.1 695 62 17.8 1.6 1.4 8.4 2.0 0.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Indiana Pacers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Nikola Topic
Injured

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
5 Luguentz Dort
7 Chet Holmgren
8 Jalen Williams
22 Cason Wallace
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup
0 Tyrese Haliburton
2 Andrew Nembhard
23 Aaron Nesmith
33 Myles Turner
43 Pascal Siakam

Previous Indiana Pacers Lineups

21 Jan NBA
Pacers 104-119 Celtics
19 Jan NBA
Pacers 104-113 76ers
17 Jan NBA
Pacers 78-121 Pistons
16 Jan NBA
Pelicans 119-127 Pacers
14 Jan NBA
Raptors 115-101 Pacers
12 Jan NBA
Celtics 96-98 Pacers
10 Jan NBA
Heat 99-123 Pacers
08 Jan NBA
Pacers 114-112 Hornets
06 Jan NBA
Cavaliers 120-116 Pacers
04 Jan NBA
Pacers 127-135 Magic

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

21 Jan NBA
Thunder 122-102 Bucks
19 Jan NBA
Thunder 136-104 Cavaliers
17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat
15 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-91 Rockets
13 Jan NBA
Spurs 98-119 Thunder
11 Jan NBA
Heat 112-124 Thunder
09 Jan NBA
Thunder 117-116 Grizzlies
07 Jan NBA
Jazz 125-129 Thunder
05 Jan NBA
Hornets 124-97 Thunder
04 Jan NBA
Thunder 105-108 Suns

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak