Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Kentucky vs Louisville

The Kentucky Wildcats face the Louisville Cardinals, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Go For Under 173.5 With Confidence

We’re going for a modest total when Kentucky and Louisville take to the court. Under 173.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -105.

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5 Kentucky Wins in Previous 6 H2H Encounters

Kentucky Wildcats previous game saw them claim a 107-59 home win over Valparaiso Beacons.

Louisville Cardinals last game saw them claim a 106-70 home win over Jackson State Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Kentucky beat Louisville in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 93-85 scoreline. Kentucky have enjoyed three consecutive wins against Louisville. They’ve landed 5 victories from the past 6 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	2-0	210	115	95	2-0	0-0	2W
Kentucky	2-0	184	110	74	2-0	0-0	2W

View Full Standings

Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Kentucky vs Louisville betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 173.5 points in this college matchup.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Kentucky vs Louisville stats:

• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Kentucky games.
• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Kentucky games.
• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Kentucky games.
• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 Louisville games.
• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Louisville games.

Under 173.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

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Best Bet

Under 173.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Kentucky 81 - 89 Louisville

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Louisville can be backed speculatively to achieve a 89-81 victory.

Kentucky vs Louisville Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Louisville Win

With a 67% chance of securing victory, Louisville are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -204. At +168, Kentucky are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 4.5 and the total points line is currently 175.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 175.5, then the odds are -105.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Kentucky

+168

Louisville

-204

Point Spread

Kentucky +4.5

-114

Louisville -4.5

-106

Total Points

Under 175.5

-105

Over 175.5

-115

Player Props & Micro Betting

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kentucky Stats

Louisville Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.80 pts and allowed 74.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.60 pts and allowed 85.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 67.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	3-0	289	191	98	3-0	0-0	3W
Virginia	2-0	168	115	53	2-0	0-0	2W
Wake Forest	2-0	169	139	30	2-0	0-0	2W
SMU	2-0	165	134	31	2-0	0-0	2W
Stanford	2-0	180	147	33	2-0	0-0	2W
Virginia Tech	2-0	205	168	37	2-0	0-0	2W
Georgia Tech	3-0	200	157	43	3-0	0-0	3W
Pittsburgh	3-0	230	185	45	3-0	0-0	3W
North Carolina	2-0	181	128	53	2-0	0-0	2W
Louisville	2-0	210	115	95	2-0	0-0	2W
Notre Dame	2-0	191	137	54	2-0	0-0	2W
Duke	2-0	170	114	56	2-0	0-0	2W
California	3-0	257	192	65	3-0	0-0	3W
Florida State	2-0	209	140	69	2-0	0-0	2W
NC State	2-0	208	136	72	2-0	0-0	2W
Syracuse	2-0	168	90	78	2-0	0-0	2W
Clemson	2-0	185	97	88	2-0	0-0	2W
Boston College	1-1	154	130	24	1-0	0-1	1W

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia	3-0	318	169	149	3-0	0-0	3W
Kentucky	2-0	184	110	74	2-0	0-0	2W
LSU	2-0	189	118	71	2-0	0-0	2W
Missouri	3-0	283	219	64	2-0	1-0	3W
Vanderbilt	2-0	210	154	56	1-0	1-0	2W
Tennessee	2-0	171	117	54	2-0	0-0	2W
Ole Miss	2-0	174	123	51	2-0	0-0	2W
Auburn	2-0	190	147	43	2-0	0-0	2W
Alabama	2-0	194	158	36	1-0	1-0	2W
South Carolina	2-0	174	151	23	2-0	0-0	2W
Texas A&M	2-1	265	225	40	2-0	0-1	1L
Florida	1-1	191	157	34	1-0	0-1	1W
Arkansas	1-1	175	146	29	1-0	0-1	1L
Texas	1-1	157	135	22	1-0	0-1	1W
Oklahoma	1-1	170	149	21	1-0	0-1	1L
Mississippi State	1-1	166	158	8	1-1	0-0	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak