Louisville vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Baylor

The Louisville Cardinals face the Baylor Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, February 14.

There are good reasons for anticipating that the Louisville and Baylor points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 163.5, you will find -110 available.

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Louisville Cardinals previous game saw them claim a 118-77 home win over NC State Wolfpack.

Baylor Bears lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 99-94 at home to Brigham Young Cougars.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	18-6	2090	1702	388	13-2	5-4	4W
Baylor	13-11	2013	1821	192	10-6	3-5	2L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Baylor Prediction & Picks

Our Louisville vs Baylor betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 163.5 points line. Therefore, chance an Under wager at -110 and hope the number isn’t reached in this college matchup.

We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Louisville vs Baylor stats:

• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Louisville games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Louisville games on the road.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Baylor games.
• The 163.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Baylor games.

Under 163.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 163.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (22:04, 13 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 85 - 75 Baylor

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on Louisville when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 85-75 should provide some entertainment.

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Louisville vs Baylor Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 78% chance of securing victory, Louisville are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -345. Baylor are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +275.

The spread currently stands at 7.5 and the total points line is 163.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 163.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.

Moneyline

Louisville

-345

Baylor

+275

Point Spread

Louisville -7.5

-102

Baylor +7.5

-120

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Baylor Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 163.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.30 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	23-1	2131	1637	494	15-0	8-1	1L
Houston	22-2	1879	1468	411	15-1	7-1	5W
Iowa State	21-3	2031	1557	474	15-0	6-3	1L
Kansas	19-5	1872	1626	246	14-1	5-4	8W
Texas Tech	18-6	1972	1734	238	14-2	4-4	2W
BYU	18-6	2072	1777	295	13-3	5-3	1W
UCF	17-6	1895	1790	105	13-2	4-4	2L
Oklahoma State	16-8	2026	1938	88	13-2	3-6	2L
West Virginia	15-9	1679	1527	152	13-4	2-5	1L
TCU	15-9	1877	1710	167	12-5	3-4	2W
Colorado	14-11	1995	1952	43	13-5	1-6	1L
Baylor	13-11	2013	1821	192	10-6	3-5	2L
Cincinnati	13-12	1810	1676	134	12-4	1-8	2W
Arizona State	13-12	1968	1979	-11	9-6	4-6	1W
Kansas State	10-14	1941	1939	2	9-7	1-7	5L
Utah	9-15	1844	1919	-75	9-6	0-9	6L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	22-2	1989	1524	465	13-0	9-2	1W
Virginia	21-3	1965	1619	346	13-1	8-2	5W
Clemson	20-5	1891	1615	276	13-2	7-3	1L
Miami	19-5	2012	1676	336	13-3	6-2	2W
North Carolina	19-5	1966	1696	270	15-0	4-5	1L
Louisville	18-6	2090	1702	388	13-2	5-4	4W
NC State	18-7	2133	1857	276	11-4	7-3	1L
SMU	17-7	2077	1860	217	14-2	3-5	2W
Virginia Tech	17-8	1989	1851	138	13-2	4-6	1W
California	17-8	1967	1822	145	15-3	2-5	2L
Stanford	16-9	1898	1818	80	10-6	6-3	2W
Syracuse	14-11	1910	1798	112	11-4	3-7	1W
Wake Forest	12-12	1924	1862	62	8-6	4-6	1W
Florida State	11-13	1917	1891	26	9-7	2-6	1L
Notre Dame	11-14	1852	1835	17	9-5	2-9	5L
Georgia Tech	11-14	1863	1895	-32	10-7	1-7	6L
Boston College	9-15	1611	1647	-36	8-9	1-6	5L
Pittsburgh	9-16	1753	1787	-34	7-9	2-7	4L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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