Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Celtics

The Miami Heat face the Boston Celtics in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Oppose a High-Scoring Contest

Play the Unders at -115 when the Heat and the Celtics take to the court. The 230.5 points line looks big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

Celtics Have 8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Miami Heat have won their previous three road outings. In their most recent game, they were turned over 127-115 at home to Atlanta Hawks at Kaseya Center. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the way with 21 points, while Simone Fontecchio added 18 and Pelle Larsson chipped in 18.

Boston Celtics won last time out by a 114-93 scoreline. On the road against Houston Rockets at Toyota Center, they made it four wins on the spin. Derrick White scored 28 points, with Payton Pritchard adding 27 and Luka Garza 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Celtics have won the last two meetings against the Heat. They triumphed 129-116 at TD Garden and then 119-114 at Kaseya Center. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Celtics have won eight.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics logo Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Heat logo Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.7 points, 51.4 rebounds, 29.7 assists, 8.9 steals and 3.4 blocks while shooting 45.1% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 118.6 points and 46.6 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.7 points and 10.9 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 4.7 assists and Simone Fontecchio 2.4 (38.1%) 3-pointers.

Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games

The Celtics have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 111.4 points, 47.0 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 76.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 102.4 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.6 points, Neemias Queta 7.9 rebounds and Derrick White 5.7 assists, while Payton Pritchard has an average of 2.9 (43.3%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Boston Celtics lineup: Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Luka Garza, Neemias Queta.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 230.5, so we’re prepared to take the -115 that the pair go under the line in this NBA matchup.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball picks. We also put strong emphasis on NBA stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter predictions.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Heat games on the road.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Celtics games.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Celtics games.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Celtics games.

Under 230.5 Probability

According to the top NBA betting sites, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction
Under 230.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 6, 00:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:55, 06 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Derrick White Under 18.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Derrick White (Celtics) has scored an average of 13.2 points in the past 5 games at home. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -120 available.

Latest Derrick White Player Prop Odds


Jaylen Brown Over 7.5 Rebounds +105 BetMGM logo

Jaylen Brown (Celtics) has finished with Over 7.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 8 games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this line making appeal at odds of +105.

Latest Jaylen Brown Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 227.5
Spread Heat +6
Player Points Derrick White Under 18.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 227.5, followed by Heat +6 on the spread and Derrick White (Celtics) to score Under 18.5 points.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 112 - 115 Celtics logo Celtics

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Celtics to win by a 115-112 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Celtics Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Boston Celtics are -233 favorites to win and that means a 70% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +190.

The spread is currently 6, with the total points line at 227.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 227.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jaylen Brown Favorite to Get Most Points

Jaylen Brown is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -125 that he gets Over 29.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -109.

Player Points
Player Assists
Derrick White (Celtics)
Over 5.5
-133
Under 5.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Payton Pritchard (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-156
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Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-164
Under 5.5
+120
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 4.5
-108
Under 4.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 7.5
+105
Under 7.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Neemias Queta (Celtics)
Over 7.5
-114
Under 7.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Derrick White (Celtics)
Over 4.5
-120
Under 4.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
TD Garden
TD Garden
Celtics Sitting on Seven Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Celtics own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 109.40 points on offense and surrendering 101.40 on defense.

The Heat have put together three straight wins on the road. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 114.90 points per contest while yielding 119.10.

The previous meeting at TD Garden saw the Celtics defeat the Heat 129-116. Across the past 10 head-to-head meetings at TD Garden, the Celtics have collected six wins, with the Heat owning four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Home Stats 7-3 210.80 109.40 101.40 1 9
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 234.00 114.90 119.10 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 47 31.2 734 134 15.6 2.9 1.8 4.9 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 44 31.12 797 121 18.1 2.8 1.6 9.9 0.7 1.0

Boston Celtics Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaylen Brown 46 34.35 1356 219 29.5 4.8 2.2 7.0 0.4 1.0
Derrick White 49 34.2 847 272 17.3 5.6 2.9 4.5 1.4 1.2
Payton Pritchard 50 32.65 857 267 17.1 5.3 2.6 4.3 0.1 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Boston Celtics Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup
7 Jaylen Brown
9 Derrick White
30 Sam Hauser
52 Luka Garza
88 Neemias Queta
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz
22 Jan NBA
Heat 110-127 Trail Blazers
20 Jan NBA
Heat 130-117 Kings
19 Jan NBA
Heat 112-135 Warriors

Previous Boston Celtics Lineups

04 Feb NBA
Celtics 114-93 Rockets
03 Feb NBA
Celtics 110-100 Mavericks
01 Feb NBA
Bucks 79-107 Celtics
30 Jan NBA
Kings 93-112 Celtics
28 Jan NBA
Hawks 117-106 Celtics
26 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 94-102 Celtics
24 Jan NBA
Celtics 111-114 Bulls
23 Jan NBA
Celtics 130-126 Nets
21 Jan NBA
Pacers 104-119 Celtics
19 Jan NBA
Celtics 103-104 Pistons

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak