Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025
College Basketball Betting Preview: Kentucky vs Louisville
The Kentucky Wildcats face the Louisville Cardinals, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
We’re going for a modest total when Kentucky and Louisville take to the court. Under 173.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -105.
Kentucky Wildcats previous game saw them claim a 107-59 home win over Valparaiso Beacons.
Louisville Cardinals last game saw them claim a 106-70 home win over Jackson State Tigers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Kentucky beat Louisville in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 93-85 scoreline. Kentucky have enjoyed three consecutive wins against Louisville. They’ve landed 5 victories from the past 6 head-to-head meetings.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction & Picks
Your complete Kentucky vs Louisville betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 173.5 points in this college matchup.
To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.
Key Kentucky vs Louisville stats:
Under 173.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.
Don’t miss out. Explore our guide for the latest welcome bonuses and free bet offers with fresh betting promo codes.
Player Prop Picks
Ryan Conwell (Louisville) can be backed to finish with Over 3.5 rebounds at -149. He should be capable of covering the rebounds total when it comes to this player prop.
Latest Ryan Conwell Player Prop Odds
Isaac McKneely (Louisville) is available at +130 to have Over 3.5 rebounds. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think he’ll cover the total.
Latest Isaac McKneely Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Under 174.5 along with Louisville to cover the -6.5 spread. Add in Ryan Conwell (Louisville) to get Over 3.5 rebounds.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite picks before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
81
-
89
Louisville
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Louisville can be backed speculatively to achieve a 89-81 victory.
Kentucky vs Louisville Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 74% chance of securing victory, Louisville are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -278. At +225, Kentucky are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread is 6.5 and the total points line is currently 174.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 174.5, then the odds are -115.
There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.
Otega Oweh is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -105 to score Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -125.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Kentucky Stats
Louisville Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 157.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.80 pts and allowed 74.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.60 pts and allowed 85.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 147.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 67.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.50 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
|
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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