Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Houston Rockets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Rockets

The Miami Heat take the floor against the Houston Rockets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat to Frustrate Rockets

The Heat are more than capable of staying close to the Rockets so there’s a strong case for betting the underdogs against the spread here. Take the -112 for the +2 that is available.

9 Victories for Heat in Previous 10 H2H Games

Miami Heat have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Kaseya Center, they were turned over 134-126 by LA Lakers. Bam Adebayo led the way with 28 points, while Tyler Herro added 21 and Norman Powell chipped in 20.

Houston Rockets won their last game, beating Atlanta Hawks at home. It was a 117-95 win at Toyota Center. Kevin Durant registered 25 points, Jabari Smith scored 23, while Alperen Sengun had 15 points and 10 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 115-105 victory was registered against the Rockets at Kaseya Center. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen nine Heat wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets logo Rockets 42 27 0.609 113.9 109.8 4.1 24-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 1W
Heat logo Heat 38 32 0.543 120.3 117.1 3.2 23-13 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 3L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 122.5 points, 44.8 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 8.6 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 47.4% from the field and 81.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 116.8 points and 43.6 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 26.8 points, Kel'el Ware 8.9 rebounds and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.3 assists, while Tyler Herro averages 2.4 (45.3%) 3-pointers made.

Houston Rockets – Last 10 Games

The Rockets have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.0 points, 47.0 rebounds, 24.6 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.9% from the field and 75.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.9 points and 37.2 rebounds.

Kevin Durant is averaging 22.9 points, with Reed Sheppard making 3.1 (35.6%) 3-pointers per contest. Amen Thompson has an average of 8.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Heat can produce a strong performance in this NBA contest. Our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread of +2 and you can currently get -112.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key NBA numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Heat vs Rockets stats:

  • The +2 line has been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +2 line has been covered by Heat in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 9 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Heat +2 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to the Heat covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

Don’t miss out. Explore our guide for the latest welcome bonuses and free bet offers with fresh betting promo codes.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +2 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 21 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 38 points in the past 4 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -120.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Kevin Durant Under 26.5 Points -118 BetMGM logo

Kevin Durant (Rockets) has recorded an average of 20.8 points in the past 5 games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -118.

Latest Kevin Durant Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +2
Totals Over 228.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 20.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Heat +2. We’ve also gone for Over 228.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 117 - 115 Rockets logo Rockets

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Heat to win by a 117-115 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Little Between the Two Teams According to the Books

Houston Rockets are available at Moneyline odds of -130, while opponents Miami Heat can be backed at +110. The sportsbooks award a 48% probability that the road team will be settled as a winning NBA bet.

2 is where the spread lies, with total points being 228.5 right now. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 228.5 at -114.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds
Kevin Durant Favorite to Get Most Points

Kevin Durant is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -110 that he goes Over 26.5 points and -118 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
+115
Under 6.5
-149
BetMGM Logo
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 5.5
-123
Under 5.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 5.5
+107
Under 5.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Over 4.5
-127
Under 4.5
-102
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 8.5
-133
Under 8.5
+103
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 7.5
-141
Under 7.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Toyota Center
Toyota Center
Rockets Count Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Rockets have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, posting 111.90 points per matchup while yielding 104.40.

The Heat have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 117.40 points scored and 113.00 points allowed.

The Heat defeated the Rockets 104-100 in their last meeting at Toyota Center. Looking back at the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Toyota Center, the Heat have posted six victories, while the Rockets have logged four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Home Stats 6-4 216.30 111.90 104.40 2 8
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 6-4 230.40 117.40 113.00 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 61 31.94 1230 174 20.2 2.9 1.7 9.7 0.7 1.1
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 23 30.74 492 89 21.4 3.9 2.5 4.9 0.3 0.7

Houston Rockets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Amen Thompson 67 37.12 1197 353 17.9 5.3 0.3 7.8 0.6 1.5
Kevin Durant 66 36.28 1696 294 25.7 4.5 2.3 5.5 0.9 0.9
Jabari Smith 65 34.98 1016 120 15.6 1.8 2.2 6.8 0.9 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Houston Rockets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat

Previous Houston Rockets Lineups

20 Mar NBA
Hawks 95-117 Rockets
18 Mar NBA
Lakers 124-116 Rockets
16 Mar NBA
Lakers 100-92 Rockets
13 Mar NBA
Pelicans 105-107 Rockets
11 Mar NBA
Rockets 93-129 Nuggets
10 Mar NBA
Raptors 99-113 Rockets
08 Mar NBA
Rockets 120-145 Spurs
06 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 99-106 Rockets
05 Mar NBA
Warriors 115-113 Rockets
02 Mar NBA
Rockets 123-118 Wizards

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 47 23 0.671 114.4 107 7.4 24-10 23-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 4W
Knicks 46 25 0.648 116.8 110.3 6.5 25-9 21-16 12-3 30-15 7-3 5W
Raptors 39 30 0.565 114 112 2 19-16 20-14 4-10 29-16 5-5 1L
76ers 38 32 0.543 115.6 116.1 -0.5 20-16 18-16 9-7 22-23 5-5 1W
Nets 17 53 0.243 106.2 115.3 -9.1 9-26 8-27 3-12 12-32 2-8 6L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Cavaliers 43 27 0.614 119.1 114.8 4.3 22-13 21-14 10-5 28-17 6-4 2W
Bucks 28 41 0.406 111 116.4 -5.4 16-19 12-22 9-6 20-27 2-8 2L
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pacers 15 55 0.214 111.3 120.2 -8.9 10-25 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 15L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 38 31 0.551 115.4 114.4 1 22-13 16-18 9-7 24-21 7-3 3L
Heat 38 32 0.543 120.3 117.1 3.2 23-13 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 3L
Hawks 38 32 0.543 117.7 116.6 1.1 19-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1L
Hornets 36 34 0.514 116 112.2 3.8 16-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 2W
Wizards 16 53 0.232 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-25 5-28 2-12 11-33 0-10 14L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 55 15 0.786 118.5 107.5 11 29-7 26-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 10W
Nuggets 43 28 0.606 120.7 116.5 4.2 20-13 23-15 6-5 25-16 6-4 1W
Timberwolves 43 28 0.606 118.6 114.8 3.8 24-13 19-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 35 36 0.493 115.1 117.1 -2 18-16 17-20 7-7 25-19 6-4 3W
Jazz 21 49 0.3 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-22 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 45 25 0.643 116.6 115.1 1.5 23-12 22-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 8W
Suns 39 31 0.557 112.2 111.2 1 22-13 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 4L
Clippers 34 36 0.486 113.2 112.7 0.5 19-15 15-21 8-6 21-23 5-5 4L
Warriors 33 37 0.471 114.8 114.5 0.3 19-15 14-22 6-6 22-22 2-8 2L
Kings 18 53 0.254 110.8 121 -10.2 12-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 4-6 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 52 18 0.743 118.8 111.6 7.2 27-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 4W
Rockets 42 27 0.609 113.9 109.8 4.1 24-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 1W
Pelicans 25 46 0.352 115.6 119.3 -3.7 16-21 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 3W
Grizzlies 24 45 0.348 115.7 118.6 -2.9 13-21 11-24 6-7 19-27 1-9 1L
Mavericks 23 47 0.329 113.3 118.5 -5.2 14-21 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 23 0.671 114.4 107 7.4 24-10 23-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 4W
Knicks 46 25 0.648 116.8 110.3 6.5 25-9 21-16 12-3 30-15 7-3 5W
Cavaliers 43 27 0.614 119.1 114.8 4.3 22-13 21-14 10-5 28-17 6-4 2W
Raptors 39 30 0.565 114 112 2 19-16 20-14 4-10 29-16 5-5 1L
Hawks 38 32 0.543 117.7 116.6 1.1 19-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1L
Magic 38 31 0.551 115.4 114.4 1 22-13 16-18 9-7 24-21 7-3 3L
Heat 38 32 0.543 120.3 117.1 3.2 23-13 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 3L
76ers 38 32 0.543 115.6 116.1 -0.5 20-16 18-16 9-7 22-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 36 34 0.514 116 112.2 3.8 16-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 2W
Bucks 28 41 0.406 111 116.4 -5.4 16-19 12-22 9-6 20-27 2-8 2L
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Nets 17 53 0.243 106.2 115.3 -9.1 9-26 8-27 3-12 12-32 2-8 6L
Wizards 16 53 0.232 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-25 5-28 2-12 11-33 0-10 14L
Pacers 15 55 0.214 111.3 120.2 -8.9 10-25 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 15L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 55 15 0.786 118.5 107.5 11 29-7 26-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 10W
Spurs 52 18 0.743 118.8 111.6 7.2 27-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 4W
Lakers 45 25 0.643 116.6 115.1 1.5 23-12 22-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 8W
Rockets 42 27 0.609 113.9 109.8 4.1 24-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 1W
Nuggets 43 28 0.606 120.7 116.5 4.2 20-13 23-15 6-5 25-16 6-4 1W
Timberwolves 43 28 0.606 118.6 114.8 3.8 24-13 19-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1L
Suns 39 31 0.557 112.2 111.2 1 22-13 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 4L
Clippers 34 36 0.486 113.2 112.7 0.5 19-15 15-21 8-6 21-23 5-5 4L
Trail Blazers 35 36 0.493 115.1 117.1 -2 18-16 17-20 7-7 25-19 6-4 3W
Warriors 33 37 0.471 114.8 114.5 0.3 19-15 14-22 6-6 22-22 2-8 2L
Pelicans 25 46 0.352 115.6 119.3 -3.7 16-21 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 3W
Grizzlies 24 45 0.348 115.7 118.6 -2.9 13-21 11-24 6-7 19-27 1-9 1L
Mavericks 23 47 0.329 113.3 118.5 -5.2 14-21 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 49 0.3 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-22 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1W
Kings 18 53 0.254 110.8 121 -10.2 12-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 4-6 2L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 55 15 0.786 118.5 107.5 11 29-7 26-8 11-3 37-9 10-0 10W
Spurs 52 18 0.743 118.8 111.6 7.2 27-7 25-11 11-3 31-14 9-1 4W
Pistons 51 19 0.729 117.4 109.5 7.9 27-8 24-11 10-4 34-11 6-4 3W
Celtics 47 23 0.671 114.4 107 7.4 24-10 23-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 4W
Knicks 46 25 0.648 116.8 110.3 6.5 25-9 21-16 12-3 30-15 7-3 5W
Lakers 45 25 0.643 116.6 115.1 1.5 23-12 22-13 8-7 30-16 9-1 8W
Cavaliers 43 27 0.614 119.1 114.8 4.3 22-13 21-14 10-5 28-17 6-4 2W
Rockets 42 27 0.609 113.9 109.8 4.1 24-10 18-17 7-6 23-21 5-5 1W
Nuggets 43 28 0.606 120.7 116.5 4.2 20-13 23-15 6-5 25-16 6-4 1W
Timberwolves 43 28 0.606 118.6 114.8 3.8 24-13 19-15 9-7 27-21 5-5 1L
Raptors 39 30 0.565 114 112 2 19-16 20-14 4-10 29-16 5-5 1L
Suns 39 31 0.557 112.2 111.2 1 22-13 17-18 10-6 25-20 5-5 4L
Magic 38 31 0.551 115.4 114.4 1 22-13 16-18 9-7 24-21 7-3 3L
Hawks 38 32 0.543 117.7 116.6 1.1 19-16 19-16 8-6 22-21 9-1 1L
Heat 38 32 0.543 120.3 117.1 3.2 23-13 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 3L
76ers 38 32 0.543 115.6 116.1 -0.5 20-16 18-16 9-7 22-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 36 34 0.514 116 112.2 3.8 16-17 20-17 11-5 22-22 7-3 2W
Trail Blazers 35 36 0.493 115.1 117.1 -2 18-16 17-20 7-7 25-19 6-4 3W
Clippers 34 36 0.486 113.2 112.7 0.5 19-15 15-21 8-6 21-23 5-5 4L
Warriors 33 37 0.471 114.8 114.5 0.3 19-15 14-22 6-6 22-22 2-8 2L
Bucks 28 41 0.406 111 116.4 -5.4 16-19 12-22 9-6 20-27 2-8 2L
Bulls 28 42 0.4 115.8 120.2 -4.4 17-20 11-22 4-11 17-28 4-6 2L
Pelicans 25 46 0.352 115.6 119.3 -3.7 16-21 9-25 7-8 16-30 6-4 3W
Grizzlies 24 45 0.348 115.7 118.6 -2.9 13-21 11-24 6-7 19-27 1-9 1L
Mavericks 23 47 0.329 113.3 118.5 -5.2 14-21 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 2L
Jazz 21 49 0.3 117.3 124.8 -7.5 13-22 8-27 1-12 11-33 3-7 1W
Kings 18 53 0.254 110.8 121 -10.2 12-25 6-28 3-10 12-35 4-6 2L
Nets 17 53 0.243 106.2 115.3 -9.1 9-26 8-27 3-12 12-32 2-8 6L
Wizards 16 53 0.232 112.5 123.7 -11.2 11-25 5-28 2-12 11-33 0-10 14L
Pacers 15 55 0.214 111.3 120.2 -8.9 10-25 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 15L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak