Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

Our betting prediction is that the Heat will be superior to the Pelicans and that’s why we’re backing the favorites on the spread at -13. Take the -110 that they are able to cover the line.

Miami Heat suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 119-111 scoreline occurred on the road at United Center against Chicago Bulls. Tyler Herro scored 30 points, with Bam Adebayo getting 18 and Davion Mitchell 17.

New Orleans Pelicans have been beaten in their last five games. On the road at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee Bucks recently beat them 136-111. Lester Quinones was able to score 21 points, with Jamal Cain getting 20 and Keion Brooks 20.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Heat and the Pelicans saw the former win. It was a 119-108 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Heat land eight wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	41	37	0.526	120.8	118.4	2.4	25-15	16-22	8-7	25-23	3-7	1W
Pelicans	25	54	0.316	114.8	119.4	-4.6	16-24	9-30	7-9	16-33	2-8	8L

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 116.9 points, 43.9 rebounds, 27.1 assists, 9.4 steals and 3.6 blocks while shooting 49.4% from the field and 78.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 105.0 points and 42.0 rebounds per matchup.

Tyler Herro is averaging 25.2 points, Kel'el Ware 10.5 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 6.4 assists, while Alec Burks averages 2.9 (43.9%) 3-pointers made.

The Pelicans have won 2 and lost 8 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 106.6 points, 44.4 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 8.1 steals and 4.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.3% from the field and 73.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 117.8 points and 40.5 rebounds.

Antonio Reeves is averaging 12.9 points and 2.5 (47.2%) 3-pointers made. Yves Missi has an average of 8.0 rebounds and Elfrid Payton 8.2 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins.

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Keion Brooks, Elfrid Payton, Jose Alvarado, Kylor Kelley, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Our best pick is that Heat can enjoy a big victory in this NBA showdown, leading us to go against the spread at -13. The line makes lots of appeal and there are odds of -110 that can be taken for the favorites.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Heat vs Pelicans stats:

• The -13 line has been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +13 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 3 of their last 5 games.

Heat -13 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many points to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Our Game Prediction

Heat -13 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 11, 00:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points -115

Tyler Herro (Heat) has totaled an average of 28 points in the past 9 games. He should therefore be capable of going over the line, with -115 available when it comes to having a wager on Player Points.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-108

Under 23.5

-122

Assists

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

---

Bam Adebayo Over 3.5 Assists -149

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has recorded Over 3.5 assists in 4 of the past 5 road games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at -149.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-109

Under 19.5

-122

Assists

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-104

Under 8.5

-128

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 117 - 101 Pelicans

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a monster return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Heat to claim a 117-101 victory and hopefully this goes close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Miami Heat are red-hot -1250 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 93% chance of winning this NBA game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +750 about New Orleans Pelicans.

The spread is 15.5 and the total points line is currently 214. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 214 at -112.

The Heat are available at odds of -300 when it comes to beating the opposition to 20 points. Underdogs Pelicans are chalked up at +225 to reach this total first.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Heat

-1250

Pelicans

+750

Point Spread

Heat -15.5

-110

Pelicans +15.5

-110

Total Points

Under 214

-108

Over 214

-112

Tyler Herro is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -108 that he goes Over 23.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

-108

Under 23.5

-122

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 19.5

-109

Under 19.5

-122

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 16.5

-115

Under 16.5

-115

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 10.5

-122

Under 10.5

-109

Alec Burks (Heat)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-104

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-112

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 8.5

-104

Under 8.5

-128

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Alec Burks (Heat)

Over 2.5

-101

Under 2.5

-128

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

New Orleans Pelicans Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 232.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 231.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.40 pts and allowed 112.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.50 pts and allowed 115.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.50 pts and allowed 112.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 114.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (79.18%)
• Rebounds: Total 51.9, Offensive 14.00, Defensive 37.90
• Assists: 28.80
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 9.80
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.30 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (78.06%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.2, Offensive 14.70, Defensive 35.50
• Assists: 28.40
• Blocks: 3.50
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 15.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.10 (78.93%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.5, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 32.10
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.40 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.90 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.40 (76.69%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.8, Offensive 14.40, Defensive 30.40
• Assists: 23.30
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup

0 Keion Brooks

4 Elfrid Payton

15 Jose Alvarado

35 Kylor Kelley

50 Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

18 Alec Burks

22 Andrew Wiggins

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	53	25	0.679	114.6	107	7.6	27-11	26-14	10-5	34-15	8-2	3W
Knicks	51	28	0.646	116.8	110.4	6.4	28-9	23-19	12-3	33-16	7-3	3W
76ers	43	36	0.544	116.1	116.5	-0.4	22-18	21-18	9-7	25-25	6-4	2L
Raptors	43	35	0.551	114.4	112.1	2.3	21-17	22-18	4-11	30-18	4-6	1L
Nets	19	59	0.244	106.2	115.8	-9.6	11-28	8-31	3-12	13-34	2-8	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	57	22	0.722	117.3	109.6	7.7	31-9	26-13	10-4	36-13	7-3	1L
Cavaliers	50	29	0.633	119.6	115.3	4.3	25-14	25-15	11-5	31-18	8-2	3W
Bucks	31	47	0.397	110.8	116.8	-6	18-22	13-25	9-6	20-28	3-7	1W
Bulls	29	49	0.372	116.1	121.6	-5.5	18-22	11-27	4-12	17-31	1-9	7L
Pacers	18	60	0.231	112.5	120.7	-8.2	11-27	7-33	4-11	14-35	3-7	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	45	34	0.57	118.4	115.8	2.6	23-17	22-17	9-6	26-23	7-3	1L
Hornets	43	36	0.544	116.5	111.3	5.2	21-19	22-17	11-5	25-24	8-2	4W
Magic	43	36	0.544	115.5	115.2	0.3	25-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	5-5	3W
Heat	41	37	0.526	120.8	118.4	2.4	25-15	16-22	8-7	25-23	3-7	1W
Wizards	17	61	0.218	113	124.6	-11.6	11-27	6-34	2-13	11-37	1-9	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	62	16	0.795	119.2	107.5	11.7	34-7	28-9	12-3	39-9	9-1	5W
Nuggets	51	28	0.646	121.8	117	4.8	26-13	25-15	10-5	33-16	9-1	9W
Timberwolves	46	32	0.59	117.5	114.2	3.3	25-15	21-17	9-7	29-21	5-5	3L
Trail Blazers	40	39	0.506	115.6	116.1	-0.5	22-17	18-22	7-9	27-22	7-3	1L
Jazz	21	58	0.266	117.1	125.9	-8.8	13-27	8-31	1-15	11-38	1-9	9L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	50	28	0.641	116.7	115.3	1.4	26-12	24-16	8-7	30-18	7-3	2L
Suns	43	35	0.551	112.9	111.3	1.6	24-15	19-20	10-6	27-21	4-6	1W
Clippers	40	38	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	21-17	19-21	9-6	23-25	6-4	1W
Warriors	36	42	0.462	114.8	115.1	-0.3	21-18	15-24	6-6	23-25	3-7	4L
Kings	21	58	0.266	110.9	121.2	-10.3	14-26	7-32	3-11	13-36	3-7	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	60	19	0.759	119.7	111.3	8.4	30-7	30-12	12-3	34-15	9-1	1W
Rockets	49	29	0.628	114.8	110	4.8	28-10	21-19	9-6	27-22	8-2	6W
Mavericks	25	53	0.321	113.8	119.4	-5.6	15-25	10-28	4-11	14-34	2-8	1W
Pelicans	25	54	0.316	114.8	119.4	-4.6	16-24	9-30	7-9	16-33	2-8	8L
Grizzlies	25	54	0.316	115	120	-5	14-27	11-27	6-9	19-30	1-9	5L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	57	22	0.722	117.3	109.6	7.7	31-9	26-13	10-4	36-13	7-3	1L
Celtics	53	25	0.679	114.6	107	7.6	27-11	26-14	10-5	34-15	8-2	3W
Knicks	51	28	0.646	116.8	110.4	6.4	28-9	23-19	12-3	33-16	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	50	29	0.633	119.6	115.3	4.3	25-14	25-15	11-5	31-18	8-2	3W
Hawks	45	34	0.57	118.4	115.8	2.6	23-17	22-17	9-6	26-23	7-3	1L
76ers	43	36	0.544	116.1	116.5	-0.4	22-18	21-18	9-7	25-25	6-4	2L
Raptors	43	35	0.551	114.4	112.1	2.3	21-17	22-18	4-11	30-18	4-6	1L
Hornets	43	36	0.544	116.5	111.3	5.2	21-19	22-17	11-5	25-24	8-2	4W
Magic	43	36	0.544	115.5	115.2	0.3	25-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	5-5	3W
Heat	41	37	0.526	120.8	118.4	2.4	25-15	16-22	8-7	25-23	3-7	1W
Bucks	31	47	0.397	110.8	116.8	-6	18-22	13-25	9-6	20-28	3-7	1W
Bulls	29	49	0.372	116.1	121.6	-5.5	18-22	11-27	4-12	17-31	1-9	7L
Nets	19	59	0.244	106.2	115.8	-9.6	11-28	8-31	3-12	13-34	2-8	1W
Pacers	18	60	0.231	112.5	120.7	-8.2	11-27	7-33	4-11	14-35	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	61	0.218	113	124.6	-11.6	11-27	6-34	2-13	11-37	1-9	6L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	62	16	0.795	119.2	107.5	11.7	34-7	28-9	12-3	39-9	9-1	5W
Spurs	60	19	0.759	119.7	111.3	8.4	30-7	30-12	12-3	34-15	9-1	1W
Lakers	50	28	0.641	116.7	115.3	1.4	26-12	24-16	8-7	30-18	7-3	2L
Nuggets	51	28	0.646	121.8	117	4.8	26-13	25-15	10-5	33-16	9-1	9W
Rockets	49	29	0.628	114.8	110	4.8	28-10	21-19	9-6	27-22	8-2	6W
Timberwolves	46	32	0.59	117.5	114.2	3.3	25-15	21-17	9-7	29-21	5-5	3L
Suns	43	35	0.551	112.9	111.3	1.6	24-15	19-20	10-6	27-21	4-6	1W
Clippers	40	38	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	21-17	19-21	9-6	23-25	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	40	39	0.506	115.6	116.1	-0.5	22-17	18-22	7-9	27-22	7-3	1L
Warriors	36	42	0.462	114.8	115.1	-0.3	21-18	15-24	6-6	23-25	3-7	4L
Mavericks	25	53	0.321	113.8	119.4	-5.6	15-25	10-28	4-11	14-34	2-8	1W
Grizzlies	25	54	0.316	115	120	-5	14-27	11-27	6-9	19-30	1-9	5L
Pelicans	25	54	0.316	114.8	119.4	-4.6	16-24	9-30	7-9	16-33	2-8	8L
Kings	21	58	0.266	110.9	121.2	-10.3	14-26	7-32	3-11	13-36	3-7	1L
Jazz	21	58	0.266	117.1	125.9	-8.8	13-27	8-31	1-15	11-38	1-9	9L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	62	16	0.795	119.2	107.5	11.7	34-7	28-9	12-3	39-9	9-1	5W
Spurs	60	19	0.759	119.7	111.3	8.4	30-7	30-12	12-3	34-15	9-1	1W
Pistons	57	22	0.722	117.3	109.6	7.7	31-9	26-13	10-4	36-13	7-3	1L
Celtics	53	25	0.679	114.6	107	7.6	27-11	26-14	10-5	34-15	8-2	3W
Nuggets	51	28	0.646	121.8	117	4.8	26-13	25-15	10-5	33-16	9-1	9W
Knicks	51	28	0.646	116.8	110.4	6.4	28-9	23-19	12-3	33-16	7-3	3W
Lakers	50	28	0.641	116.7	115.3	1.4	26-12	24-16	8-7	30-18	7-3	2L
Cavaliers	50	29	0.633	119.6	115.3	4.3	25-14	25-15	11-5	31-18	8-2	3W
Rockets	49	29	0.628	114.8	110	4.8	28-10	21-19	9-6	27-22	8-2	6W
Timberwolves	46	32	0.59	117.5	114.2	3.3	25-15	21-17	9-7	29-21	5-5	3L
Hawks	45	34	0.57	118.4	115.8	2.6	23-17	22-17	9-6	26-23	7-3	1L
Suns	43	35	0.551	112.9	111.3	1.6	24-15	19-20	10-6	27-21	4-6	1W
Raptors	43	35	0.551	114.4	112.1	2.3	21-17	22-18	4-11	30-18	4-6	1L
Hornets	43	36	0.544	116.5	111.3	5.2	21-19	22-17	11-5	25-24	8-2	4W
Magic	43	36	0.544	115.5	115.2	0.3	25-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	5-5	3W
76ers	43	36	0.544	116.1	116.5	-0.4	22-18	21-18	9-7	25-25	6-4	2L
Heat	41	37	0.526	120.8	118.4	2.4	25-15	16-22	8-7	25-23	3-7	1W
Clippers	40	38	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	21-17	19-21	9-6	23-25	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	40	39	0.506	115.6	116.1	-0.5	22-17	18-22	7-9	27-22	7-3	1L
Warriors	36	42	0.462	114.8	115.1	-0.3	21-18	15-24	6-6	23-25	3-7	4L
Bucks	31	47	0.397	110.8	116.8	-6	18-22	13-25	9-6	20-28	3-7	1W
Bulls	29	49	0.372	116.1	121.6	-5.5	18-22	11-27	4-12	17-31	1-9	7L
Mavericks	25	53	0.321	113.8	119.4	-5.6	15-25	10-28	4-11	14-34	2-8	1W
Grizzlies	25	54	0.316	115	120	-5	14-27	11-27	6-9	19-30	1-9	5L
Pelicans	25	54	0.316	114.8	119.4	-4.6	16-24	9-30	7-9	16-33	2-8	8L
Kings	21	58	0.266	110.9	121.2	-10.3	14-26	7-32	3-11	13-36	3-7	1L
Jazz	21	58	0.266	117.1	125.9	-8.8	13-27	8-31	1-15	11-38	1-9	9L
Nets	19	59	0.244	106.2	115.8	-9.6	11-28	8-31	3-12	13-34	2-8	1W
Pacers	18	60	0.231	112.5	120.7	-8.2	11-27	7-33	4-11	14-35	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	61	0.218	113	124.6	-11.6	11-27	6-34	2-13	11-37	1-9	6L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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