Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Sparks vs Mercury

The Sparks square off against the Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, September 9. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Get With Mercury to Cover the Line

We’re backing the Mercury against the spread when they clash with the Sparks. It could be shrewd to bet on them to cover the appealing -8 line, with odds of -110 on offer.

Feeling good about our ATS pick? Get the full lowdown in our in-depth BetMGM review, then grab the exclusive promo code as you prep your next move.

Mercury Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Los Angeles Sparks won their previous game which was at home. It was a 91-77 triumph at Crypto.com Arena against Dallas Wings.

Phoenix Mercury were beaten last game and this was on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena. Connecticut Sun claimed a 87-84 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 92-84 in favor of the Mercury when they last played the Sparks, with the matchup taking place at Crypto.com Arena. The Mercury have racked up seven straight victories over the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, they have won 8 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	15	3484	3340	144	15-6	12-9	1L
9  Sparks	20	22	3606	3696	-90	9-12	11-10	1W

View Full Standings

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Mercury against the spread, especially with an attractive -8 line at -110. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this WNBA matchup.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant WNBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Sparks vs Mercury stats:

• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sparks in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sparks in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Mercury -8 Probability

According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.

Best Bet

Mercury -8 @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists -130

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -130 to rack up Over 9.5 assists. The total for her on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-133

Under 14.5

+103

Assists

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

+102

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Kahleah Copper Over 16.5 Points -109

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be backed to register Over 16.5 points at -109. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Sparks 78 - 89 Mercury

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 89-78 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Running Scared of Mercury Win

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -313 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. Los Angeles Sparks are the underdogs at +240 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 172.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 172.5 can get -108.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Sparks

+240

Mercury

-313

Point Spread

Sparks +7.5

-112

Mercury -7.5

-108

Total Points

Under 172.5

-108

Over 172.5

-112

Kelsey Plum Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kelsey Plum is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back +112 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -145.

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 19.5

+112

Under 19.5

-145

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 17.5

+110

Under 17.5

-143

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-133

Under 14.5

+103

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 14.5

-123

Under 14.5

-104

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-120

Under 14.5

-108

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-118

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

+102

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-156

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 8.5

+120

Under 8.5

-156

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -8 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 181.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 172: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.60 pts and allowed 86.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.60 pts and allowed 91.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 172: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 78.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	9	3643	3237	406	19-2	14-7	1W
2  Dream	29	14	3624	3306	318	16-6	13-8	5W
3  Aces	28	14	3485	3416	69	16-5	12-9	14W
4  Mercury	27	15	3484	3340	144	15-6	12-9	1L
5  Liberty	25	17	3547	3382	165	16-5	9-12	1W
6  Valkyries	23	19	3294	3213	81	14-8	9-11	1L
7  Fever	23	20	3651	3514	137	12-9	11-11	2W
8  Storm	22	21	3540	3451	89	9-12	13-9	2L
9  Sparks	20	22	3606	3696	-90	9-12	11-10	1W
10  Mystics	16	27	3328	3514	-186	10-12	6-15	9L
11  Sun	11	32	3265	3694	-429	7-14	4-18	1L
12  Sky	10	32	3188	3594	-406	6-15	4-17	2L
13  Wings	9	34	3497	3795	-298	5-16	4-18	10L