Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Celtics

The Miami Heat face the Boston Celtics in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Our betting prediction is that the Celtics are going to cover the -6.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory against the Heat.

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Miami Heat triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Brooklyn Nets were beaten 106-95 at Barclays Center. Norman Powell dropped 24 points, as Kel'el Ware finished with 22 and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19.

Boston Celtics have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at TD Garden, they were turned over 112-105 by Detroit Pistons. Jaylen Brown scored 34 points, with Derrick White adding 31 and Payton Pritchard 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 124-103 triumph when facing the Celtics at TD Garden. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen eight Celtics wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	15	11	0.577	116.2	110.8	5.4	8-5	7-6	4-4	11-8	7-3	2L
Heat	15	12	0.556	120.2	116.9	3.3	10-4	5-8	2-3	9-7	4-6	1W

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 112.1 points, 44.9 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 8.5 steals and 6.5 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 77.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.5 points and 46.4 rebounds per matchup.

Norman Powell is averaging 18.0 points and 2.1 (38.2%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 10.5 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.1 assists.

The Celtics have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 120.9 points, 40.9 rebounds, 23.8 assists, 8.5 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while shooting 49.9% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 114.1 points and 40.6 rebounds.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.4 points and 5.8 assists, while Neemias Queta has an average of 6.4 rebounds and Derrick White 3.7 (39.8%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Picks

Our expert Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing Celtics at -6.5 for this NBA matchup. We can get odds of -110 and this is our best pick.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Celtics in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Celtics -6.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Celtics -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 108 - 119 Celtics

Rather than betting on the Celtics to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 119-108 victory in their favor.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Boston Celtics are -244 favorites and that means a 71% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +198 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

6.5 is the spread and 233.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to bet Under 233.5, there are odds of -106.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the top NBA sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Heat

+198

Celtics

-244

Point Spread

Heat +6.5

-110

Celtics -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 233.5

-106

Over 233.5

-114

Jaylen Brown is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -101 can be found for him scoring Over 29.5 points and there is -128 for him to go Under.

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 29.5

-101

Under 29.5

-128

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 20.5

-115

Under 20.5

-112

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-118

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 18.5

-106

Under 18.5

-122

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 17.5

-118

Under 17.5

-110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 12.5

-143

Under 12.5

+110

Anfernee Simons (Celtics)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-123

Neemias Queta (Celtics)

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

+108

Jordan Walsh (Celtics)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-119

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-119

Sam Hauser (Celtics)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-132

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-149

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-135

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-109

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+117

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-143

Neemias Queta (Celtics)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-156

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 6.5

-139

Under 6.5

+107

Jordan Walsh (Celtics)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Sam Hauser (Celtics)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+116

The Celtics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, putting up 120.50 points per contest and giving up 111.50.

The Heat have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 118.10 points per contest and conceding 117.10.

In their last matchup at TD Garden, the Heat came out on top 124-103 against the Celtics. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings at TD Garden, each team has earned five victories.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O233.5	U233.5
Boston Celtics Home Stats		7-3	232.00	120.50	111.50	4	6
Miami Heat Away Stats		4-6	235.20	118.10	117.10	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O233.5 = Games Over 233.5 Points
• U233.5 = Games Under 233.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Boston Celtics Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 235.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 233.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.10 pts and allowed 113.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.10 pts and allowed 117.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 235.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 232.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 233.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.90 pts and allowed 114.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 120.50 pts and allowed 111.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.60 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 25.80
• Blocks: 6.50
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 16.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.40 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.40 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.10 (76.45%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 10.20, Defensive 34.70
• Assists: 28.50
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.50 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.60 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (79.31%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.9, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 29.30
• Assists: 23.80
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 11.20
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.40 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.70 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (78.92%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.1, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 30.20
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.80
• Turnovers : 9.70
• Personal Fouls: 22.00

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	19	7	0.731	120.7	112.3	8.4	13-1	6-6	5-1	15-7	9-1	6W
Raptors	17	11	0.607	115.3	112.9	2.4	8-6	9-5	3-4	15-7	4-6	2W
Celtics	15	11	0.577	116.2	110.8	5.4	8-5	7-6	4-4	11-8	7-3	2L
76ers	14	11	0.56	116.8	115.8	1	8-7	6-4	5-2	12-10	5-5	1L
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	21	6	0.778	119.1	113.1	6	12-2	9-4	5-3	16-5	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	15	13	0.536	118.4	116.3	2.1	9-7	6-6	6-1	12-10	3-7	2L
Bulls	11	15	0.423	117.6	121.9	-4.3	7-6	4-9	2-5	8-10	2-8	1W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Pacers	6	21	0.222	110.3	118.1	-7.8	5-10	1-11	2-5	4-12	4-6	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	15	12	0.556	120.2	116.9	3.3	10-4	5-8	2-3	9-7	4-6	1W
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Hawks	15	13	0.536	118.3	118	0.3	5-6	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Hornets	9	18	0.333	115.5	118.7	-3.2	6-8	3-10	2-4	8-12	5-5	2W
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	2	0.926	123	106.1	16.9	13-1	12-1	5-1	21-2	9-1	1W
Nuggets	20	6	0.769	125.6	116.2	9.4	8-4	12-2	2-1	14-5	8-2	6W
Timberwolves	17	10	0.63	119.4	114.6	4.8	9-5	8-5	3-3	12-9	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	19	7	0.731	119.7	114.3	5.4	10-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	4W
Rockets	16	8	0.667	121.1	112.1	9	8-2	8-6	2-3	9-7	6-4	2L
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Mavericks	11	17	0.393	113	116.7	-3.7	8-9	3-8	2-5	5-12	6-4	1W
Pelicans	6	22	0.214	114.9	123	-8.1	4-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	3-7	3W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	21	6	0.778	119.1	113.1	6	12-2	9-4	5-3	16-5	6-4	1L
Knicks	19	7	0.731	120.7	112.3	8.4	13-1	6-6	5-1	15-7	9-1	6W
Raptors	17	11	0.607	115.3	112.9	2.4	8-6	9-5	3-4	15-7	4-6	2W
Celtics	15	11	0.577	116.2	110.8	5.4	8-5	7-6	4-4	11-8	7-3	2L
76ers	14	11	0.56	116.8	115.8	1	8-7	6-4	5-2	12-10	5-5	1L
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Heat	15	12	0.556	120.2	116.9	3.3	10-4	5-8	2-3	9-7	4-6	1W
Cavaliers	15	13	0.536	118.4	116.3	2.1	9-7	6-6	6-1	12-10	3-7	2L
Hawks	15	13	0.536	118.3	118	0.3	5-6	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Bulls	11	15	0.423	117.6	121.9	-4.3	7-6	4-9	2-5	8-10	2-8	1W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Hornets	9	18	0.333	115.5	118.7	-3.2	6-8	3-10	2-4	8-12	5-5	2W
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	21	0.222	110.3	118.1	-7.8	5-10	1-11	2-5	4-12	4-6	3L
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	2	0.926	123	106.1	16.9	13-1	12-1	5-1	21-2	9-1	1W
Nuggets	20	6	0.769	125.6	116.2	9.4	8-4	12-2	2-1	14-5	8-2	6W
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Spurs	19	7	0.731	119.7	114.3	5.4	10-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	4W
Rockets	16	8	0.667	121.1	112.1	9	8-2	8-6	2-3	9-7	6-4	2L
Timberwolves	17	10	0.63	119.4	114.6	4.8	9-5	8-5	3-3	12-9	7-3	1L
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Mavericks	11	17	0.393	113	116.7	-3.7	8-9	3-8	2-5	5-12	6-4	1W
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L
Pelicans	6	22	0.214	114.9	123	-8.1	4-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	3-7	3W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	2	0.926	123	106.1	16.9	13-1	12-1	5-1	21-2	9-1	1W
Pistons	21	6	0.778	119.1	113.1	6	12-2	9-4	5-3	16-5	6-4	1L
Nuggets	20	6	0.769	125.6	116.2	9.4	8-4	12-2	2-1	14-5	8-2	6W
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Knicks	19	7	0.731	120.7	112.3	8.4	13-1	6-6	5-1	15-7	9-1	6W
Spurs	19	7	0.731	119.7	114.3	5.4	10-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	4W
Rockets	16	8	0.667	121.1	112.1	9	8-2	8-6	2-3	9-7	6-4	2L
Timberwolves	17	10	0.63	119.4	114.6	4.8	9-5	8-5	3-3	12-9	7-3	1L
Raptors	17	11	0.607	115.3	112.9	2.4	8-6	9-5	3-4	15-7	4-6	2W
Celtics	15	11	0.577	116.2	110.8	5.4	8-5	7-6	4-4	11-8	7-3	2L
76ers	14	11	0.56	116.8	115.8	1	8-7	6-4	5-2	12-10	5-5	1L
Heat	15	12	0.556	120.2	116.9	3.3	10-4	5-8	2-3	9-7	4-6	1W
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Hawks	15	13	0.536	118.3	118	0.3	5-6	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Cavaliers	15	13	0.536	118.4	116.3	2.1	9-7	6-6	6-1	12-10	3-7	2L
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Bulls	11	15	0.423	117.6	121.9	-4.3	7-6	4-9	2-5	8-10	2-8	1W
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Mavericks	11	17	0.393	113	116.7	-3.7	8-9	3-8	2-5	5-12	6-4	1W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L
Hornets	9	18	0.333	115.5	118.7	-3.2	6-8	3-10	2-4	8-12	5-5	2W
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	21	0.222	110.3	118.1	-7.8	5-10	1-11	2-5	4-12	4-6	3L
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Pelicans	6	22	0.214	114.9	123	-8.1	4-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	3-7	3W
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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