Miami Heat
Charlotte Hornets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Hornets

The Miami Heat take the floor against the Charlotte Hornets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Best Bet Has to Be Under 234.5

We’re not convinced that the Heat and the Hornets are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 234.5 at -115.

Heat Have 9 Wins in Past 10 on H2H

Miami Heat were beaten 121-117 at Kaseya Center in their previous game, being turned over at home to Orlando Magic. Jaime Jaquez Jr. dropped 22 points, as Norman Powell finished with 20 and Bam Adebayo 20.

Charlotte Hornets suffered a defeat in their last game. A 115-102 scoreline occurred on the road at Frost Bank Center against San Antonio Spurs. Miles Bridges scored 22 points, with Kon Knueppel adding 20 and Coby White 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat beat the Hornets when the teams last met. It was a 128-120 scoreline at Spectrum Center. The Heat have four straight wins against the Hornets. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hornets logo Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 122.7 points, 46.0 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 9.4 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 47.1% from the field and 81.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 115.0 points and 43.6 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 28.7 points and 9.5 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.2 assists and Tyler Herro 2.6 (43.3%) 3-pointers.

Charlotte Hornets – Last 10 Games

The Hornets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 114.9 points, 46.0 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 8.8 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field and 80.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 104.4 points and 41.1 rebounds.

Brandon Miller is averaging 19.9 points, Moussa Diabate 8.8 rebounds and LaMelo Ball 5.8 assists, while Kon Knueppel has an average of 3.8 (45.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Charlotte Hornets lineup: Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 234.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this NBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -115 can be backed.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key NBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.

Key Heat vs Hornets stats:

  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games on the road.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Heat games.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Hornets games.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Hornets games at home.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Hornets games.

Under 234.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders wager is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Game Prediction
Under 234.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 16, 22:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 22:02, 16 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Miller Under 21.5 Points -127 BetMGM logo

Brandon Miller (Hornets) has an average of 16.4 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -127.

Latest Brandon Miller Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Assists +109 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has had Over 4.5 assists in 3 straight games on the road. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet which is priced at +109 that he is able to cover the line.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 235.5
Spread Heat +5
Player Points Brandon Miller Under 21.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 235.5, Heat +5 and Brandon Miller (Hornets) to score Under 21.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 113 - 115 Hornets logo Hornets

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 115-113 win for the Hornets. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Hornets Plenty of Respect

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Charlotte Hornets are -196 favorites to win and that means a 66% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Miami Heat, you will find +166 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 5 and the total points line is 235.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 235.5 at -114.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Tyler Herro Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Tyler Herro is available at -109 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -125 is available.

Player Points
Player Assists
LaMelo Ball (Hornets)
Over 7.5
+114
Under 7.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
+107
Under 5.5
-143
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Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-137
Under 4.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Moussa Diabate (Hornets)
Over 10.5
+102
Under 10.5
-137
BetMGM Logo
Brandon Miller (Hornets)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Spectrum Center
Spectrum Center
Heat Lead Recent Head-to-Head Results at Spectrum Center

The Hornets are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, posting 111.70 points per contest while yielding 104.50.

The Heat have gone 7-3 across their last 10 road games, putting up 121.50 points on average and giving up 111.00.

The Heat defeated the Hornets 128-120 the last time they played at Spectrum Center. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at Spectrum Center, the Heat have come away with seven wins, while the Hornets have three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Home Stats 7-3 228.30 120.70 107.60 5 5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 3-7 244.40 118.80 125.60 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Charlotte Hornets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Confirmed Lineup
0 Miles Bridges
1 LaMelo Ball
7 Kon Knueppel
14 Moussa Diabate
24 Brandon Miller
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
9 Pelle Larsson
14 Tyler Herro
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

12 Apr NBA
Hawks 117-143 Heat
10 Apr NBA
Heat 140-117 Wizards
09 Apr NBA
Heat 114-128 Raptors
07 Apr NBA
Heat 95-121 Raptors
04 Apr NBA
Wizards 136-152 Heat
01 Apr NBA
Celtics 147-129 Heat
30 Mar NBA
76ers 109-119 Heat
29 Mar NBA
Heat 118-135 Pacers
27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers

Previous Charlotte Hornets Lineups

12 Apr NBA
Hornets 110-96 Knicks
10 Apr NBA
Pistons 118-100 Hornets
07 Apr NBA
Hornets 102-113 Celtics
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves
03 Apr NBA
Pacers 108-129 Hornets
02 Apr NBA
Suns 107-127 Hornets
31 Mar NBA
Hornets 117-86 Nets
29 Mar NBA
Celtics 114-99 Hornets
28 Mar NBA
76ers 118-114 Hornets
26 Mar NBA
Knicks 103-114 Hornets

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak