Miami Heat
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Warriors

The Miami Heat take the court against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Get With Warriors to Cover the Line

There’s a generous line of -6.5 when it comes to the Warriors playing the Heat. The -108 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

110-96 Victory for Heat in Last Head-to-Head

Miami Heat have suffered three consecutive road losses. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 122-120 home triumph against Oklahoma City Thunder at Kaseya Center. Bam Adebayo led the way with 30 points, while Norman Powell added 19 and Pelle Larsson chipped in 16.

Golden State Warriors have enjoyed three straight wins, most recently beating Charlotte Hornets 136-116. It was a home success at Chase Center. De'Anthony Melton scored 24 points, with Draymond Green adding 20 and Brandin Podziemski 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Kaseya Center, they recorded a 110-96 win over the Warriors. The Heat have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Warriors. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Warriors logo Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 117.3 points, 44.5 rebounds, 28.5 assists, 9.0 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 45.0% from the field and 78.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 119.5 points and 46.6 rebounds per matchup.

Norman Powell is averaging 21.5 points and 3.5 (44.9%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 9.8 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 5.8 assists.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 120.0 points, 40.8 rebounds, 30.9 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 48.5% from the field and 82.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 113.9 points and 41.6 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 22.1 points, 6.0 assists and 3.5 (37.2%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 4.9 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Take in the full Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that Warriors will gain the upper hand in this NBA contest. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -108, with the -6.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Our basketball predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date NBA stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Heat vs Warriors stats:

  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Warriors in 3 consecutive games.
  • The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 consecutive games on the road.
  • The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Warriors -6.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

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Our Game Prediction
Warriors -6.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 19, 03:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 03:55, 19 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Under 17.5 Points -105 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has scored an average of 10.25 points in the past 4 games on the road. His Player Points might once again fall below the line, with this bet offering plenty of appeal and you can back -105.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Andrew Wiggins Over 4.5 Rebounds -130 BetMGM logo

Andrew Wiggins (Heat) has racked up Over 4.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -130 are now available.

Latest Andrew Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Warriors -6.5
Totals Under 238.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Under 17.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Warriors -6.5, Under 238.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Under 17.5 points.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised basketball bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 112 - 122 Warriors logo Warriors

There are lots of different ways to back the Warriors on the correct score betting and something like 122-112 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Warriors Plenty of Respect

Golden State Warriors are -192 favorites and that means a 66% chance of winning this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +162 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 5 and total points has a line of 239.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 239.5, then the odds are -110.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Stephen Curry Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Stephen Curry is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -114 that he gets Over 28.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Player Points
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 28.5
-114
Under 28.5
-118
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 21.5
-118
Under 21.5
-114
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Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-114
Under 6.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-159
Under 5.5
+118
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-128
Under 5.5
-104
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Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-128
Under 5.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 6.5
+102
Under 6.5
-135
BetMGM Logo
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 6.5
+105
Under 6.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Chase Center
Chase Center
Warriors Keep Cashing In at Home

The Warriors are riding three consecutive victories at Chase Center. They own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 121.20 points per contest and giving up 112.40.

The Heat have been on the losing end in three straight road games. They have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, putting up 110.90 points per contest and giving up 117.10.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O238.5 U238.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 8-2 233.60 121.20 112.40 4 6
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 3-7 228.00 110.90 117.10 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O238.5 = Games Over 238.5 Points
  • U238.5 = Games Under 238.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Andrew Wiggins 38 31.76 599 109 15.8 2.9 1.9 4.9 1.1 1.2
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Norman Powell 36 30.97 856 96 23.8 2.7 3.1 3.8 0.2 1.3

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 33 31.93 912 163 27.6 4.9 4.5 3.8 0.5 1.1
Jimmy Butler 37 31.38 743 181 20.1 4.9 0.9 5.6 0.2 1.4
Draymond Green 36 26.89 319 189 8.9 5.3 1.5 5.8 0.7 0.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup
3 Will Richard
4 Moses Moody
10 Jimmy Butler
21 Quinten Post
30 Stephen Curry
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat
15 Jan NBA
Celtics 119-114 Heat
13 Jan NBA
Suns 121-127 Heat
11 Jan NBA
Heat 112-124 Thunder
10 Jan NBA
Heat 99-123 Pacers
06 Jan NBA
Heat 94-122 Timberwolves
04 Jan NBA
Pelicans 106-125 Heat
03 Jan NBA
Timberwolves 125-115 Heat
01 Jan NBA
Heat 118-112 Pistons
29 Dec NBA
Nuggets 123-147 Heat

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

17 Jan NBA
Hornets 116-136 Warriors
15 Jan NBA
Knicks 113-126 Warriors
14 Jan NBA
Trail Blazers 97-119 Warriors
11 Jan NBA
Hawks 124-111 Warriors
09 Jan NBA
Kings 103-137 Warriors
07 Jan NBA
Bucks 113-120 Warriors
05 Jan NBA
Warriors 102-103 Clippers
03 Jan NBA
Jazz 114-123 Warriors
02 Jan NBA
Thunder 131-94 Warriors
31 Dec NBA
Warriors 132-125 Hornets

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 56 15 0.789 118.7 107.5 11.2 29-7 27-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 11W
Spurs 53 18 0.746 119 111.7 7.3 28-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 5W
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 24 0.662 114.1 107 7.1 24-11 23-13 9-5 29-14 6-4 1L
Knicks 47 25 0.653 117.2 110.4 6.8 26-9 21-16 12-3 31-15 7-3 6W
Lakers 46 25 0.648 116.5 114.9 1.6 23-12 23-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 9W
Cavaliers 44 27 0.62 119 114.7 4.3 22-13 22-14 10-5 28-17 7-3 3W
Rockets 43 27 0.614 114 109.9 4.1 25-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 2W
Nuggets 44 28 0.611 120.8 116.4 4.4 21-13 23-15 7-5 26-16 6-4 2W
Timberwolves 44 28 0.611 118.4 114.5 3.9 24-13 20-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1W
Raptors 39 31 0.557 113.8 112.1 1.7 19-16 20-15 4-10 29-16 4-6 2L
Suns 40 32 0.556 112.2 111 1.2 23-14 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 1W
Hawks 39 32 0.549 117.9 116.5 1.4 20-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1W
76ers 39 32 0.549 115.8 116.1 -0.3 20-16 19-16 9-7 22-23 6-4 2W
Magic 38 32 0.543 115.3 114.3 1 22-14 16-18 9-7 24-21 6-4 4L
Heat 38 33 0.535 120.3 117.2 3.1 23-13 15-20 7-7 22-20 6-4 4L
Hornets 37 34 0.521 116.1 112.1 4 17-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 3W
Clippers 35 36 0.493 113.5 113 0.5 19-15 16-21 8-6 22-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 35 37 0.486 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 17-21 7-8 25-20 6-4 1L
Warriors 33 38 0.465 114.7 114.6 0.1 19-15 14-23 6-6 22-22 2-8 3L
Bucks 29 41 0.414 111 116.2 -5.2 16-19 13-22 9-6 20-27 3-7 1W
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pelicans 25 47 0.347 115.5 119.2 -3.7 16-22 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 24 46 0.343 115.5 118.7 -3.2 13-21 11-25 6-7 19-27 1-9 2L
Mavericks 23 48 0.324 113.5 118.7 -5.2 14-22 9-26 4-11 12-31 2-8 3L
Jazz 21 50 0.296 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-23 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1L
Kings 19 53 0.264 111 121 -10 13-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 5-5 1W
Nets 17 54 0.239 106.4 115.5 -9.1 9-26 8-28 3-12 12-32 2-8 7L
Wizards 16 55 0.225 112.5 124.1 -11.6 11-26 5-29 2-12 11-34 0-10 16L
Pacers 15 56 0.211 111.4 120.4 -9 10-25 5-31 3-10 11-33 0-10 16L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak