Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Celtics

The Miami Heat face the Boston Celtics in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Celtics Look Great Value for This Matchup

Our betting prediction is that the Celtics are going to cover the -6.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory against the Heat.

Celtics Have Won 8 of Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Miami Heat triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Brooklyn Nets were beaten 106-95 at Barclays Center. Norman Powell dropped 24 points, as Kel'el Ware finished with 22 and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19.

Boston Celtics have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at TD Garden, they were turned over 112-105 by Detroit Pistons. Jaylen Brown scored 34 points, with Derrick White adding 31 and Payton Pritchard 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 124-103 triumph when facing the Celtics at TD Garden. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen eight Celtics wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics logo Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Heat logo Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 112.1 points, 44.9 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 8.5 steals and 6.5 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 77.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.5 points and 46.4 rebounds per matchup.

Norman Powell is averaging 18.0 points and 2.1 (38.2%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 10.5 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.1 assists.

Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games

The Celtics have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 120.9 points, 40.9 rebounds, 23.8 assists, 8.5 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while shooting 49.9% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 114.1 points and 40.6 rebounds.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.4 points and 5.8 assists, while Neemias Queta has an average of 6.4 rebounds and Derrick White 3.7 (39.8%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis.

Boston Celtics lineup: Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jordan Walsh, Neemias Queta.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing Celtics at -6.5 for this NBA matchup. We can get odds of -110 and this is our best pick.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Celtics -6.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Game Prediction
Celtics -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 19, 02:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:55, 19 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 29.5 Points -101 BetMGM logo

Jaylen Brown (Celtics) has covered the 29.5 points total in 5 straight games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -101.

Latest Jaylen Brown Player Prop Odds


Derrick White Under 5.5 Assists -161 BetMGM logo

Derrick White (Celtics) hasn't covered the 5.5 assists total in 7 of the past 9 games. We think that history might repeat itself and you can get -161 that he falls short when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest Derrick White Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Celtics -7
Totals Under 231.5
Player Points Jaylen Brown Over 29.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Celtics -7, Under 231.5 and Jaylen Brown (Celtics) to score Over 29.5 points.

The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 108 - 119 Celtics logo Celtics

Rather than betting on the Celtics to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 119-108 victory in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Think Celtics Likeliest to Win

Boston Celtics are -294 favorites and that means a 75% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +235 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

7 is the spread and 231.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to bet Under 231.5, there are odds of -110.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the top NBA sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jaylen Brown Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Jaylen Brown is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -115 can be found for him scoring Over 29.5 points and there are the same odds for him to go Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 7.5
-103
Under 7.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Derrick White (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+123
Under 5.5
-161
BetMGM Logo
Payton Pritchard (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+105
Under 5.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Neemias Queta (Celtics)
Over 8.5
-141
Under 8.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 6.5
+110
Under 6.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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TD Garden
TD Garden
Celtics Have Collected Seven Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Celtics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, putting up 120.50 points per contest and giving up 111.50.

The Heat have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 118.10 points per contest and conceding 117.10.

In their last matchup at TD Garden, the Heat came out on top 124-103 against the Celtics. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings at TD Garden, each team has earned five victories.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Home Stats 7-3 210.80 109.40 101.40 1 9
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 234.00 114.90 119.10 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 47 31.2 734 134 15.6 2.9 1.8 4.9 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 44 31.12 797 121 18.1 2.8 1.6 9.9 0.7 1.0

Boston Celtics Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaylen Brown 46 34.35 1356 219 29.5 4.8 2.2 7.0 0.4 1.0
Derrick White 49 34.2 847 272 17.3 5.6 2.9 4.5 1.4 1.2
Payton Pritchard 50 32.65 857 267 17.1 5.3 2.6 4.3 0.1 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Boston Celtics Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup
7 Jaylen Brown
9 Derrick White
11 Payton Pritchard
27 Jordan Walsh
88 Neemias Queta
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
11 Jaime Jaquez Jr.
13 Bam Adebayo
24 Norman Powell
25 Kasparas Jakucionis

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz
22 Jan NBA
Heat 110-127 Trail Blazers
20 Jan NBA
Heat 130-117 Kings
19 Jan NBA
Heat 112-135 Warriors

Previous Boston Celtics Lineups

04 Feb NBA
Celtics 114-93 Rockets
03 Feb NBA
Celtics 110-100 Mavericks
01 Feb NBA
Bucks 79-107 Celtics
30 Jan NBA
Kings 93-112 Celtics
28 Jan NBA
Hawks 117-106 Celtics
26 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 94-102 Celtics
24 Jan NBA
Celtics 111-114 Bulls
23 Jan NBA
Celtics 130-126 Nets
21 Jan NBA
Pacers 104-119 Celtics
19 Jan NBA
Celtics 103-104 Pistons

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 60 16 0.789 118.6 107.6 11 32-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 3W
Spurs 57 18 0.76 119.5 111.3 8.2 29-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 9W
Pistons 55 21 0.724 117.5 109.6 7.9 30-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 7-3 1W
Celtics 51 25 0.671 114.4 107.2 7.2 26-11 25-14 9-5 32-15 8-2 1W
Lakers 50 26 0.658 116.8 114.7 2.1 26-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Knicks 49 28 0.636 116.7 110.6 6.1 27-9 22-19 12-3 31-16 7-3 1W
Cavaliers 47 29 0.618 119.3 115.3 4 24-14 23-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1L
Rockets 47 29 0.618 114.4 109.9 4.5 27-10 20-19 9-6 25-22 6-4 4W
Timberwolves 46 29 0.613 117.9 114.1 3.8 25-14 21-15 9-7 29-21 6-4 1W
Hawks 44 33 0.571 118.3 116 2.3 23-16 21-17 9-6 25-22 8-2 3W
76ers 42 34 0.553 116.6 116.7 -0.1 21-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 1W
Suns 42 34 0.553 112.9 111.1 1.8 24-15 18-19 10-6 27-21 3-7 1L
Raptors 42 34 0.553 114.4 112.3 2.1 21-17 21-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 2L
Hornets 40 36 0.526 116.1 111.4 4.7 19-19 21-17 11-5 24-24 7-3 1W
Magic 40 36 0.526 115.1 115.3 -0.2 24-16 16-20 9-8 24-25 2-8 1L
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Clippers 39 37 0.513 113.9 112.5 1.4 21-16 18-21 8-6 22-24 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 39 38 0.506 115.3 116 -0.7 21-17 18-21 7-8 26-21 7-3 2W
Warriors 36 39 0.48 114.9 114.9 0 21-15 15-24 6-6 23-23 4-6 1L
Bucks 30 46 0.395 110.6 116.7 -6.1 17-21 13-25 9-6 20-27 3-7 1L
Bulls 29 47 0.382 116.5 121.4 -4.9 18-21 11-26 4-12 17-30 2-8 5L
Grizzlies 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 14-25 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 51 0.329 115.1 119.5 -4.4 16-23 9-28 7-9 16-31 4-6 5L
Mavericks 24 52 0.316 113.4 119.1 -5.7 14-24 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 56 0.273 117.3 125.4 -8.1 13-27 8-29 1-14 11-36 1-9 7L
Kings 20 57 0.26 110.9 121.1 -10.2 13-25 7-32 3-10 12-35 4-6 1W
Nets 18 58 0.237 106 115.5 -9.5 10-27 8-31 3-12 12-33 1-9 1L
Pacers 18 58 0.237 112.6 120.7 -8.1 11-27 7-31 4-10 14-33 3-7 2W
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak