Memphis vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Memphis vs Mississippi State

The Memphis Tigers face the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, December 20.

Memphis and Mississippi State are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 150.5 as a great pick at odds of -115.

Memphis Tigers lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Vanderbilt Commodores 77-70.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won their last game, beating LIU Sharks at home. It was a 87-83 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mississippi State won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 79-66 triumph when facing Memphis.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
Memphis	13-19	2407	2454	-47	10-8	3-11	1L

View Full Standings

Memphis vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Memphis vs Mississippi State betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total wager after finding that the line is set at a generous 150.5. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college matchup.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key Memphis vs Mississippi State stats:

• The 150.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Memphis games on the road.
• The 150.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Memphis games on the road.
• The 150.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Memphis games on the road.
• The 150.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 150.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 MS State games.
• The 150.5 line has been covered in the last 2 MS State games.

Over 150.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want to get bigger odds on your Over bet, there’s a smart way of doing this. The leading sportsbooks will allow you to move the line on the Totals.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 150.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 19, 21:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dug McDaniel Over 13.5 Points -125

Dug McDaniel (Memphis) is available at -125 to total Over 13.5 points. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Dug McDaniel Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-119

Assists

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

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Shawn Jones Jr. Under 1.5 Assists +125

Shawn Jones Jr. (Mississippi State) can be wagered to record Under 1.5 assists at +125. We can feel confident that he might fall short on the Player Assists front as the total looks too high.

Latest Shawn Jones Jr. Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-105

Assists

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Memphis 76 - 82 MS State

Let’s roll the dice and try the Bulldogs to achieve a 82-76 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Memphis vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Mississippi State are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -167. The market suggests that Memphis are least likely to win at +138.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 152.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 152.5, it’s -115.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Memphis

+138

MS State

-167

Point Spread

Memphis +3.5

-110

MS State -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 152.5

-105

Over 152.5

-115

Josh Hubbard is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -115 that he scores Over 21.5 points or -112 that he goes Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-112

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 17.5

-108

Under 17.5

-120

Dug McDaniel (Memphis)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-119

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Shawn Jones Jr. (MS State)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-105

Dug McDaniel (Memphis)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+110

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-145

Shawn Jones Jr. (MS State)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Quincy Ballard (MS State)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-120

Shawn Jones Jr. (MS State)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

Dug McDaniel (Memphis)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-164

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Memphis Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 150.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 76.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.40 pts and allowed 76.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 150.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 150.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 75.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

American Athletic Conference	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Tulsa	26-7	2824	2409	415	15-2	11-5	1L
South Florida	25-8	2895	2492	403	16-4	9-4	11W
Wichita State	22-11	2562	2324	238	15-5	7-6	1L
UAB	20-12	2535	2361	174	9-10	11-2	1L
North Texas	19-14	2341	2225	116	13-5	6-9	1L
Florida Atlantic	18-15	2596	2453	143	12-6	6-9	1L
Tulane	18-15	2389	2493	-104	10-9	8-6	1L
Charlotte	17-17	2492	2530	-38	12-7	5-10	1L
Temple	16-16	2366	2264	102	10-7	6-9	2L
Rice	13-18	2291	2311	-20	9-8	4-10	1W
Memphis	13-19	2407	2454	-47	10-8	3-11	1L
East Carolina	11-20	2217	2401	-184	7-12	4-8	2L
UTSA	5-25	2084	2422	-338	2-12	3-13	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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