Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings
We’re Backing the Underdogs Against The Spread

No. 8 Miami Heat (37-45, 17-23 Away) square off against No. 1 Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18, 34-7 at Home) in this NBA Playoffs first round matchup at Rocket Arena.

The Heat look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat against the Cavaliers and we’re happy to bet them against the spread. The underdogs can comfortably cover +12.5 and this can be backed at -112.

Cavs 112-107 Winners in Previous H2H

Miami Heat have won their previous three road games. A 123-114 (OT) triumph recently occurred at State Farm Arena when playing Atlanta Hawks. Tyler Herro scored 30 points, with Andrew Wiggins getting 20 and Bam Adebayo 17.

Cleveland Cavaliers were beaten 126-118 (OT) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in their last game, being turned over at home to Indiana Pacers. Jaylon Tyson had 31 points, Emoni Bates scored 25, with Nae'Qwan Tomlin recording 24 points and 12 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Cavs have won the last two meetings against the Heat. They triumphed 126-106 at Kaseya Center and then 112-107 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Heat have won six.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Cavaliers logo Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Heat logo Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 119.8 points, 48.6 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.8 blocks while shooting 48.9% from the field and 75.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 107.9 points and 43.6 rebounds per contest.

Tyler Herro is averaging 22.7 points, Kel'el Ware 9.3 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 6.1 assists, while Duncan Robinson averages 2.0 (45.5%) 3-pointers made.

Cleveland Cavaliers – Last 10 Games

The Cavs have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 119.7 points, 47.8 rebounds, 27.0 assists, 8.4 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field and 71.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 116.4 points and 44.6 rebounds.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 15.9 points, Jarrett Allen 8.0 rebounds and Darius Garland 6.0 assists along with 2.2 (37.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins.

Cleveland Cavaliers lineup: Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Darius Garland, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Picks

Let’s take a chance on Heat and bet on the underdogs with a +12.5 start. They should be able to cover the line in this NBA showdown at odds of -112.

Our team of expert NBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Heat vs Cavaliers stats:

  • The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in all of their last 10 games.
  • The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in all of their last 5 games.
  • The +12.5 line has been covered by Heat in 16 consecutive games.
  • The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 17 of their last 20 games.
  • The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 9 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Heat +12.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +12.5 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 19, 21:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:52, 19 April 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points -125 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has scored an average of 30 points in the past 4 games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -125 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds


Jarrett Allen Under 13.5 Points -114 BetMGM logo

Jarrett Allen (Cavs) has scored an average of 8.6 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -114 available.

Latest Jarrett Allen Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +12.5
Totals Over 215.5
Player Points Tyler Herro Over 22.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Heat +12.5, Over 215.5 and Tyler Herro (Heat) to score Over 22.5 points.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 107 - 115 Cavaliers logo Cavaliers

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Cavaliers to achieve a winning scoreline of 115-107 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cavs Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Cleveland Cavaliers are red-hot -833 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 89% chance of winning this NBA game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami Heat are trading at +560.

12.5 is the spread and 215 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 215 at -108.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds
Donovan Mitchell Favorite to Score the Most Points

Donovan Mitchell is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get -123 that he scores Over 24.5 points or -108 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 24.5
-123
Under 24.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)
Over 17.5
-120
Under 17.5
-112
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Andrew Wiggins (Heat)
Over 17.5
-118
Under 17.5
-114
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Player Assists
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)
Over 6.5
+110
Under 6.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
+114
Under 5.5
-152
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Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 4.5
-159
Under 4.5
+120
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Player Rebounds
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)
Over 10.5
+102
Under 10.5
-135
BetMGM Logo
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)
Over 10.5
-109
Under 10.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 64 32.12 1297 189 20.3 3.0 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 26 30.85 553 99 21.3 3.8 2.5 4.8 0.3 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 59 30.65 926 162 15.7 2.7 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
James Harden 63 35.12 1517 505 24.1 8.0 3.1 5.0 0.4 1.1
Donovan Mitchell 64 33.59 1808 368 28.3 5.8 3.3 4.5 0.3 1.5
Evan Mobley 58 32.39 1049 211 18.1 3.6 1.0 8.9 1.8 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Dru Smith
Injured
Isaiah Stevens
Injured
Kevin Love
Unavailable

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Confirmed Lineup
1 Max Strus
4 Evan Mobley
10 Darius Garland
31 Jarrett Allen
45 Donovan Mitchell
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
18 Alec Burks
22 Andrew Wiggins

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets

Previous Cleveland Cavaliers Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
24 Mar NBA
Magic 131-136 Cavaliers
21 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 111-106 Pelicans
19 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 115-110 Bulls
17 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 123-116 Bucks
15 Mar NBA
Mavericks 130-120 Cavaliers
13 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 138-105 Mavericks
11 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 122-128 Magic
09 Mar NBA
76ers 101-115 Cavaliers
08 Mar NBA
Celtics 109-98 Cavaliers

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 52 25 0.675 114.6 107.1 7.5 26-11 26-14 9-5 33-15 8-2 2W
Knicks 50 28 0.641 116.9 110.4 6.5 28-9 22-19 12-3 32-16 7-3 2W
76ers 43 34 0.558 116.5 116.5 0 22-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 2W
Raptors 43 34 0.558 114.5 112.1 2.4 21-17 22-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 1W
Nets 18 59 0.234 106.1 115.8 -9.7 10-28 8-31 3-12 12-34 1-9 2L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Bucks 30 47 0.39 110.5 116.9 -6.4 17-22 13-25 9-6 20-28 2-8 2L
Bulls 29 48 0.377 116.2 121.6 -5.4 18-21 11-27 4-12 17-31 2-8 6L
Pacers 18 59 0.234 112.6 120.8 -8.2 11-27 7-32 4-10 14-34 3-7 1L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 45 33 0.577 118.6 115.9 2.7 23-16 22-17 9-6 26-22 8-2 4W
Hornets 42 36 0.538 116.4 111.3 5.1 21-19 21-17 11-5 25-24 8-2 3W
Magic 41 36 0.532 115.4 115.4 0 24-16 17-20 9-8 24-25 3-7 1W
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Timberwolves 46 31 0.597 117.6 114.1 3.5 25-14 21-17 9-7 29-21 5-5 2L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Jazz 21 57 0.269 117.2 125.6 -8.4 13-27 8-30 1-14 11-37 1-9 8L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Kings 21 57 0.269 110.9 120.9 -10 14-25 7-32 3-10 13-35 4-6 2W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Rockets 48 29 0.623 114.8 109.9 4.9 28-10 20-19 9-6 26-22 7-3 5W
Grizzlies 25 52 0.325 114.8 119.6 -4.8 14-26 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 53 0.321 114.9 119.4 -4.5 16-23 9-30 7-9 16-33 3-7 7L
Mavericks 24 53 0.312 113.6 119.3 -5.7 14-25 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 52 25 0.675 114.6 107.1 7.5 26-11 26-14 9-5 33-15 8-2 2W
Knicks 50 28 0.641 116.9 110.4 6.5 28-9 22-19 12-3 32-16 7-3 2W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Hawks 45 33 0.577 118.6 115.9 2.7 23-16 22-17 9-6 26-22 8-2 4W
76ers 43 34 0.558 116.5 116.5 0 22-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 2W
Raptors 43 34 0.558 114.5 112.1 2.4 21-17 22-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 1W
Hornets 42 36 0.538 116.4 111.3 5.1 21-19 21-17 11-5 25-24 8-2 3W
Magic 41 36 0.532 115.4 115.4 0 24-16 17-20 9-8 24-25 3-7 1W
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Bucks 30 47 0.39 110.5 116.9 -6.4 17-22 13-25 9-6 20-28 2-8 2L
Bulls 29 48 0.377 116.2 121.6 -5.4 18-21 11-27 4-12 17-31 2-8 6L
Pacers 18 59 0.234 112.6 120.8 -8.2 11-27 7-32 4-10 14-34 3-7 1L
Nets 18 59 0.234 106.1 115.8 -9.7 10-28 8-31 3-12 12-34 1-9 2L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Rockets 48 29 0.623 114.8 109.9 4.9 28-10 20-19 9-6 26-22 7-3 5W
Timberwolves 46 31 0.597 117.6 114.1 3.5 25-14 21-17 9-7 29-21 5-5 2L
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Grizzlies 25 52 0.325 114.8 119.6 -4.8 14-26 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 53 0.321 114.9 119.4 -4.5 16-23 9-30 7-9 16-33 3-7 7L
Mavericks 24 53 0.312 113.6 119.3 -5.7 14-25 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 3L
Kings 21 57 0.269 110.9 120.9 -10 14-25 7-32 3-10 13-35 4-6 2W
Jazz 21 57 0.269 117.2 125.6 -8.4 13-27 8-30 1-14 11-37 1-9 8L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 61 16 0.792 118.9 107.5 11.4 33-7 28-9 11-3 38-9 9-1 4W
Spurs 59 18 0.766 119.6 111.1 8.5 29-7 30-11 12-3 34-14 10-0 11W
Pistons 56 21 0.727 117.5 109.6 7.9 31-9 25-12 10-4 35-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 52 25 0.675 114.6 107.1 7.5 26-11 26-14 9-5 33-15 8-2 2W
Lakers 50 27 0.649 116.5 115 1.5 26-12 24-15 8-7 30-17 8-2 1L
Knicks 50 28 0.641 116.9 110.4 6.5 28-9 22-19 12-3 32-16 7-3 2W
Nuggets 49 28 0.636 121.4 116.6 4.8 24-13 25-15 9-5 31-16 8-2 7W
Cavaliers 48 29 0.623 119.3 115.2 4.1 24-14 24-15 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Rockets 48 29 0.623 114.8 109.9 4.9 28-10 20-19 9-6 26-22 7-3 5W
Timberwolves 46 31 0.597 117.6 114.1 3.5 25-14 21-17 9-7 29-21 5-5 2L
Hawks 45 33 0.577 118.6 115.9 2.7 23-16 22-17 9-6 26-22 8-2 4W
76ers 43 34 0.558 116.5 116.5 0 22-17 21-17 9-7 25-24 7-3 2W
Raptors 43 34 0.558 114.5 112.1 2.4 21-17 22-17 4-10 30-17 5-5 1W
Suns 42 35 0.545 112.8 111.3 1.5 24-15 18-20 10-6 27-21 3-7 2L
Hornets 42 36 0.538 116.4 111.3 5.1 21-19 21-17 11-5 25-24 8-2 3W
Magic 41 36 0.532 115.4 115.4 0 24-16 17-20 9-8 24-25 3-7 1W
Heat 40 37 0.519 120.4 118.2 2.2 24-15 16-22 7-7 24-23 2-8 1L
Trail Blazers 40 38 0.513 115.4 115.9 -0.5 22-17 18-21 7-8 27-21 8-2 3W
Clippers 39 38 0.506 113.7 112.6 1.1 21-17 18-21 8-6 22-25 5-5 2L
Warriors 36 41 0.468 114.8 115.1 -0.3 21-17 15-24 6-6 23-24 4-6 3L
Bucks 30 47 0.39 110.5 116.9 -6.4 17-22 13-25 9-6 20-28 2-8 2L
Bulls 29 48 0.377 116.2 121.6 -5.4 18-21 11-27 4-12 17-31 2-8 6L
Grizzlies 25 52 0.325 114.8 119.6 -4.8 14-26 11-26 6-9 19-30 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 53 0.321 114.9 119.4 -4.5 16-23 9-30 7-9 16-33 3-7 7L
Mavericks 24 53 0.312 113.6 119.3 -5.7 14-25 10-28 4-11 13-34 2-8 3L
Kings 21 57 0.269 110.9 120.9 -10 14-25 7-32 3-10 13-35 4-6 2W
Jazz 21 57 0.269 117.2 125.6 -8.4 13-27 8-30 1-14 11-37 1-9 8L
Nets 18 59 0.234 106.1 115.8 -9.7 10-28 8-31 3-12 12-34 1-9 2L
Pacers 18 59 0.234 112.6 120.8 -8.2 11-27 7-32 4-10 14-34 3-7 1L
Wizards 17 59 0.224 112.7 124.3 -11.6 11-27 6-32 2-12 11-35 1-9 4L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak