Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Hawks

The Miami Heat battle the Atlanta Hawks in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Side With Heat Against The Spread

We’re confident that the Heat can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes the underdogs at +4 the best play when they face the Hawks and -114 are available.

Previous H2H Saw Heat Win in Overtime

Miami Heat have been defeated in three straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Toronto Raptors by a 112-91 scoreline at Kaseya Center. Jaime Jaquez Jr. dropped 21 points, as Norman Powell finished with 17 and Andrew Wiggins 14.

Atlanta Hawks have lost on their last four outings. In a recent home game at State Farm Arena, they were turned over 126-123 by Chicago Bulls. Jalen Johnson registered 24 points and 10 assists, Trae Young had 22 points and 15 assists, with Nickeil Alexander-Walker scoring 21 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 123-114 (OT) in favor of the Heat when they last played the Hawks, with the matchup taking place at State Farm Arena. The Heat have beaten the Hawks in the past three matchups. They’ve also claimed 6 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 38 30 0.559 120.4 116.6 3.8 23-12 15-18 7-6 22-19 7-3 1L
Hawks logo Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 110.6 points, 44.3 rebounds, 24.8 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 45.0% from the field and 75.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 116.5 points and 45.6 rebounds per matchup.

Norman Powell is averaging 19.8 points and 2.4 (34.8%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 10.9 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.8 assists.

Atlanta Hawks – Last 10 Games

The Hawks have won 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 118.6 points, 40.7 rebounds, 31.3 assists, 9.0 steals and 3.9 blocks per game while shooting 47.3% from the field and 81.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 126.0 points and 45.7 rebounds.

Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.1 points, 10.6 rebounds and 9.3 assists, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker has an average of 3.1 (36.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Atlanta Hawks lineup: Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Picks

Get ready for Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Heat can produce a strong performance in this NBA contest. Our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread of +4 and you can currently get -114.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Heat vs Hawks stats:

  • The +4 line has been covered by Heat in 11 of their last 20 games.
  • The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 6 consecutive games.
  • The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 14 of their last 20 games.
  • The -4 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 3 consecutive games against Heat.

Heat +4 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Our Game Prediction
Heat +4 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 26, 00:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:55, 26 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Onyeka Okongwu Over 2.5 Assists -147 BetMGM logo

Onyeka Okongwu (Hawks) has had Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight home games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -147 available.

Latest Onyeka Okongwu Player Prop Odds


Jalen Johnson Over 10.5 Rebounds -125 BetMGM logo

Jalen Johnson (Hawks) has totaled Over 10.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 9 games. We recommend backing the -125 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Jalen Johnson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +3.5
Totals Under 250.5
Player Assists Onyeka Okongwu Over 2.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Heat +3.5. We’ve also gone for Under 250.5 and Onyeka Okongwu (Hawks) to get Over 2.5 assists.

The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 119 - 117 Hawks logo Hawks

The Heat are available at huge odds to register a 119-117 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close contest and there won’t be much between the teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Hawks Victory

The Atlanta Hawks odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -164 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 62% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Miami Heat, you will find +138 about the underdogs.

3.5 is the spread and 250.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you fancy Under 250.5, then the odds are -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the best NBA sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds
Norman Powell Favorite to Get Most Points

Norman Powell is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -127 that he gets Over 25.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -106.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 7.5
+106
Under 7.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)
Over 6.5
-139
Under 6.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-137
Under 4.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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State Farm Arena
State Farm Arena
Hawks Home Record Includes Three Straight Defeats

The Hawks have suffered three defeats in a row at State Farm Arena. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 119.30 points per contest and conceding 122.50.

The Heat have gone 3-7 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 118.20 points on offense and surrendering 118.30 on defense.

The last State Farm Arena meeting saw the Hawks beat the Heat 119-118. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at State Farm Arena, both teams have notched five wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O242.5 U242.5
Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Home Stats 5-5 229.40 115.20 114.20 3 7
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 6-4 233.30 118.90 114.40 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O242.5 = Games Over 242.5 Points
  • U242.5 = Games Under 242.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Bam Adebayo 48 31.38 885 134 18.4 2.8 1.6 9.9 0.7 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 50 31.28 797 138 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.2

Atlanta Hawks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jalen Johnson 51 35.74 1196 414 23.5 8.1 1.6 10.6 0.5 1.4
Dyson Daniels 54 33.64 629 329 11.6 6.1 0.2 6.5 0.4 1.8
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 55 33.24 1098 204 20.0 3.7 3.0 3.6 0.6 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Atlanta Hawks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Confirmed Lineup
1 Jalen Johnson
5 Dyson Daniels
10 Zaccharie Risacher
11 Trae Young
17 Onyeka Okongwu
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
9 Pelle Larsson
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

11 Feb NBA
Heat 123-111 Pelicans
09 Feb NBA
Jazz 115-111 Heat
08 Feb NBA
Heat 132-101 Wizards
06 Feb NBA
Heat 96-98 Celtics
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns

Previous Atlanta Hawks Lineups

19 Feb NBA
Hawks 117-107 76ers
11 Feb NBA
Hawks 107-110 Hornets
09 Feb NBA
Hawks 116-138 Timberwolves
07 Feb NBA
Hornets 126-119 Hawks
05 Feb NBA
Jazz 119-121 Hawks
03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Hawks 124-129 Pacers
29 Jan NBA
Rockets 104-86 Hawks
28 Jan NBA
Hawks 117-106 Celtics
26 Jan NBA
Pacers 116-132 Hawks

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 44 25 0.638 116.9 110.6 6.3 24-9 20-16 11-3 28-15 7-3 3W
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 48 19 0.716 117.2 109.8 7.4 26-8 22-11 10-4 32-11 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 41 27 0.603 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 19-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Bucks 28 39 0.418 111.2 116.1 -4.9 16-18 12-21 9-5 20-26 2-8 1W
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Pacers 15 53 0.221 111.2 119.9 -8.7 10-24 5-29 3-10 11-32 0-10 13L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 38 29 0.567 115.6 114.2 1.4 22-12 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 1L
Heat 38 30 0.559 120.4 116.6 3.8 23-12 15-18 7-6 22-19 7-3 1L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
Hornets 34 34 0.5 115.5 112.3 3.2 14-17 20-17 9-5 20-22 7-3 1L
Wizards 16 51 0.239 112.7 123.7 -11 11-23 5-28 2-12 11-31 0-10 12L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 53 15 0.779 118.5 107.7 10.8 29-7 24-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 8W
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Timberwolves 41 27 0.603 118.5 115.2 3.3 22-12 19-15 8-6 25-20 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Suns 39 29 0.574 112.5 111.3 1.2 22-13 17-16 10-6 25-18 6-4 2L
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 48 19 0.716 117.2 109.8 7.4 26-8 22-11 10-4 32-11 5-5 1L
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 44 25 0.638 116.9 110.6 6.3 24-9 20-16 11-3 28-15 7-3 3W
Cavaliers 41 27 0.603 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 19-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
Magic 38 29 0.567 115.6 114.2 1.4 22-12 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 1L
Heat 38 30 0.559 120.4 116.6 3.8 23-12 15-18 7-6 22-19 7-3 1L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Hornets 34 34 0.5 115.5 112.3 3.2 14-17 20-17 9-5 20-22 7-3 1L
Bucks 28 39 0.418 111.2 116.1 -4.9 16-18 12-21 9-5 20-26 2-8 1W
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
Wizards 16 51 0.239 112.7 123.7 -11 11-23 5-28 2-12 11-31 0-10 12L
Pacers 15 53 0.221 111.2 119.9 -8.7 10-24 5-29 3-10 11-32 0-10 13L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 53 15 0.779 118.5 107.7 10.8 29-7 24-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 8W
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Timberwolves 41 27 0.603 118.5 115.2 3.3 22-12 19-15 8-6 25-20 6-4 1L
Suns 39 29 0.574 112.5 111.3 1.2 22-13 17-16 10-6 25-18 6-4 2L
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 53 15 0.779 118.5 107.7 10.8 29-7 24-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 8W
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Pistons 48 19 0.716 117.2 109.8 7.4 26-8 22-11 10-4 32-11 5-5 1L
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 44 25 0.638 116.9 110.6 6.3 24-9 20-16 11-3 28-15 7-3 3W
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 41 27 0.603 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 19-14 8-5 26-17 5-5 1L
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Timberwolves 41 27 0.603 118.5 115.2 3.3 22-12 19-15 8-6 25-20 6-4 1L
Suns 39 29 0.574 112.5 111.3 1.2 22-13 17-16 10-6 25-18 6-4 2L
Magic 38 29 0.567 115.6 114.2 1.4 22-12 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 1L
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
Heat 38 30 0.559 120.4 116.6 3.8 23-12 15-18 7-6 22-19 7-3 1L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Hornets 34 34 0.5 115.5 112.3 3.2 14-17 20-17 9-5 20-22 7-3 1L
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Bucks 28 39 0.418 111.2 116.1 -4.9 16-18 12-21 9-5 20-26 2-8 1W
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
Wizards 16 51 0.239 112.7 123.7 -11 11-23 5-28 2-12 11-31 0-10 12L
Pacers 15 53 0.221 111.2 119.9 -8.7 10-24 5-29 3-10 11-32 0-10 13L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak