Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Boston Celtics
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Celtics

The Miami Heat face the Boston Celtics in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Oppose a High-Scoring Contest

Play the Unders at -115 when the Heat and the Celtics take to the court. The 230.5 points line looks big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

If you're liking our Totals play, grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our in-depth site review before placing your bet. It’s worth the read.

Celtics Have 8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Miami Heat have won their previous three road outings. In their most recent game, they were turned over 127-115 at home to Atlanta Hawks at Kaseya Center. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the way with 21 points, while Simone Fontecchio added 18 and Pelle Larsson chipped in 18.

Boston Celtics won last time out by a 114-93 scoreline. On the road against Houston Rockets at Toyota Center, they made it four wins on the spin. Derrick White scored 28 points, with Payton Pritchard adding 27 and Luka Garza 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Celtics have won the last two meetings against the Heat. They triumphed 129-116 at TD Garden and then 119-114 at Kaseya Center. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Celtics have won eight.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics logo Celtics 33 18 0.647 115.9 108.6 7.3 16-8 17-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 4W
Heat logo Heat 27 25 0.519 119.9 118 1.9 16-10 11-15 3-5 14-15 5-5 1L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.7 points, 51.4 rebounds, 29.7 assists, 8.9 steals and 3.4 blocks while shooting 45.1% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 118.6 points and 46.6 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.7 points and 10.9 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 4.7 assists and Simone Fontecchio 2.4 (38.1%) 3-pointers.

Boston Celtics – Last 10 Games

The Celtics have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 111.4 points, 47.0 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 76.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 102.4 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.6 points, Neemias Queta 7.9 rebounds and Derrick White 5.7 assists, while Payton Pritchard has an average of 2.9 (43.3%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 230.5, so we’re prepared to take the -115 that the pair go under the line in this NBA matchup.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball picks. We also put strong emphasis on NBA stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter predictions.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Heat games on the road.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Celtics games.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Celtics games.
  • The 230.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Celtics games.

Under 230.5 Probability

According to the top NBA betting sites, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction
Under 230.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:55, 05 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:55, 05 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 Rebounds -147 BetMGM logo

Jaylen Brown (Celtics) has had Over 6.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 8 games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of -147 available.

Latest Jaylen Brown Player Prop Odds


Derrick White Over 5.5 Assists -127 BetMGM logo

Derrick White (Celtics) has recorded Over 5.5 assists in 4 straight games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at -127 when it comes to a Player Assists wager and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Derrick White Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 230.5
Spread Heat +7
Player Rebounds Jaylen Brown Over 6.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 230.5. We’ve also gone for Heat +7 and Jaylen Brown (Celtics) to record Over 6.5 rebounds.

A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 112 - 115 Celtics logo Celtics

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Celtics to win by a 115-112 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Celtics Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Boston Celtics are -250 favorites to win and that means a 71% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +205.

The spread is currently 7, with the total points line at 230.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 230.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jaylen Brown Favorite to Get Most Points

Jaylen Brown is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -111 that he gets Over 29.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -116.

Player Points
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 29.5
-111
Under 29.5
-116
BetMGM Logo
Payton Pritchard (Celtics)
Over 16.5
-122
Under 16.5
-106
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+106
Under 6.5
-137
BetMGM Logo
Payton Pritchard (Celtics)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Derrick White (Celtics)
Over 5.5
-127
Under 5.5
-102
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 4.5
+109
Under 4.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Neemias Queta (Celtics)
Over 7.5
+103
Under 7.5
-133
BetMGM Logo
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
Over 6.5
-147
Under 6.5
+113
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 5.5
+126
Under 5.5
-164
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
TD Garden
TD Garden
Celtics Sitting on Seven Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Celtics own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 109.40 points on offense and surrendering 101.40 on defense.

The Heat have put together three straight wins on the road. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 114.90 points per contest while yielding 119.10.

The previous meeting at TD Garden saw the Celtics defeat the Heat 129-116. Across the past 10 head-to-head meetings at TD Garden, the Celtics have collected six wins, with the Heat owning four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O230.5 U230.5
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Home Stats 7-3 210.80 109.40 101.40 1 9
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 234.00 114.90 119.10 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O230.5 = Games Over 230.5 Points
  • U230.5 = Games Under 230.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Boston Celtics logo Boston Celtics Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 47 31.2 734 134 15.6 2.9 1.8 4.9 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 44 31.12 797 121 18.1 2.8 1.6 9.9 0.7 1.0

Boston Celtics Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaylen Brown 46 34.35 1356 219 29.5 4.8 2.2 7.0 0.4 1.0
Derrick White 49 34.2 847 272 17.3 5.6 2.9 4.5 1.4 1.2
Payton Pritchard 50 32.65 857 267 17.1 5.3 2.6 4.3 0.1 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Boston Celtics Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

03 Feb NBA
Hawks 127-115 Heat
01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz
22 Jan NBA
Heat 110-127 Trail Blazers
20 Jan NBA
Heat 130-117 Kings
19 Jan NBA
Heat 112-135 Warriors

Previous Boston Celtics Lineups

04 Feb NBA
Celtics 114-93 Rockets
03 Feb NBA
Celtics 110-100 Mavericks
01 Feb NBA
Bucks 79-107 Celtics
30 Jan NBA
Kings 93-112 Celtics
28 Jan NBA
Hawks 117-106 Celtics
26 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 94-102 Celtics
24 Jan NBA
Celtics 111-114 Bulls
23 Jan NBA
Celtics 130-126 Nets
21 Jan NBA
Pacers 104-119 Celtics
19 Jan NBA
Celtics 103-104 Pistons

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 33 18 0.647 118.2 112.1 6.1 21-6 12-12 8-3 22-11 8-2 8W
Celtics 33 18 0.647 115.9 108.6 7.3 16-8 17-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 4W
Raptors 31 22 0.585 114 112.4 1.6 15-12 16-10 4-9 23-14 6-4 1W
76ers 29 22 0.569 116.8 115.4 1.4 15-13 14-9 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Nets 13 37 0.26 106.9 115 -8.1 6-18 7-19 3-9 9-21 1-9 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 37 13 0.74 117.5 110.3 7.2 21-6 16-7 8-3 23-7 7-3 1L
Cavaliers 31 21 0.596 119.4 115.7 3.7 17-11 14-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 2W
Bulls 24 28 0.462 117 120.2 -3.2 15-11 9-17 3-9 16-20 4-6 3L
Bucks 20 29 0.408 112.1 116.1 -4 11-12 9-17 6-4 15-17 3-7 2W
Pacers 13 38 0.255 110.9 118.7 -7.8 10-18 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 26 24 0.52 115 115.5 -0.5 16-9 10-15 6-5 18-17 4-6 1W
Heat 27 25 0.519 119.9 118 1.9 16-10 11-15 3-5 14-15 5-5 1L
Hawks 26 27 0.491 117.5 118.3 -0.8 10-14 16-13 5-3 13-18 6-4 2W
Hornets 24 28 0.462 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-13 13-15 6-4 14-19 9-1 8W
Wizards 14 36 0.28 112.3 122.6 -10.3 9-17 5-19 2-5 9-20 4-6 1W
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 40 12 0.769 120.2 107.9 12.3 22-5 18-7 8-3 30-8 5-5 1L
Nuggets 33 19 0.635 120.1 116.2 3.9 14-10 19-9 4-2 19-9 4-6 3L
Timberwolves 32 20 0.615 119.6 114.8 4.8 17-8 15-12 5-5 18-15 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 23 28 0.451 115.3 118.1 -2.8 13-13 10-15 4-4 18-15 4-6 6L
Jazz 16 36 0.308 118.3 126.8 -8.5 10-17 6-19 1-8 9-24 2-8 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 31 19 0.62 116.4 116.2 0.2 13-8 18-11 4-6 20-12 7-3 2W
Suns 31 21 0.596 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-8 14-13 8-6 21-15 6-4 1L
Warriors 28 24 0.538 115.9 113.6 2.3 17-9 11-15 6-3 18-14 5-5 1W
Clippers 23 27 0.46 112.3 113.1 -0.8 13-11 10-16 6-4 13-15 6-4 2L
Kings 12 40 0.231 110.5 120.5 -10 9-17 3-23 2-7 8-26 0-10 10L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 35 16 0.686 117.2 112 5.2 18-6 17-10 9-3 21-13 7-3 3W
Rockets 31 19 0.62 115.2 110.1 5.1 17-6 14-13 6-5 17-15 6-4 2L
Grizzlies 20 29 0.408 115.3 117 -1.7 11-15 9-14 5-6 16-17 3-7 2W
Mavericks 19 32 0.373 114 116.8 -2.8 14-16 5-16 3-8 11-22 4-6 6L
Pelicans 13 40 0.245 114.5 121 -6.5 8-19 5-21 6-7 7-26 3-7 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 37 13 0.74 117.5 110.3 7.2 21-6 16-7 8-3 23-7 7-3 1L
Knicks 33 18 0.647 118.2 112.1 6.1 21-6 12-12 8-3 22-11 8-2 8W
Celtics 33 18 0.647 115.9 108.6 7.3 16-8 17-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 4W
Cavaliers 31 21 0.596 119.4 115.7 3.7 17-11 14-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 2W
Raptors 31 22 0.585 114 112.4 1.6 15-12 16-10 4-9 23-14 6-4 1W
76ers 29 22 0.569 116.8 115.4 1.4 15-13 14-9 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Magic 26 24 0.52 115 115.5 -0.5 16-9 10-15 6-5 18-17 4-6 1W
Heat 27 25 0.519 119.9 118 1.9 16-10 11-15 3-5 14-15 5-5 1L
Hawks 26 27 0.491 117.5 118.3 -0.8 10-14 16-13 5-3 13-18 6-4 2W
Hornets 24 28 0.462 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-13 13-15 6-4 14-19 9-1 8W
Bulls 24 28 0.462 117 120.2 -3.2 15-11 9-17 3-9 16-20 4-6 3L
Bucks 20 29 0.408 112.1 116.1 -4 11-12 9-17 6-4 15-17 3-7 2W
Wizards 14 36 0.28 112.3 122.6 -10.3 9-17 5-19 2-5 9-20 4-6 1W
Nets 13 37 0.26 106.9 115 -8.1 6-18 7-19 3-9 9-21 1-9 3L
Pacers 13 38 0.255 110.9 118.7 -7.8 10-18 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 2L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 40 12 0.769 120.2 107.9 12.3 22-5 18-7 8-3 30-8 5-5 1L
Spurs 35 16 0.686 117.2 112 5.2 18-6 17-10 9-3 21-13 7-3 3W
Nuggets 33 19 0.635 120.1 116.2 3.9 14-10 19-9 4-2 19-9 4-6 3L
Rockets 31 19 0.62 115.2 110.1 5.1 17-6 14-13 6-5 17-15 6-4 2L
Lakers 31 19 0.62 116.4 116.2 0.2 13-8 18-11 4-6 20-12 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 32 20 0.615 119.6 114.8 4.8 17-8 15-12 5-5 18-15 5-5 1W
Suns 31 21 0.596 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-8 14-13 8-6 21-15 6-4 1L
Warriors 28 24 0.538 115.9 113.6 2.3 17-9 11-15 6-3 18-14 5-5 1W
Clippers 23 27 0.46 112.3 113.1 -0.8 13-11 10-16 6-4 13-15 6-4 2L
Trail Blazers 23 28 0.451 115.3 118.1 -2.8 13-13 10-15 4-4 18-15 4-6 6L
Grizzlies 20 29 0.408 115.3 117 -1.7 11-15 9-14 5-6 16-17 3-7 2W
Mavericks 19 32 0.373 114 116.8 -2.8 14-16 5-16 3-8 11-22 4-6 6L
Jazz 16 36 0.308 118.3 126.8 -8.5 10-17 6-19 1-8 9-24 2-8 1L
Pelicans 13 40 0.245 114.5 121 -6.5 8-19 5-21 6-7 7-26 3-7 3L
Kings 12 40 0.231 110.5 120.5 -10 9-17 3-23 2-7 8-26 0-10 10L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 40 12 0.769 120.2 107.9 12.3 22-5 18-7 8-3 30-8 5-5 1L
Pistons 37 13 0.74 117.5 110.3 7.2 21-6 16-7 8-3 23-7 7-3 1L
Spurs 35 16 0.686 117.2 112 5.2 18-6 17-10 9-3 21-13 7-3 3W
Celtics 33 18 0.647 115.9 108.6 7.3 16-8 17-10 7-4 22-12 7-3 4W
Knicks 33 18 0.647 118.2 112.1 6.1 21-6 12-12 8-3 22-11 8-2 8W
Nuggets 33 19 0.635 120.1 116.2 3.9 14-10 19-9 4-2 19-9 4-6 3L
Rockets 31 19 0.62 115.2 110.1 5.1 17-6 14-13 6-5 17-15 6-4 2L
Lakers 31 19 0.62 116.4 116.2 0.2 13-8 18-11 4-6 20-12 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 32 20 0.615 119.6 114.8 4.8 17-8 15-12 5-5 18-15 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 31 21 0.596 119.4 115.7 3.7 17-11 14-10 7-3 19-13 8-2 2W
Suns 31 21 0.596 113.8 111.4 2.4 17-8 14-13 8-6 21-15 6-4 1L
Raptors 31 22 0.585 114 112.4 1.6 15-12 16-10 4-9 23-14 6-4 1W
76ers 29 22 0.569 116.8 115.4 1.4 15-13 14-9 8-5 19-17 6-4 1L
Warriors 28 24 0.538 115.9 113.6 2.3 17-9 11-15 6-3 18-14 5-5 1W
Magic 26 24 0.52 115 115.5 -0.5 16-9 10-15 6-5 18-17 4-6 1W
Heat 27 25 0.519 119.9 118 1.9 16-10 11-15 3-5 14-15 5-5 1L
Hawks 26 27 0.491 117.5 118.3 -0.8 10-14 16-13 5-3 13-18 6-4 2W
Hornets 24 28 0.462 115.8 113.9 1.9 11-13 13-15 6-4 14-19 9-1 8W
Bulls 24 28 0.462 117 120.2 -3.2 15-11 9-17 3-9 16-20 4-6 3L
Clippers 23 27 0.46 112.3 113.1 -0.8 13-11 10-16 6-4 13-15 6-4 2L
Trail Blazers 23 28 0.451 115.3 118.1 -2.8 13-13 10-15 4-4 18-15 4-6 6L
Grizzlies 20 29 0.408 115.3 117 -1.7 11-15 9-14 5-6 16-17 3-7 2W
Bucks 20 29 0.408 112.1 116.1 -4 11-12 9-17 6-4 15-17 3-7 2W
Mavericks 19 32 0.373 114 116.8 -2.8 14-16 5-16 3-8 11-22 4-6 6L
Jazz 16 36 0.308 118.3 126.8 -8.5 10-17 6-19 1-8 9-24 2-8 1L
Wizards 14 36 0.28 112.3 122.6 -10.3 9-17 5-19 2-5 9-20 4-6 1W
Nets 13 37 0.26 106.9 115 -8.1 6-18 7-19 3-9 9-21 1-9 3L
Pacers 13 38 0.255 110.9 118.7 -7.8 10-18 3-20 3-8 9-24 4-6 2L
Pelicans 13 40 0.245 114.5 121 -6.5 8-19 5-21 6-7 7-26 3-7 3L
Kings 12 40 0.231 110.5 120.5 -10 9-17 3-23 2-7 8-26 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak