Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Indiana Pacers
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pacers

The Miami Heat take the court against the Indiana Pacers in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re Expecting Pacers to Cover the Spread

We’re delighted to see the Pacers have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +9 at -110 when they go up against the Heat.

Pacers Beat Heat When Teams Last Met

Miami Heat were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Rocket Arena. Cleveland Cavaliers claimed a 149-128 win. Jaime Jaquez Jr. poured in 20 points, with Norman Powell contributing 15 and Kel'el Ware adding 14.

Indiana Pacers have lost their last eleven home games, most recently suffering a 114-113 defeat to LA Clippers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Aaron Nesmith scored 26 points, with Obadiah Toppin adding 20 and Micah Potter 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Pacers beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 123-99 scoreline at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Pacers logo Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.3 points, 43.0 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 8.3 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 46.2% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 124.6 points and 44.6 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 25.7 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2.2 (26.5%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 4.9 assists.

Indiana Pacers – Last 10 Games

The Pacers have won 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.1 points, 38.5 rebounds, 31.0 assists, 6.4 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 49.0% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 124.6 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Aaron Nesmith is averaging 16.6 points and 2.7 (47.4%) 3-pointers made. Jarace Walker has an average of 6.0 rebounds and Andrew Nembhard 5.9 assists.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks

Approach Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Pacers are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there’s a strong case for betting them against the spread in this NBA contest. Take the -110 for the +9 that is available.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Heat vs Pacers stats:

  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 4 consecutive games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Pacers +9 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your points spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Game Prediction
Pacers +9 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 28, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:02, 28 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds -120 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 14.75 rebounds in the past 4 games on the road. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Player Rebounds line at -120.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Andrew Nembhard Over 8.5 Assists -101 BetMGM logo

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) has recorded an average of 12.5 assists in the past 4 games. You can secure betting odds of -101 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal.

Latest Andrew Nembhard Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Pacers +9
Totals Under 243.5
Player Rebounds Bam Adebayo Over 10.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Pacers +9, Under 243.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to have Over 10.5 rebounds.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 121 - 115 Pacers logo Pacers

There’s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Heat to claim a 121-115 victory which will hopefully go close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Make Heat Big Favorites

The Miami Heat odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -370 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 79% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +300.

9 is the spread and 243.5 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Under 243.5, then the odds are -106.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Bam Adebayo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Bam Adebayo is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -125 that he gets Over 21.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -102.

Player Points
Player Assists
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)
Over 8.5
-101
Under 8.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-145
Under 5.5
+110
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers Slide Includes Ten Straight Defeats at Home

The Pacers are 0-10 in their last 10 home games, putting up 114.30 points on average and giving up 126.00.

The Heat own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 122.10 points scored and 119.20 points allowed.

The Pacers beat the Heat 123-99 when they last met at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, both teams have notched five wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O243.5 U243.5
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Home Stats 0-10 240.30 114.30 126.00 5 5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 241.30 122.10 119.20 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O243.5 = Games Over 243.5 Points
  • U243.5 = Games Under 243.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 65 32.09 1311 192 20.2 3.0 1.7 9.9 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 27 30.87 564 104 20.9 3.9 2.5 4.8 0.3 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 60 30.47 938 162 15.6 2.7 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.1

Indiana Pacers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Pascal Siakam 59 33.39 1400 223 23.7 3.8 1.7 6.6 0.4 1.1
Andrew Nembhard 56 31.24 951 427 17.0 7.6 1.9 2.8 0.2 0.9
Ivica Zubac 48 30.14 677 105 14.1 2.2 - 10.6 0.9 0.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Indiana Pacers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat

Previous Indiana Pacers Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Clippers 114-113 Pacers
25 Mar NBA
Lakers 137-130 Pacers
23 Mar NBA
Pacers 128-126 Magic
21 Mar NBA
Pacers 119-134 Spurs
18 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 127-119 Pacers
17 Mar NBA
Pacers 110-136 Knicks
15 Mar NBA
Pacers 123-134 Bucks
13 Mar NBA
Knicks 101-92 Pacers
12 Mar NBA
Suns 123-108 Pacers
10 Mar NBA
Pacers 109-114 Kings

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 44 0.397 116.3 120.9 -4.6 18-20 11-24 4-11 17-29 3-7 2L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 41 33 0.554 118.2 116.5 1.7 21-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1L
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Kings 19 55 0.257 110.8 121.2 -10.4 13-25 6-30 3-10 12-35 5-5 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Grizzlies 24 49 0.329 115 119.1 -4.1 13-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 1-9 5L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 41 33 0.554 118.2 116.5 1.7 21-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1L
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 44 0.397 116.3 120.9 -4.6 18-20 11-24 4-11 17-29 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Grizzlies 24 49 0.329 115 119.1 -4.1 13-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 1-9 5L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 55 0.257 110.8 121.2 -10.4 13-25 6-30 3-10 12-35 5-5 2L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 41 33 0.554 118.2 116.5 1.7 21-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1L
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Bulls 29 44 0.397 116.3 120.9 -4.6 18-20 11-24 4-11 17-29 3-7 2L
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Grizzlies 24 49 0.329 115 119.1 -4.1 13-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 1-9 5L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 55 0.257 110.8 121.2 -10.4 13-25 6-30 3-10 12-35 5-5 2L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak