Miami Heat
Houston Rockets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Rockets

The Miami Heat take the floor against the Houston Rockets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat to Frustrate Rockets

The Heat are more than capable of staying close to the Rockets so there’s a strong case for betting the underdogs against the spread here. Take the -112 for the +2 that is available.

9 Victories for Heat in Previous 10 H2H Games

Miami Heat have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at Kaseya Center, they were turned over 134-126 by LA Lakers. Bam Adebayo led the way with 28 points, while Tyler Herro added 21 and Norman Powell chipped in 20.

Houston Rockets won their last game, beating Atlanta Hawks at home. It was a 117-95 win at Toyota Center. Kevin Durant registered 25 points, Jabari Smith scored 23, while Alperen Sengun had 15 points and 10 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 115-105 victory was registered against the Rockets at Kaseya Center. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen nine Heat wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets logo Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 122.5 points, 44.8 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 8.6 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 47.4% from the field and 81.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 116.8 points and 43.6 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 26.8 points, Kel'el Ware 8.9 rebounds and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.3 assists, while Tyler Herro averages 2.4 (45.3%) 3-pointers made.

Houston Rockets – Last 10 Games

The Rockets have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 110.0 points, 47.0 rebounds, 24.6 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.9% from the field and 75.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 112.9 points and 37.2 rebounds.

Kevin Durant is averaging 22.9 points, with Reed Sheppard making 3.1 (35.6%) 3-pointers per contest. Amen Thompson has an average of 8.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Heat can produce a strong performance in this NBA contest. Our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread of +2 and you can currently get -112.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key NBA numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Heat vs Rockets stats:

  • The +2 line has been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +2 line has been covered by Heat in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 9 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Heat +2 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to the Heat covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

Don’t miss out. Explore our guide for the latest welcome bonuses and free bet offers with fresh betting promo codes.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +2 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 21 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points -115 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 38 points in the past 4 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -115.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Kevin Durant Under 26.5 Points -110 BetMGM logo

Kevin Durant (Rockets) has recorded an average of 20.8 points in the past 5 games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -110.

Latest Kevin Durant Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +2
Totals Over 228.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 20.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Heat +2. We’ve also gone for Over 228.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 117 - 115 Rockets logo Rockets

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Heat to win by a 117-115 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Little Between the Two Teams According to the Books

Houston Rockets are available at Moneyline odds of -154, while opponents Miami Heat can be backed at +130. The sportsbooks award a 43% probability that the road team will be settled as a winning NBA bet.

3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 227.5 right now. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 227.5 at -106.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds
Kevin Durant Favorite to Get Most Points

Kevin Durant is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -109 that he goes Over 26.5 points and -125 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Player Assists
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 5.5
-125
Under 5.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-161
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-127
Under 5.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Over 4.5
-141
Under 4.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Over 8.5
-127
Under 8.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Over 7.5
-147
Under 7.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Toyota Center
Toyota Center
Rockets Count Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Rockets have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, posting 111.90 points per matchup while yielding 104.40.

The Heat have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 117.40 points scored and 113.00 points allowed.

The Heat defeated the Rockets 104-100 in their last meeting at Toyota Center. Looking back at the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Toyota Center, the Heat have posted six victories, while the Rockets have logged four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Home Stats 6-4 216.30 111.90 104.40 2 8
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 6-4 230.40 117.40 113.00 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 61 31.94 1230 174 20.2 2.9 1.7 9.7 0.7 1.1
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 23 30.74 492 89 21.4 3.9 2.5 4.9 0.3 0.7

Houston Rockets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Amen Thompson 67 37.12 1197 353 17.9 5.3 0.3 7.8 0.6 1.5
Kevin Durant 66 36.28 1696 294 25.7 4.5 2.3 5.5 0.9 0.9
Jabari Smith 65 34.98 1016 120 15.6 1.8 2.2 6.8 0.9 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Houston Rockets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets logo Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup
1 Amen Thompson
7 Kevin Durant
10 Jabari Smith
15 Reed Sheppard
28 Alperen Sengun
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
0 Simone Fontecchio
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat

Previous Houston Rockets Lineups

20 Mar NBA
Hawks 95-117 Rockets
18 Mar NBA
Lakers 124-116 Rockets
16 Mar NBA
Lakers 100-92 Rockets
13 Mar NBA
Pelicans 105-107 Rockets
11 Mar NBA
Rockets 93-129 Nuggets
10 Mar NBA
Raptors 99-113 Rockets
08 Mar NBA
Rockets 120-145 Spurs
06 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 99-106 Rockets
05 Mar NBA
Warriors 115-113 Rockets
02 Mar NBA
Rockets 123-118 Wizards

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak