Louisville vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Baylor
The Louisville Cardinals face the Baylor Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, February 14.
There are good reasons for anticipating that the Louisville and Baylor points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 163.5, you will find -110 available.
Louisville Cardinals previous game saw them claim a 118-77 home win over NC State Wolfpack.
Baylor Bears lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 99-94 at home to Brigham Young Cougars.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
Baylor
|
16-16 | 2642 | 2469 | 173 | 12-8 | 4-8 | 1L |
Louisville vs Baylor Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Louisville vs Baylor, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 163.5 points line. Therefore, chance an Under wager at -110 and hope the number isn’t reached in this college matchup.
We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.
Key Louisville vs Baylor stats:
Under 163.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.
Start wagering with a boost! Find the best welcome bonuses in our complete and updated betting offers guide.
Player Prop Picks
Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville) can be wagered to total Over 4.5 assists at -200. We can back him when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.
Latest Mikel Brown Jr. Player Prop Odds
Ryan Conwell (Louisville) can be backed to finish with Under 2.5 assists at -137. It stands to reason that he might fall short when it comes to Player Assists and the line is appealing.
Latest Ryan Conwell Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 163.5 on the total, Louisville to cover the -6.5 spread and Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville) to get Over 4.5 assists.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
85
-
75
Baylor
There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on Louisville when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 85-75 should provide some entertainment.
Louisville vs Baylor Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 75% chance of securing victory, Louisville are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -303. Baylor are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +240.
The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 163.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 163.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.
Tounde Yessoufou is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -114 that he goes Over 19.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Louisville Stats
Baylor Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 155.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 152.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.30 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big 12 | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona
|
32-2 | 2929 | 2339 | 590 | 21-1 | 11-1 | 9W |
Houston
|
28-6 | 2623 | 2137 | 486 | 20-2 | 8-4 | 1L |
Iowa State
|
27-7 | 2781 | 2215 | 566 | 19-1 | 8-6 | 1L |
Kansas
|
23-10 | 2496 | 2290 | 206 | 17-2 | 6-8 | 1L |
Texas Tech
|
22-10 | 2573 | 2324 | 249 | 16-4 | 6-6 | 3L |
BYU
|
23-11 | 2853 | 2561 | 292 | 17-4 | 6-7 | 1L |
TCU
|
22-11 | 2584 | 2378 | 206 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
UCF
|
21-11 | 2591 | 2511 | 80 | 15-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Oklahoma State
|
19-14 | 2781 | 2736 | 45 | 14-5 | 5-9 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
18-14 | 2214 | 2072 | 142 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 1L |
Cincinnati
|
18-15 | 2413 | 2230 | 183 | 16-4 | 2-11 | 1L |
Colorado
|
17-15 | 2559 | 2542 | 17 | 15-7 | 2-8 | 2L |
Arizona State
|
17-16 | 2519 | 2585 | -66 | 13-6 | 4-10 | 1L |
|
Baylor
|
16-16 | 2642 | 2469 | 173 | 12-8 | 4-8 | 1L |
Kansas State
|
12-20 | 2546 | 2619 | -73 | 11-8 | 1-12 | 2L |
Utah
|
10-22 | 2379 | 2531 | -152 | 9-9 | 1-13 | 6L |
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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