Liberty vs Dayton Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Liberty vs Dayton

The Liberty Flames battle the Dayton Flyers, with tip-off scheduled for 12:30 on Saturday, December 20.

There’s a strong case for backing Dayton on the spread when they face Liberty. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -112 when it comes to the favorites at -7.5.

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Liberty Flames won their previous game which was at home. It was a 95-57 triumph against Midway Eagles.

Dayton Flyers last game saw them claim a 97-69 home win over Florida State Seminoles.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	9-3	974	850	124	8-1	1-2	2W
Liberty	7-3	818	657	161	6-1	1-2	1W

View Full Standings

Liberty vs Dayton Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Liberty vs Dayton betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Dayton against the spread, especially with an attractive -7.5 line at -112. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this college contest.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Liberty vs Dayton stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Dayton -7.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

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Our Game Prediction

Dayton -7.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 70 - 81 Dayton

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at Dayton to achieve a winning scoreline of 81-70 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Liberty vs Dayton Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Dayton as -500 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 83% likely to win. Liberty are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +365.

The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 145.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 145.5 selection is available to back at -110.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Liberty

+365

Dayton

-500

Point Spread

Liberty +9.5

-118

Dayton -9.5

-104

Total Points

Under 145.5

-110

Over 145.5

-110

The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Stats

Dayton Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 141.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 145.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 145.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.80 pts and allowed 65.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.30 pts and allowed 71.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 145.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 145.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 73.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.80 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Saint Louis	10-1	1021	754	267	9-1	1-0	4W
George Mason	10-1	874	714	160	8-0	2-1	1W
St. Bonaventure	10-2	927	825	102	7-0	3-2	1L
Richmond	9-2	926	784	142	7-0	2-2	1L
Dayton	9-3	974	850	124	8-1	1-2	2W
Davidson	8-3	827	739	88	6-3	2-0	1L
Fordham	8-4	916	750	166	7-2	1-2	2W
VCU	8-4	1026	860	166	7-2	1-2	2W
George Washington	8-4	1042	907	135	6-2	2-2	2L
Rhode Island	8-4	892	798	94	5-2	3-2	1W
Saint Joseph's	6-4	756	723	33	6-0	0-4	1W
Duquesne	6-5	920	884	36	6-2	0-3	2L
La Salle	3-7	671	680	-9	3-3	0-4	4L
Loyola Chicago	3-9	822	920	-98	3-6	0-3	2L

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kennesaw State	8-3	1039	821	218	6-1	2-2	1L
Liberty	7-3	818	657	161	6-1	1-2	1W
Sam Houston	7-3	862	753	109	3-0	4-3	2W
Western Kentucky	7-3	848	763	85	6-1	1-2	1W
New Mexico State	6-3	662	610	52	5-1	1-2	3L
Middle Tennessee	6-4	784	727	57	5-2	1-2	1W
Louisiana Tech	6-4	696	573	123	6-0	0-4	1L
FIU	5-4	756	710	46	5-1	0-3	1L
Missouri State	5-5	749	728	21	5-2	0-3	1W
Jacksonville State	4-6	740	621	119	4-4	0-2	2L
Delaware	4-7	752	810	-58	3-4	1-3	1W
UTEP	3-6	649	645	4	3-2	0-4	4L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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